VA-02: Scott Taylor might be in some serious legal trouble; NEW UPDATE

[IceSpear]

Duncan Hunter is still leading by 8 points despite literally being indicted for personally spending campaign funds and pretending they were for wounded veterans. But I'm sure a few of Taylor's staffers forging petition signatures means he's doomed, lol.

Just face it guys, nobody cares about Republican scandals these days unless they're molesting children (and even that has far less impact than it should.) Maybe a few more years of polarization and that won't make a difference anymore either, and pundits and posters here will continue to whistle past the graveyard pretending the voters are logical, reasonable, and responsible.

[DrScholl]

Forging dead people's signatures is not going to be overlooked in a swing district. Northam carried this district so it was already at risk of flipping.

[IceSpear]

Yeah, if Taylor loses, he was always going to lose. Not because of this. Maybe if he loses by 0.01% and a few Very Serious Pundits live in the district and swung the outcome by voting for Luria I'll change my mind.

[wesmoorenerd]

Duncan Hunter is still leading by 8 points despite literally being indicted for personally spending campaign funds and pretending they were for wounded veterans. But I'm sure a few of Taylor's staffers forging petition signatures means he's doomed, lol.

Just face it guys, nobody cares about Republican scandals these days unless they're molesting children (and even that has far less impact than it should.) Maybe a few more years of polarization and that won't make a difference anymore either, and pundits and posters here will continue to whistle past the graveyard pretending the voters are logical, reasonable, and responsible.

Big, big difference between CA-50 and VA-02. CA-50 is deep red territory that would never vote for a Democrat under any normal scenario. VA-02 is an archetypal swing district. Taylor's scandals could have much more of an impact than Hunter's in what is a fundamentally a more competitive district.

[Zaybay]

Duncan Hunter is still leading by 8 points despite literally being indicted for personally spending campaign funds and pretending they were for wounded veterans. But I'm sure a few of Taylor's staffers forging petition signatures means he's doomed, lol.

Just face it guys, nobody cares about Republican scandals these days unless they're molesting children (and even that has far less impact than it should.) Maybe a few more years of polarization and that won't make a difference anymore either, and pundits and posters here will continue to whistle past the graveyard pretending the voters are logical, reasonable, and responsible.

Big, big difference between CA-50 and VA-02. CA-50 is deep red territory that would never vote for a Democrat under any normal scenario. VA-02 is an archetypal swing district. Taylor's scandals could have much more of an impact than Hunter's in what is a fundamentally a more competitive district.

Exactly this. An R district with a PVI of 11 was always going to be a tough nut to crack, but VA-02 only has a PVI of R+2. The fact that we are only 8 points behind is pretty good in itself. But Taylor was always on the ropes, and this can easily push him off.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Duncan Hunter is still leading by 8 points despite literally being indicted for personally spending campaign funds and pretending they were for wounded veterans. But I'm sure a few of Taylor's staffers forging petition signatures means he's doomed, lol.

Just face it guys, nobody cares about Republican scandals these days unless they're molesting children (and even that has far less impact than it should.) Maybe a few more years of polarization and that won't make a difference anymore either, and pundits and posters here will continue to whistle past the graveyard pretending the voters are logical, reasonable, and responsible.

Big, big difference between CA-50 and VA-02. CA-50 is deep red territory that would never vote for a Democrat under any normal scenario. VA-02 is an archetypal swing district. Taylor's scandals could have much more of an impact than Hunter's in what is a fundamentally a more competitive district.

Exactly this. An R district with a PVI of 11 was always going to be a tough nut to crack, but VA-02 only has a PVI of R+2. The fact that we are only 8 points behind is pretty good in itself. But Taylor was always on the ropes, and this can easily push him off.

Dogpiling on here to say that Hunter's been in the House for almost a decade and his family has been in Congress since the 80s, while Taylor is a nobody-backbencher who's finishing out his first term. No wonder people are going to be more loyal to one than the other.

[IceSpear]

Duncan Hunter is still leading by 8 points despite literally being indicted for personally spending campaign funds and pretending they were for wounded veterans. But I'm sure a few of Taylor's staffers forging petition signatures means he's doomed, lol.

Just face it guys, nobody cares about Republican scandals these days unless they're molesting children (and even that has far less impact than it should.) Maybe a few more years of polarization and that won't make a difference anymore either, and pundits and posters here will continue to whistle past the graveyard pretending the voters are logical, reasonable, and responsible.

Big, big difference between CA-50 and VA-02. CA-50 is deep red territory that would never vote for a Democrat under any normal scenario. VA-02 is an archetypal swing district. Taylor's scandals could have much more of an impact than Hunter's in what is a fundamentally a more competitive district.

Hunter's scandal is far worse, and he was personally indicted for it. As of now, Taylor can easily pass this off as some overzealous staff members acting on their own accord.

[new_patomic]

Rep. Called Constituent In Effort To Bury First Allegation Of Signature Forgery

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[Ebsy]

Accessory after the fact right there. Wouldn't be surprised if he saw prison time.

[Doimper]

Rep. Called Constituent In Effort To Bury First Allegation Of Signature Forgery

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So much for passing it off.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Even if the crime isn't as attention-grabbing as child molestation, the constant drip of bad news is certainly taking a toll on Taylor.
Much more now that he is personally implicated in this whole affair.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Accessory after the fact right there. Wouldn't be surprised if he saw prison time.

No it isn’t, but this is still a very bad look at best and he’s gonna lose Re-election. 

[wesmoorenerd]

The scandal keeps building up. I get that scandals aren't what they used to be, but in such a competitive district in a state which will have a hellish environment for Republicans regardless? Tilt D.

[henster]

It has not really broken through on local news yet, the stations aren't really covering it.

[junior chįmp]

Haha

(VA-02) Rep. Taylor subpoenaed in alleged forged signature case

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

I don't understand why 538 still has Taylor as a 93% favorite to win this race.  I know their model won't capture the specifics of an individual scandal, but the have the "fundamentals" of this district at R+12%.  Where are they getting this from?  This is an R+3 seat that Northam won by 4 points.  Shouldn't it at least be a toss-up in this environment regardless of the incumbent?

[Zaybay]

Haha

(VA-02) Rep. Taylor subpoenaed in alleged forged signature case

I really am tempted to move this to likely D

[TarHeelDem]

This race is at least Lean D. Need to do more research before moving it to Likely.

[Roronoa D. Law]

I'm surprised how things turned to the worst for Taylor just a few months ago everybody said this race was lean R. People told me he was a strong incumbent Taylor and how bipartisan he was for going on CNN and disagree with Trump.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I'm surprised how things turned to the worst for Taylor just a few months ago everybody said this race was lean R. People told me he was a strong incumbent Taylor and how bipartisan he was for going on CNN and disagree with Trump.

If this hadn’t happened, he would’ve won.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/virginianpilot/status/1037395082494795776

https://twitter.com/brendanponton/status/1037391877652271104

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/virginianpilot/status/1037395082494795776

https://twitter.com/brendanponton/status/1037391877652271104

[ajc0918]

Great news for Democrats.

[TarHeelDem]

https://twitter.com/virginianpilot/status/1037395082494795776

https://twitter.com/brendanponton/status/1037391877652271104

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qs6pxUwF5Iw

[Antonio the Sixth]

Yeah, the "this won't matter" position on this is starting to get ridiculous.