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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  WV-PPP: Manchin +7 without Blankenship, +11 with Blankenship
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Author Topic: WV-PPP: Manchin +7 without Blankenship, +11 with Blankenship  (Read 3012 times)
ON Progressive
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« on: June 28, 2018, 09:10:03 am »
« edited: June 28, 2018, 09:49:43 am by ON Progressive »

No Blankenship:
Manchin 49
Morrissey 42

With Blankenship:
Manchin 46
Morrissey 35
Blankenship 11

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DgyShkYVMAE8_EU.jpg:large

If/when a PDF or something comes out for the full poll, I'll edit to include that.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2018, 09:15:46 am »

Manchin is in a really good position.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #2 on: June 28, 2018, 09:19:54 am »

#ManchinBelow50
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #3 on: June 28, 2018, 09:40:03 am »

The dynamic of this race has changed with the Crts. This will become comletetive again
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #4 on: June 28, 2018, 09:53:36 am »

That margin for Manchin is narrowing down. RED WAVE IS COMING!!
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westroopnerd
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« Reply #5 on: June 28, 2018, 10:01:35 am »

The dynamic of this race has changed with the Crts. This will become comletetive again

I doubt it. West Virginia voters are economic-thinking pragmatists and I seriously doubt they'll be swayed by SCOTUS like an Orange County conservative would be.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #6 on: June 28, 2018, 10:27:43 am »

Even Robert Byrd had to vote yes on Sam Alito in 2006. Manchin might be in trouble if he votes no on Supreme Court.
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Skye
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« Reply #7 on: June 28, 2018, 11:04:07 am »

I guess Manchin could be in a worse position.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #8 on: June 28, 2018, 11:07:11 am »

Even Robert Byrd had to vote yes on Sam Alito in 2006. Manchin might be in trouble if he votes no on Supreme Court.

Manchin will surely vote for any nominee Trump puts up.
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#Klobmentum
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« Reply #9 on: June 28, 2018, 11:09:05 am »

Even Robert Byrd had to vote yes on Sam Alito in 2006. Manchin might be in trouble if he votes no on Supreme Court.

Yeah, I really dont see Manchin voting no unless Collins or Murkowski vote no. That goes for all red state dems. Schumer will only hold the line and put red state senators at risk if it actually stop's whomever Trump nominates.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #10 on: June 28, 2018, 11:21:58 am »

The dynamic of this race has changed with the Crts. This will become comletetive again
no one cares about the Supreme Court. No one cares about how their senator voted for it. In the news cycle we live in, this issue will be forgotten quickly. The shutdown was said to drown Democratic chances. That guy who was a doctor, I think, and Tester opposed him, i thought that was suppost to be the issue that brought him down. Partisans may care about the SC, but they were going to vote anyway. The issues that matter for the actual swing voters are the economy, healthcare and tariffs. These actually impact their lives and can actually swing elections.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #11 on: June 28, 2018, 11:29:59 am »

MANCHIN!!!!!!!!!!! YAaAaaAAaaAAAaaAAAAsssssss!!!!!!!!

Anyways, to be the screaming that this dumb supreme court thing will help Morrisey are fooling themselves, because Manchin will vote for whoever the heck it is.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #12 on: June 28, 2018, 11:31:07 am »

Manchin votes for any conservative jurist Trump puts up and so does Donnelly and Heidi
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #13 on: June 28, 2018, 11:39:29 am »

The most likely outcome is that Kennedy is replaced by someone more conservative before the end of the summer, so it won't directly impact the elections. The only way Trump can bungle it is by nominating a Roy Moore-type, i.e. someone even Republicans will balk at confirming.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #14 on: June 28, 2018, 11:49:14 am »

I guess Manchin could be in a worse position.

Yeah, I guess it would be nice for yall if Morrisey could lead in even a SINGLE non-internal thusfar.
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #15 on: June 28, 2018, 12:44:41 pm »

Manchin, and for that matter Donnelly, Heitkamp, and McCaskill, are thanking the good Lord that they have the chance to vote for a Trump SCOTUS nominee weeks before the election.

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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #16 on: June 28, 2018, 01:00:44 pm »

Manchin, and for that matter Donnelly, Heitkamp, and McCaskill, are thanking the good Lord that they have the chance to vote for a Trump SCOTUS nominee weeks before the election.



Yes, can be very helpful for them. I have no idea how the others will vote, but I can almost guarantee you that Manchin and Heitkamp will be supporting President Trump's nominee.
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Jimmy Butler 2020
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« Reply #17 on: June 28, 2018, 01:02:49 pm »

Dang, Blankenship is strong in this poll. Obviously, well have to wait and see if hell get on the ballot and if this is just the usual overstated 3rd party total.
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brand_allen
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« Reply #18 on: June 28, 2018, 01:44:24 pm »

So I take it Blankenship is planning to mount a write-in campaign? Because West Virginia has sore loser laws in place that prevent losing candidates in Republican or Democratic primaries from filing to run as Independents.
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Babeuf
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« Reply #19 on: June 28, 2018, 02:41:45 pm »

Manchin's favorables in this poll (39-48) are worrying. Of course, Morrisey's are worse (30-44) but not a great sign.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #20 on: June 28, 2018, 03:55:52 pm »

Manchin's favorables in this poll (39-48) are worrying. Of course, Morrisey's are worse (30-44) but not a great sign.

And Jim Justice is at 27-47.  Of course, life always sucks in WV.  Trump is at 64 approval though because dumbs.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #21 on: June 28, 2018, 04:08:14 pm »

Manchin's favorables in this poll (39-48) are worrying. Of course, Morrisey's are worse (30-44) but not a great sign.

25% of Clinton voters in WV have an unfavourable opinion of Manchin in this poll, so that explains a part of it.
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Beto/Biden/Allred voter 4 Cornyn's NUT maps
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« Reply #22 on: June 28, 2018, 04:21:59 pm »

Lean D, would have been a Tossup with Jenkins. It will be pretty amusing if top-tier recruit Morrisey loses by more than unelectable joke candidate Matt Rosendale.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #23 on: June 28, 2018, 04:29:38 pm »

Lean D, would have been a Tossup with Jenkins. It will be pretty amusing if top-tier recruit Morrisey loses by more than unelectable joke candidate Matt Rosendale.

Agreed on the first two words, but I'll leave out the random conjecture.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #24 on: June 28, 2018, 07:32:59 pm »

So I take it Blankenship is planning to mount a write-in campaign? Because West Virginia has sore loser laws in place that prevent losing candidates in Republican or Democratic primaries from filing to run as Independents.

Im curious about the method too
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