TX-SEN Civiqs: O'Rourke +1 (user search)
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  TX-SEN Civiqs: O'Rourke +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX-SEN Civiqs: O'Rourke +1  (Read 4822 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: August 13, 2018, 02:28:38 PM »

Guess we've answered that question about if Beto will ever lead in a poll.

As others have said, it's probably not the best poll, but it's a good sign.

This was my first thought as well.

But how credible is the pollster? I never heard of this particular firm.

As others have said, they are a new venture created by the same people that fund Daily Kos.  (This doesn't necessarily mean they have a bias; Fox News is biased, but their polling is quite good.)  They have no rating from 538 because they don't yet have a track record to measure, but they do have some good people (e.g. Drew Linzer).
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: August 13, 2018, 02:36:38 PM »

Definitely seems very D-friendly, but this race is clearly more competitive than WI, MI, OH, and PA. I'm close to moving it from Likely R to Lean R, at this point.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2018, 09:52:15 AM »

Is there any actual data for this poll, or will it remain confined to a single screenshot on a Daily Kos tweet?

I've done quite a bit of looking for something to back this up, but without success.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2018, 10:11:29 AM »

Why hasn't this poll been added to the database?

Is there any actual data for this poll, or will it remain confined to a single screenshot on a Daily Kos tweet?

I've done quite a bit of looking for something to back this up, but without success.
Yeah, you logistically couldn't add this "poll" because there is zero data for it. You'd have to make up a sample size, MoE, etc. out of thin air in order to get it in the database.

Fair. I assumed we would only post polls here that had data available.

There's still been nothing published to back up this poll.  Possibly they found some methodological problem and pulled it (if it ever really existed at all).
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