The Bagel23/X Marks the Spot Cellar of Exquisitely Aged Content

[Politician]

Why should she stand down?

It was a consensual relationship and it started before she became a congresswoman. Hill seems to actually be the victim here as this is a major violation of her privacy. Plus, it seems that the only places picking it up are right-wing outlets.

She could actually sue on the basis of revenge porn.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Beshear wins 54-44-2.

Preemptively marked

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If working-class whites in Kentucky support Trump so much, why did I just vote against him?

All the Trump support I see here is from the rich.

Big yikes

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Just out of curiosity, how much do you think Bevin loses by? And your guesses for the other statewide races while you are at it.

Beshear +5. Attorney General and SoS +10 each.

I haven't even thought about the other races, since most of those have been Republican forever.

And what did you think in 2015 around this same time buddy?

Conway +5 just like every poll says.

Ah, I see.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

lol, Beshear is gonna curbstomp.

Won't be by this much, but I will definitely lol when y'all have egg on your faces. That's for sure.

Oh man XD

[Thunder98]

This thread is absolutely hilarious with hindsight.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=165525.msg3534493;topicseen#msg3534493

[Badger]

Just out of curiosity, how much do you think Bevin loses by? And your guesses for the other statewide races while you are at it.

Beshear +5. Attorney General and SoS +10 each.

I haven't even thought about the other races, since most of those have been Republican forever.

And what did you think in 2015 around this same time buddy?

Conway +5 just like every poll says.

Ah, I see.

In fairness, it was a lot easier to believe considering Bevan blew the polls out of the water back then.

This is not to say, though, that Bandits takes on this race aren't characteristically ridiculous

[IceSpear]

Gonna dark-horse it and say Beto, mostly as Sanders/Warren/Biden cancel each other out.

[lfromnj]

Yeah just bumping for tonight,

[Skunk]

Yeah I'll go ahead and put some of my KY-Gov quotes here. I'm sure there's more and people can find them if they want, my apologies to Bandit!

No, we don't. Bevin is the worst governor in the country. It's just that Republicans win elections in Kentucky.

KY:
Bevin: 51%
Beshear: 47%

I think you just need to accept that you’re gonna be stuck with Bevin for another four years bro.

[lfromnj]

Yeah I think its clear Icespear deserves the honor of this thread

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Yeah this totally needs a rename now.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[ltomlinson31]

Yeah I'll go ahead and put some of my KY-Gov quotes here. I'm sure there's more and people can find them if they want, my apologies to Bandit!

I'll add my own too!

https://twitter.com/MattJonesRadio/status/1182480886555648000

He also did say months before that Beshear had a 10-12% lead in polling early on, but it looks like it's vanished since. Very surprising to see a Democrat hold an early lead in a race in Kentucky only to see it disappear as the race goes on. Very unprecedented.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Umm wow, just post my stuff in here. I was wrong, good job. Congrats. I've also lost my dignity as you maybe can guess by some of my recent activity on here, but that's all I am allowed to say.

[Thunder98]

Kentucky: Bevin +9

Louisiana: Rispone +4

Mississippi: Reeves +8

Boy was I so wrong on KY.

[lfromnj]

Kentucky: Bevin +9

Louisiana: Rispone +4

Mississippi: Reeves +8

Boy was I so wrong on KY.

[AtorBoltox]

Yeah I'll go ahead and put some of my KY-Gov quotes here. I'm sure there's more and people can find them if they want, my apologies to Bandit!

I'll add my own too!

https://twitter.com/MattJonesRadio/status/1182480886555648000

He also did say months before that Beshear had a 10-12% lead in polling early on, but it looks like it's vanished since. Very surprising to see a Democrat hold an early lead in a race in Kentucky only to see it disappear as the race goes on. Very unprecedented.

You weren't wrong- he still won but won by less than 1% after those 12% leads

[Politician]

Remember when posters were saying a few months back that a Dem triple sweep this year was more likely than an R sweep? LOL

HA HA HA

[KaiserDave]

Here in Georgia with a bunch of organizers and party people on my social media (more of them white than black I might add) and this announcement by far has gotten the biggest and most fervent reaction. She’s sweeping the South.

No offense to RFK, and this is a bit early. But it has hardly aged that well.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

#Populist Beshear will win dozens of rural Appalachian counties again if nominee!

Ice what's your bet on elliot? I'm going Tilt r unless Adkins is the nominee then I think its lean d.
Previously I would have said likely but the manchin btfo in the coal counties made me change my mind.

My "bold" prediction is that Beshear wins only three counties: Jefferson, Fayette, and Franklin. Maybe if he's lucky he'll win them by a large enough margin to not get BTFO statewide too badly, but I wouldn't count on it. Atlas will be dismayed because clearly he was supposed to sweep Appalachia just like Appalachian Heroes Mark Warner, Ted Strickland, Jack Conway, Richard Ojeda, Phil Bredesen, Amy McGrath, Alison Lundergan Grimes, Sherrod Brown, Joe Manchin, etc. #ILearnedNothingFrom2016Or2018

[Politician]

But muh-incumbency

Muh-elastic south

JBE will follow the path of Mary Landrieu, be competitive up until the jungle primary and then have nearly all the undecideds break against him during the runoff

56-44 Abraham over Edwards in Runoff (FLIP)

The deep south is gonna teach everybody a lesson in inelasticity.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Safe R. The margin will probably be closeish for Kentucky but that doesn’t change the fact there is no realistic way for Beshear to win

Lean Bevin. The race has definitely moved in his favor to the surprise of nobody.

Nobody? I take issue with that assertion.

Titanium R obv.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Time to stick a fork in this one. Governor Rispone is a go

Bummer.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Uh, Edwards is leading in every nonpartisan poll, folks.

Rispone doesn't have a chance.

Two words: Trump. Rallies.