OH-12 Special Election Predictions
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Poll
Question: O’Connor vs Balderson, who wins?
#1
O’Connor (D)		  
#2
Balderson (R)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 79

Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election Predictions  (Read 5490 times)
Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #25 on: August 06, 2018, 09:38:06 PM »

This.  Also O’Connor by 1.28%
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #26 on: August 06, 2018, 09:44:20 PM »
I'm basing this solely on anecdotes and some ground reports I've read, but...O'Connor by a Lamb-style margin.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #27 on: August 06, 2018, 10:06:03 PM »
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Xing
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« Reply #28 on: August 06, 2018, 10:24:43 PM »
Balderson by 1%, though it's a Toss-Up and could go either way. Also...
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Virginiá
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« Reply #29 on: August 06, 2018, 10:31:01 PM »
Ok, seriously, Yellow heart Yellow heart Yellow heart DTC Yellow heart Yellow heart Yellow heart is right, this isn't 4chan. And this isn't a spiderman thread. It's a power bottom thread.

But seriously, Bagel + others, if you're going to have an argument about power bottoms, can you please avoid quoting the same huge image over and over and over and over and over again? It makes the page unreadable and takes away from the riveting discussion about power bottoms.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #30 on: August 06, 2018, 10:34:25 PM »
Quote from: Virginiá on August 06, 2018, 10:31:01 PM
Ok, seriously, Yellow heart Yellow heart Yellow heart DTC Yellow heart Yellow heart Yellow heart is right, this isn't 4chan. And this isn't a spiderman thread. It's a power bottom thread.

But seriously, Bagel + others, if you're going to have an argument about power bottoms, can you please avoid quoting the same huge image over and over and over and over and over again? It makes the page unreadable and takes away from the riveting discussion about power bottoms.

Sorry I'll chill down a bit.
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #31 on: August 06, 2018, 10:38:29 PM »
Write-in - Danny Sommers: 100%
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OneJ
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« Reply #32 on: August 06, 2018, 10:40:01 PM »
50-48 Balderson.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #33 on: August 06, 2018, 10:41:19 PM »
Troy is really great, I'd be tempted to vote for him if I could, but hackery prevails so go O'Connor!
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #34 on: August 06, 2018, 10:42:33 PM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 06, 2018, 10:41:19 PM
Troy is really great, I'd be tempted to vote for him if I could, but hackery prevails so go O'Connor!

You're so full of crap.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #35 on: August 06, 2018, 10:45:55 PM »
I'm going to make a depressing prediction and say Balderson wins, but by a smaller margin than what the Green candidate gets.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #36 on: August 06, 2018, 10:46:33 PM »
O'Connor by a very similar margin as Conor Lamb.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #37 on: August 06, 2018, 10:52:40 PM »
Quote from: MB on August 06, 2018, 10:46:33 PM
O'Connor by a very similar margin as Conor Lamb.

I'm going to go with this, although I don't feel that great about it.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #38 on: August 06, 2018, 10:53:51 PM »
Quote from: THE BuckeyeNut on August 06, 2018, 10:42:33 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 06, 2018, 10:41:19 PM
Troy is really great, I'd be tempted to vote for him if I could, but hackery prevails so go O'Connor!

You're so full of crap.

Troy Balderson has a cool name too, you cannot not admit that!
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #39 on: August 06, 2018, 10:55:14 PM »
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #40 on: August 06, 2018, 11:01:25 PM »
Lol I'm in a decent spot. If Balderson wins I get to be right and laugh at everyone who called my a troll for thinking Balderson wins by a decent amount, and if O'Connor wins, I will be too busy celebrating to care that I was wrong or any ridicule directed at me.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #41 on: August 06, 2018, 11:05:44 PM »
I think O'Connor wins by around 2%.

Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 06, 2018, 11:01:25 PM
Lol I'm in a decent spot. If Balderson wins I get to be right and laugh at everyone who called my a troll for thinking Balderson wins by a decent amount, and if O'Connor wins, I will be too busy celebrating to care that I was wrong or any ridicule directed at me.

At some point, you just have to take the L and live with it.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
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« Reply #42 on: August 06, 2018, 11:20:31 PM »

Eww

Also, O'Connor by less than 1%
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Horus
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« Reply #43 on: August 06, 2018, 11:22:30 PM »
Balderson by 8 now.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #44 on: August 06, 2018, 11:28:35 PM »

Weren't you the guy that predicted Saccone would win by double digits?
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
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« Reply #45 on: August 06, 2018, 11:34:11 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 06, 2018, 11:28:35 PM

Weren't you the guy that predicted Saccone would win by double digits?

Yes he was.

Him and Oldiesfreak.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #46 on: August 06, 2018, 11:37:00 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 06, 2018, 09:34:05 PM
Well, this thread took an unexpected turn!

That escalated quickly.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #47 on: August 06, 2018, 11:38:00 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on August 06, 2018, 11:34:11 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on August 06, 2018, 11:28:35 PM

Weren't you the guy that predicted Saccone would win by double digits?

Yes he was.

Him and Oldiesfreak.

Wow, O'Connor landslide imminent!
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Mycool
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« Reply #48 on: August 07, 2018, 12:25:23 AM »

1. This may be my favorite thread since joining the site.
2. If I HAD to choose a winner, I’d guess O’Connor due to momentum in the polls.
3. Balderson is really not all that attractive? John Thune, Beto, or Martin Heinrich are definitely in a class far above him.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #49 on: August 07, 2018, 12:28:58 AM »
Quote from: RubioRepublican on August 07, 2018, 12:28:06 AM
People are way overreading into the early vote totals too. The early vote will only be about 10-15% of the total vote if other specials are any indication
OH is an early voting state, sort of like the AZ special. These EV mean more than you think.
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