2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please  (Read 144991 times)
KingSweden
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« Reply #925 on: August 23, 2018, 05:02:50 PM »
Quote from: Zaybay on August 23, 2018, 04:50:17 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on August 23, 2018, 04:47:17 PM
These are some catastrophic cross tabs for the GOP...

They're tied with the Democrats in Western PA 45-45%

Democrats are winning whites 46-44%

Democrats are winning African Americans 93-5%

Democrats winning the Northeast 50-40%

Dems winning Philly Suburbs 56-35%

Dems winning Small cities 49-40%

Dems winning Suburbs 55-36%

Dems winning small towns 43-41%
If the Ds are getting numbers like this in the Philly Suburbs, then the state legislature is a tossup.

House, absolutely. Think they’d still be short in the Senate
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #926 on: August 23, 2018, 05:13:15 PM »
We might be seeing a resurgence in Democrat support in the west. Both Casey and Wolf are leading in that region. PA-14 could surprisingly be competitive. The D nom has strong ties in Westmoreland county.
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Devils30
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« Reply #927 on: August 23, 2018, 05:23:52 PM »
PA-14 is not in play. Lamb's win in March was pretty much the ceiling and this one is harder.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #928 on: August 23, 2018, 08:17:11 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on August 23, 2018, 04:47:17 PM
These are some catastrophic cross tabs for the GOP...

They're tied with the Democrats in Western PA 45-45%

Democrats are winning whites 46-44%

Democrats are winning African Americans 93-5%

Democrats winning the Northeast 50-40%

Dems winning Philly Suburbs 56-35%

Dems winning Small cities 49-40%

Dems winning Suburbs 55-36%

Dems winning small towns 43-41%

So, Democrats are winning everything then? #County Sweep Tongue
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #929 on: August 23, 2018, 08:37:17 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on August 23, 2018, 04:47:17 PM
These are some catastrophic cross tabs for the GOP...

They're tied with the Democrats in Western PA 45-45%

Democrats are winning whites 46-44%

Democrats are winning African Americans 93-5%

Democrats winning the Northeast 50-40%

Dems winning Philly Suburbs 56-35%

Dems winning Small cities 49-40%

Dems winning Suburbs 55-36%

Dems winning small towns 43-41%

PA-05, PA-06, PA-07, and PA-17 were pretty much already guaranteed flips, but this portends even better news for PA Democrats. If the Dems are really winning Philly suburbs by 21, there's a very good chance Scott Wallace gets swept in by the wave in PA-01. PA-10 and PA-16 are clearly in play, and PA-11 may honestly be competitive with a strong candidate in Jess King.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #930 on: August 24, 2018, 06:53:33 PM »
Morning Consult/Politico, Aug. 23-24, 1564 registered voters

D: 44 (-1)
R: 36 (nc)
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #931 on: August 24, 2018, 07:51:43 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on August 23, 2018, 04:47:17 PM
These are some catastrophic cross tabs for the GOP...

They're tied with the Democrats in Western PA 45-45%

Democrats are winning whites 46-44%

Democrats are winning African Americans 93-5%

Democrats winning the Northeast 50-40%

Dems winning Philly Suburbs 56-35%

Dems winning Small cities 49-40%

Dems winning Suburbs 55-36%

Dems winning small towns 43-41%
BUT MUH CANDACE OWENS

BUT MUH #WALKAWAY

Seriously, though, under a toxic President like Drumpf, I was expecting Dem numbers with AA's to revert back to the mean.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #932 on: August 25, 2018, 10:40:53 AM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on August 24, 2018, 07:51:43 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on August 23, 2018, 04:47:17 PM
These are some catastrophic cross tabs for the GOP...

They're tied with the Democrats in Western PA 45-45%

Democrats are winning whites 46-44%

Democrats are winning African Americans 93-5%

Democrats winning the Northeast 50-40%

Dems winning Philly Suburbs 56-35%

Dems winning Small cities 49-40%

Dems winning Suburbs 55-36%

Dems winning small towns 43-41%
BUT MUH CANDACE OWENS

BUT MUH #WALKAWAY

Seriously, though, under a toxic President like Drumpf, I was expecting Dem numbers with AA's to revert back to the mean.



