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November 27, 2020, 06:06:15 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  CA-Gov. SurveyUSA: Newsom +29
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Author Topic: CA-Gov. SurveyUSA: Newsom +29  (Read 1681 times)
Sir Mohamed
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« on: June 28, 2018, 04:22:57 AM »

New SurveyUSA finds Gavin Newsom with a commanding lead over John Cox:

Gavin Newsom (D): 58%
John Cox (R): 29%
Undecided: 13%

559 LVs.

Link

Titanium D, nothing more to see and say here.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2018, 04:37:41 AM »

Even with that Hispanics seemed to be under polled.

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ON Progressive
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« Reply #2 on: June 28, 2018, 05:45:50 AM »

#NewsomBelow60
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Nancy Goroff Stan
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« Reply #3 on: June 28, 2018, 06:06:32 AM »

Why the f*** is California still being polled? Why not, instead of California, we actually get some decent polling from Connecticut, or Maine, or Arizona?
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #4 on: June 28, 2018, 06:47:36 AM »

Why the f*** is California still being polled? Why not, instead of California, we actually get some decent polling from Connecticut, or Maine, or Arizona?
Pollsters still think it's 1994, apparently.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #5 on: June 28, 2018, 07:08:00 AM »

CA GOP at extinction levels.
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Skye
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« Reply #6 on: June 28, 2018, 07:09:31 AM »

Wow, this poll is even worse than I expected for Cox.
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Southern Governor Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #7 on: June 28, 2018, 07:11:00 AM »
« Edited: June 28, 2018, 07:18:38 AM by Punxsutawney Phil »

Let's get an island off Costa Rica and make a park dedicated to displaying the last specimens of the California Grand Old Party, now an extinct species. If you build it, they will come!
Darrell Issa-saurus
Pete Wilsonadon
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: June 28, 2018, 07:14:46 AM »

Why the f*** is California still being polled? Why not, instead of California, we actually get some decent polling from Connecticut, or Maine, or Arizona?
Pollsters still think it's 1994, apparently.

It's because these TV stations/Newspaper paid for this poll:

KABC-TV Los Angeles
KFSN-TV Fresno
KGTV-TV San Diego
KPIX-TV San Francisco
San Diego Union-Tribune
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Nancy Goroff Stan
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« Reply #9 on: June 28, 2018, 09:25:44 AM »


For real. Dems already have a massive majority of House seats, and there's a good chance the GOP pisses away six more (Issa, Royce, Knight, Denham, Rohrabacher, Walters) this cycle, not to mention Valadao's up for a significantly tougher battle with higher turnout in 2020. After 2020, there's a good chance the CA GOP is reduced to a pathetic seven Republicans left.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #10 on: June 28, 2018, 09:28:51 AM »

A 64-36 Newsom win is not out of the question at this point.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11 on: June 28, 2018, 09:44:23 AM »

A 64-36 Newsom win is not out of the question at this point.

Yup, it'll be anywhere between 61-39% and 65-35%.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #12 on: June 28, 2018, 11:36:24 AM »

Looking better.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #13 on: June 28, 2018, 11:45:40 AM »

Wow, this poll is even worse than I expected for Cox.

Not to sound like Miles, but you could say his numbers are a bit flaccid. 
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We Made PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #14 on: June 28, 2018, 01:20:59 PM »

Pundit: "Well Trump DID endorse Cox, so this has to be a tilt D race!"
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brand_allen
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« Reply #15 on: June 28, 2018, 01:30:03 PM »

This result seems like the most likely outcome of any of the four Newsom v. Cox polls we've seen thus far. Previous polls found a tied race (Cox internal from March), found Newsom +10 (Tulchin Research from April), and found Newsom +17 (LA Times/USC poll from last week).
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Greatblueheron
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« Reply #16 on: June 28, 2018, 01:35:01 PM »

The outcome of this race will probably be anything from a 60-40 Newsom win to a 65-35 Newsom win.
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Monstro Believed in a Blue Georgia (and a Blue Texas)
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« Reply #17 on: June 28, 2018, 02:42:32 PM »

Looking back, this has to be some of the worst poll numbers for a GOP gubernatorial candidate in CA.

I found polls showing Whitman & Kashkari below 30%, but those were over a year before their respective generals.
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #18 on: June 28, 2018, 05:06:47 PM »

Well the more interesting part of the poll is that that the gas tax repeal is up 46-33 and only 13% of Californians would vote yes to split the state into three separate states.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #19 on: June 28, 2018, 06:49:53 PM »

New Poll: California Governor by Survey USA on 2018-06-27

Summary: D: 58%, R: 29%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #20 on: June 29, 2018, 01:35:05 AM »

Well the more interesting part of the poll is that that the gas tax repeal is up 46-33 and only 13% of Californians would vote yes to split the state into three separate states.

Doesn't matter. In 2014, two thirds of IL voted for an increase of the minimum wage and Rauner still got elected.
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○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
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« Reply #21 on: June 29, 2018, 01:59:56 AM »

Well the more interesting part of the poll is that that the gas tax repeal is up 46-33 and only 13% of Californians would vote yes to split the state into three separate states.

Doesn't matter. In 2014, two thirds of IL voted for an increase of the minimum wage and Rauner still got elected.

This gas tax repeal being up 13 is pretty crazy since even the California Chamber of Commerce opposes it.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #22 on: June 29, 2018, 02:05:21 AM »

Well the more interesting part of the poll is that that the gas tax repeal is up 46-33 and only 13% of Californians would vote yes to split the state into three separate states.

Doesn't matter. In 2014, two thirds of IL voted for an increase of the minimum wage and Rauner still got elected.

This gas tax repeal being up 13 is pretty crazy since even the California Chamber of Commerce opposes it.

The question is whether people really care about the Chamber of Commerce?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #23 on: June 29, 2018, 02:39:28 AM »

people voting to repeal a tax given the option is not shocking. I'd be shocked if they were voting to keep it.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #24 on: June 29, 2018, 05:59:29 AM »

people voting to repeal a tax given the option is not shocking. I'd be shocked if they were voting to keep it.

There is a reason why in most jurisdictions referendums on fiscal matters are forbidden.
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