2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please

[Landslide Lyndon]

Millennials didn't live through the Cold War, so they have no memories of people revolting against socialist dystopian dictatorships. To them socialism means free stuff.

[Bumaye]

Millennials didn't live through the Cold War, so they have no memories of people revolting against socialist dystopian dictatorships. To them socialism means free stuff.

"Free stuff" - What he means by that is education, housing and health care for hard working people or those who aren't able to work (anymore) at the expense of billionaires gambling money, which they only got in the first place because they don't pay their workers living wages.

To take any of that away from our citizens isn't even a question here and most of my fellow east Germans lived in an actual socialist dictatorship and they vote for socialists in higher numbers than their west German counterparts.

[Landslide Lyndon]

To take any of that away from our citizens isn't even a question here and most of my fellow east Germans lived in an actual socialist dictatorship and they vote for socialists in higher numbers than their west German counterparts.

They also voted for AfD in much higher numbers than their western counterparts.

[BundouYMB]

To take any of that away from our citizens isn't even a question here and most of my fellow east Germans lived in an actual socialist dictatorship and they vote for socialists in higher numbers than their west German counterparts.

They also voted for AfD in much higher numbers than their western counterparts.

Also "higher numbers" = only 15-20% in most east German states, and that fails to mention Linke has renounced the socialist dictatorship. And AND lets not forget to mention all of the other eastern European countries where socialist parties get 0% of the vote.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Here's that Civitas NC-09 poll: https://www.nccivitas.org/2018/civitas-poll-mccready-leads-nc-09-jobs-economy-top-election-issues/

McCready (D) 43
Harris (R) 36
Scott (L) 3

July 5-8, 543 likely voters.

[ajc0918]

Here's that Civitas NC-09 poll: https://www.nccivitas.org/2018/civitas-poll-mccready-leads-nc-09-jobs-economy-top-election-issues/

McCready (D) 43
Harris (R) 36
Scott (L) 3

July 5-8, 543 likely voters.

Nice. Maybe it's time to move this to Toss Up instead of Lean R?

[Oryxslayer]

Here's that Civitas NC-09 poll: https://www.nccivitas.org/2018/civitas-poll-mccready-leads-nc-09-jobs-economy-top-election-issues/

McCready (D) 43
Harris (R) 36
Scott (L) 3

July 5-8, 543 likely voters.

Nice. Maybe it's time to move this to Toss Up instead of Lean R?

Sabato  has had this seat at tossup since the primary. I personally consider it a tossup, and I don't see it moving from there unless something drastic happens.

[ajc0918]

Here's that Civitas NC-09 poll: https://www.nccivitas.org/2018/civitas-poll-mccready-leads-nc-09-jobs-economy-top-election-issues/

McCready (D) 43
Harris (R) 36
Scott (L) 3

July 5-8, 543 likely voters.

Nice. Maybe it's time to move this to Toss Up instead of Lean R?

Sabato  has had this seat at tossup since the primary. I personally consider it a tossup, and I don't see it moving from there unless something drastic happens.

Gotcha. I was looking at Cook.

[Brittain33]

Here's that Civitas NC-09 poll: https://www.nccivitas.org/2018/civitas-poll-mccready-leads-nc-09-jobs-economy-top-election-issues/

McCready (D) 43
Harris (R) 36
Scott (L) 3

July 5-8, 543 likely voters.

If this poll is accurate, and if it's accurate that Amy McGrath is up big in KY-6 in internal polls, we are seeing Democratic strength in a number of second-tier seats that are helpful for a majority but not essential to one. This is quite a positive sign.

[ON Progressive]

NY-19 (DCCC):

Delgado (D) 49
Faso (R-inc) 42

545 LV, June 27-28 (MoE: 4.2%)

http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/dccc-poll-new-york

[ajc0918]

NY-19 (DCCC):

Delgado (D) 49
Faso (R-inc) 42

545 LV, June 27-28 (MoE: 4.2%)

http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/dccc-poll-new-york

Damn that's surprisingly low for Faso especially considering this is a 51-44 Trump district.

Trump's approval underwater at 39/53.

[LimoLiberal]

Morning Consult went from D+8 to D+5
YouGov went from D+4 to D+4
Rasmussen went from D+6 to D+8

[Nyvin]

NY-19 (DCCC):

Delgado (D) 49
Faso (R-inc) 42

545 LV, June 27-28 (MoE: 4.2%)

http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/dccc-poll-new-york

If this and the NC-9 poll are anything remotely accurate then a Dem House Majority is pretty much inevitable.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Morning Consult went from D+8 to D+5
YouGov went from D+4 to D+4
Rasmussen went from D+6 to D+8

An net overall tightening. Perhaps, Dems will start seeing the backlash to wanting to abolish ICE.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Morning Consult went from D+8 to D+5
YouGov went from D+4 to D+4
Rasmussen went from D+6 to D+8

An net overall tightening. Perhaps, Dems will start seeing the backlash to wanting to abolish ICE.

I think they are feeling the backlash for their support of Free Silver and the League of Nations.

[KingSweden]

Morning Consult went from D+8 to D+5
YouGov went from D+4 to D+4
Rasmussen went from D+6 to D+8

An net overall tightening. Perhaps, Dems will start seeing the backlash to wanting to abolish ICE.

I think they are feeling the backlash for their support of Free Silver and the League of Nations.

The real question is - will William Jennings Bryan damage Democrats in the midterms?

[Ebsy]

Another NC-09 poll by SUSA:

McReady (DEM): 43
Harris (GOP): 36

Trump:
Approve: 43
Disapprove: 49

[KingSweden]

Another NC-09 poll by SUSA:

McReady (DEM): 43
Harris (GOP): 36

Trump:
Approve: 43
Disapprove: 49

I believe this has been discussed

[Brittain33]

Another NC-09 poll by SUSA:

McReady (DEM): 43
Harris (GOP): 36

Trump:
Approve: 43
Disapprove: 49

That looks like the Civitas poll.

[Ebsy]

I thought Civitas did their own polling. Are they just contracting with SUSA now?

Edit: Ah, I see them listed as the sponsor. Well, good to know it was done by SUSA and not Civitas.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Another NC-09 poll by SUSA:

McReady (DEM): 43
Harris (GOP): 36

Trump:
Approve: 43
Disapprove: 49

That looks like the Civitas poll.

It is the same poll.  Survey USA conducted it for Civitas.

[IceSpear]

Wait, McCready can't be competitive, much less ahead. Nancy Pelosi existing is supposed to make this race safe R. Checkmate libs.

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1017153866633277441

GOP holding their internals close to their chests. Wonder why?

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1017153866633277441

GOP holding their internals close to their chests. Wonder why?

I loved this comment:

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[Hindsight was 2020]

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1017153866633277441

GOP holding their internals close to their chests. Wonder why?

I loved this comment:

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This sh*t is why Trump is our president