But Muh black on back crime!
Lol republicans.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #933 on: August 25, 2018, 11:30:05 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 24, 2018, 06:53:33 PM
Morning Consult/Politico, Aug. 23-24, 1564 registered voters

D: 44 (-1)
R: 36 (nc)

Wow.

Democrats are collapsing.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #934 on: August 25, 2018, 11:45:14 AM »

I feel the disarray closing in from all sides!
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #935 on: August 25, 2018, 12:20:56 PM »
Quote from: westroopnerd on August 25, 2018, 11:45:14 AM

I feel the disarray closing in from all sides!

Oh no, Dems are #WalkingAway!
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #936 on: August 25, 2018, 05:51:42 PM »

WHAT IS THEIR MESSAGE!?
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #937 on: August 26, 2018, 05:15:11 AM »

IDENTITY POLITICS
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #938 on: August 26, 2018, 10:27:52 AM »
NBC

D: 50(+2)
R: 42
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #939 on: August 26, 2018, 10:57:15 AM »

Assuming that's this poll, it appears that the previous one (July) was 49/43, so it should be D: 50 (+1), R: 42 (-1)
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #940 on: August 26, 2018, 02:33:24 PM »
Frustrating!  Only one new poll today and that is a generic.

Have none of the pollsters considered polling the two tribal Americas to see if that adds any clarity to polling.
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Politician
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« Reply #941 on: August 26, 2018, 04:04:07 PM »
BUT MUH POLLS PREDICTED HIlLARY LANDSLIDE HAVE YOU LEARNED NOTHING LIBTARDS
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Lognog
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« Reply #942 on: August 26, 2018, 05:23:47 PM »
Quote from: Racist Ancestral Democrat on August 26, 2018, 04:04:07 PM
BUT MUH POLLS PREDICTED HIlLARY LANDSLIDE HAVE YOU LEARNED NOTHING LIBTARDS

can't believe the Democrats are in so much disarray :/
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #943 on: August 27, 2018, 10:14:05 AM »
MO-2: Remington Research (R), Aug. 22-23, 983 likely voters.

Ann Wagner (R, inc): 51
Cort Van Ostran (D): 40

Trump approval: 50/46
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #944 on: August 27, 2018, 10:17:57 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 27, 2018, 10:14:05 AM
MO-2: Remington Research (R), Aug. 22-23, 983 likely voters.

Ann Wagner (R, inc): 51
Cort Van Ostran (D): 40

Trump approval: 50/46

For an R internal, that is not a particularly impressive lead. While Wagner is more likely than not to win at this point, this leads credence to the idea that this seat (which has not really been very much on the board) could potentially be in play. It is currently likely R, but seems like it could end up being more like lean R if that is the best that can be gotten from an R internal.
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #945 on: August 27, 2018, 10:30:42 AM »
Quote from: The Impartial Spectator 👁 on August 27, 2018, 10:17:57 AM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 27, 2018, 10:14:05 AM
MO-2: Remington Research (R), Aug. 22-23, 983 likely voters.

Ann Wagner (R, inc): 51
Cort Van Ostran (D): 40

Trump approval: 50/46

For an R internal, that is not a particularly impressive lead. While Wagner is more likely than not to win at this point, this leads credence to the idea that this seat (which has not really been very much on the board) could potentially be in play. It is currently likely R, but seems like it could end up being more like lean R if that is the best that can be gotten from an R internal.

Hmm, apparently it isn't an internal, just a regular poll done by an R pollster? In that case not so bad for Wagner and Likely R still seems merited.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #946 on: August 27, 2018, 11:58:00 AM »
Harvard/Harris, Aug. 22-23, 1330 registered voters (change from last month)


D: 45 (+2)
R: 37 (+1)
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Skye
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« Reply #947 on: August 27, 2018, 12:04:44 PM »
Siena's dropping a poll of NY-24 tonight:



My guess is that Katko leads.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #948 on: August 27, 2018, 02:41:34 PM »
Quote from: yeah_93 on August 27, 2018, 12:04:44 PM
Siena's dropping a poll of NY-24 tonight:



My guess is that Katko leads.
Ill say its either a statistical tie, or a Balter lead.
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American2020
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« Reply #949 on: August 27, 2018, 02:55:48 PM »
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