With both candidates now decided, rate GA-Gov

[Mr. Smith]

Tilt R, would've said Likely D if Cagle had won.

[😥]

I would really like Stacey Abrams to win, but if you look at the situation objectively, then it's

Lean R

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Tossup

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Abrams will win the peach state

[Beet]

I'd be shocked if Kemp won at this point. Abrams seems to be a media superstar and I've never seen the Georgia Democrats this excited. Cagle was the only one who could've stopped her.

[Suburbia]

Lean R.

Kemp wins 54-46.

[OneJ]

Lean R seems most appropriate at this point imo, but closer to tilt R.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

I'd be shocked if Kemp won at this point. Abrams seems to be a media superstar and I've never seen the Georgia Democrats this excited. None of the current GOP crop could've stopped her.

[Sir Mohamed]

Toss-up to tilt R.

It would be huge if Abrams wins, but I guess it's too early for electing a black female gov. Ask me again in October.

[smoltchanov]

Lean R. Few years from now Georgia will elect Democratic governor again. But this year - Republican is still favored.

[Bojack Horseman]

Safe R

[libertpaulian]

Tilt R.  Georgia still has enough of a rural and small town population to elect conservatives, and Kemp fits the "Southron" persona to a T.  The base will be motivated enough to vote for him this year. 

The only question is...will ENOUGH of them vote?  Can Abrams win the right margins in the right places?  That's why I rate it as Tilt.  She has a chance.  It's a steep hill, but for her, it's climbable.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There's gonna be a power shift in DC, and with that comes new women elected statewide to Congress and Governors; including Stacy Abrams, and Kyrsten Sinema.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Safe R

LOL

[libertpaulian]

Safe R

LOL

Yeah, even 1-Term Donnelly doesn't think this race is safe, and he thinks EVERY Democrat this fall is going to lose.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Tossup, but I'd pick Cagle as the favorite if I had to pick one. We'll have to wait and see if the blue (red?) wave hits Georgia.

[America Needs R'hllor]

Tossup, but I'd pick Cagle as the favorite if I had to pick one. We'll have to wait and see if the blue (red?) wave hits Georgia.

Here's how Bernie can still win!

[mvd10]

Tilt R because Georgia is rather inelastic. But I can see Abrams narrowly winning if she manages to pick up enough suburban whites and increases black turnout. Which is possible in the age of Trump I guess.

[Orser67]

Lean R, I think Abrams will have a tough time winning >50% or winning the run-off.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Tossup, but I'd pick Cagle as the favorite if I had to pick one. We'll have to wait and see if the blue (red?) wave hits Georgia.

Here's how Bernie can still win!

Lol. I screwed that one up. Gotta go to bed earlier.

[Ogre Mage]

Abrams is an appealing candidate and this is a Democratic-favored year.  Kemp's candidate quality is about average.  GA has a solid Republican lean and a runoff may be a problem for Abrams.  On balance, I'd say the race is Tilt R.  An Abrams win would be a surprise, but not a shock.

[Dr. MB]

Clear tossup. A win by either candidate would not be surprising in the slightest.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Abrams is leading in polling and Kemp is a nutcase. Lean D.

[Fuzzy Bear]

Lean R to Likely R.

Trump has more pull in GA than most people give him credit for.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Trump has more pull in GA than most people give him credit for.

This is based on what exactly?