2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please  (Read 144997 times)
OneJ
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« Reply #325 on: July 19, 2018, 12:39:21 AM »

Really? A Trump +11 sample is what they came up with in Montana? I was just about to get excited...
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #326 on: July 19, 2018, 12:43:22 AM »

Really? A Trump +11 sample is what they came up with in Montana? I was just about to get excited...

Maybe some people are too embarrassed to admit they voted for Trump.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #327 on: July 19, 2018, 11:40:08 AM »

Really? A Trump +11 sample is what they came up with in Montana? I was just about to get excited...

electorates can change composition, especially when going from a presidential to a midterm election
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Gass3268
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« Reply #328 on: July 19, 2018, 11:55:46 AM »

That Colorado number is brutal for Coffman. A number like that might even put CO-03 in play.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #329 on: July 19, 2018, 01:15:22 PM »
« Edited: July 19, 2018, 04:34:18 PM by Brittain33 »

Wow. Diane Harkey (R) internal in CA-49 shows her leading Mike Levin by 3 points.

http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/internal-poll-harkey-has-slight-lead-over-levin-in-californias-49th-district

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Levin (D) - 43
Harkey (R) - 46

/trolling deleted
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #330 on: July 19, 2018, 01:18:56 PM »

Of all the competitive seats in California, CA-49 was last on my list to see a Republican leading in a poll.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #331 on: July 19, 2018, 01:19:07 PM »

LL posted a Harkey internal showing her up three points and called it disasterous for Democrats, for those who don’t want to unignore him and see.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #332 on: July 19, 2018, 02:11:29 PM »

I'm still confused why he was allowed back on this board.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #333 on: July 19, 2018, 02:12:53 PM »

LL posted a Harkey internal showing her up three points and called it disasterous for Democrats, for those who don’t want to unignore him and see.

Thank you! I'm guessing because it's 3.5 months out and the Republican is within the margin of error in their own internals, he's saying the Democrats are sh**t out of luck this year?
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #334 on: July 19, 2018, 02:18:23 PM »

LL posted a Harkey internal showing her up three points and called it disasterous for Democrats, for those who don’t want to unignore him and see.

Thank you! I'm guessing because it's 3.5 months out and the Republican is within the margin of error in their own internals, he's saying the Democrats are sh**t out of luck this year?

CA-49 is supposed to be one of the easiest seats for Ds to pickup this year. Even if this internal was literally the best case scenario for Harkey, it shouldn't be a Republican lead. Clinton +9 open seat with a well funded Democratic opponent.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #335 on: July 19, 2018, 02:19:18 PM »

LL posted a Harkey internal showing her up three points and called it disasterous for Democrats, for those who don’t want to unignore him and see.

Thanks. Next time just mention the numbers. Nobody cares about Andrew's editorializing.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #336 on: July 19, 2018, 02:25:26 PM »

And by the way, we had a CA-49 poll last week that had Levin up three points. Its a toss up.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #337 on: July 19, 2018, 02:26:27 PM »

LL posted a Harkey internal showing her up three points and called it disasterous for Democrats, for those who don’t want to unignore him and see.

Thanks. Next time just mention the numbers. Nobody cares about Andrew's editorializing.

I agree.  The numbers are useful to know, but there's no need to mention Limo's comments.  There's a reason we're ignoring him.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #338 on: July 19, 2018, 02:26:31 PM »

And by the way, we had a CA-49 poll last week that had Levin up three points. Its a toss up.

Well that's news to the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #339 on: July 19, 2018, 03:17:44 PM »

No internal poll is going to push this seat off of Lean D.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #340 on: July 19, 2018, 04:36:20 PM »

No internal poll is going to push this seat off of Lean D.

This. Also, whoever took Andrew off mod review should be demodded.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #341 on: July 19, 2018, 04:40:13 PM »

LL posted a Harkey internal showing her up three points and called it disasterous for Democrats, for those who don’t want to unignore him and see.

Thanks. Next time just mention the numbers. Nobody cares about Andrew's editorializing.

I agree.  The numbers are useful to know, but there's no need to mention Limo's comments.  There's a reason we're ignoring him.

Silly me! I can't do anything right! Shame on myself for being a complete dumbass.

You'll take what I give you.
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BlueDogs2020
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« Reply #342 on: July 20, 2018, 11:53:32 AM »

This topic is for posting and analyzing the results of the large collection of polls conducted from the following districts, as tweeted by Nate Cohn of Upshot who said they should be out early next week;

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1017061499960020992
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #343 on: July 20, 2018, 12:04:40 PM »

great!
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #344 on: July 20, 2018, 12:05:59 PM »

Hnnnnnggggg
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #345 on: July 20, 2018, 12:14:48 PM »

I was wondering what happened to these polls.  Last week he tweeted that they'd probably be up this week. Smiley
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McGovernForPrez
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« Reply #346 on: July 20, 2018, 12:20:37 PM »

Don't tease me like that. I've been waiting on this drop all week.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #347 on: July 20, 2018, 02:05:40 PM »
« Edited: July 20, 2018, 02:09:34 PM by ON Progressive »

MI-13 Dem primary (Target Insyght for MIRS):

Brenda Jones 21
William Wild 20
Rashida Tlaib 19
Coleman Young 14
Ian Conyers 8 (LOL)
Shanelle Jackson 4

Undecided 14

https://www.scribd.com/document/384312798/MI-13-Target-Insyght-for-MIRS-July-2018

MI-11 Dem primary (also Target Insyght for MIRS)
Haley Stevens 21
Suneel Grupta 15
Tim Greimel 14
Fayrouz Saad 7
Daniel Haberman 4

Undecided 39

https://www.scribd.com/document/384312848/MI-11-Target-Insyght-for-MIRS-July-2018
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #348 on: July 20, 2018, 04:20:25 PM »

Well...

Reuters Ipsos 7/15-19

Democrats - 41 (-5)
Republicans - 37 (+4)

compared to 7/10-14 poll
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #349 on: July 20, 2018, 04:27:25 PM »
« Edited: July 20, 2018, 04:34:04 PM by superbudgie1582 »

Reuters Ipsos 7/15-19

Democrats - 41 (-5)
Republicans - 37 (+4)

compared to 7/10-14 poll

Another huge swing from Ipsos for absolutely no reason. More reason to ignore online trackers.

Edit: Although I'm not sure where said results are.

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM1212Y17/filters/PD1:1

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