2012: Obama doesn't authorize raid on Bin Laden compound

[HillGoose]

For some reason the raid never happens, neither does a drone strike or anything.

Does this POD in mid-2011 affect anything? I know it improved his numbers in the polls for like a month, but then things got worse again over the debt ceiling, credit downgrade, etc.

I just wonder if the death of Bin Laden not occurring has any long-term impacts in terms of perceptions of Obama as a leader, perhaps as weaker in a way that might affect 2012.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Obama would still win but "Bin Laden is dead. GM is alive" was a compelling message of his during the 2012 election. Without it, his performance might be mildly affected in Florida, or some of the other closer states in Romney's favor.

[NewYorkExpress]

Obama loses a close election...but Democrats keep the House and Senate.

[Nyssus]

Barack Obama/Joe Biden: 320 EV, 52%

Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan: 218 EV, 46%

Others: 0 EV, 2%

[South Dakota Democrat]

Barack Obama/Joe Biden: 320 EV, 52%

Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan: 218 EV, 46%

Others: 0 EV, 2%

This map/the PV numbers make no sense at all.

[Agonized-Statism]

President Barack Obama (D-IL) / Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) ✓
Fmr. Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA) / Congressman Paul Ryan (R-WI)

[dw93]

Barack Obama / Joe Biden: 272 EV, 49% PV
Mitt Romney / Paul Ryan: 266 EV, 48& PV

The lack of the Bin Laden raid narrowly tips Virginia to Romney. Colorado, the deciding state, holds for Obama by just a few thousand votes.

[lord_moxley]