CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[IceSpear]

So turnout for Republicans tonight is appearing to look like this so far:

Vermont: Pretty good
Wisconsin: On the bad side of mediocre
Connecticut:  Pretty bad
Minnesota: Nightmarish

RATINGS CHANGE: Vermont: Safe I -> Lean R

None of the other results mean anything though, because something something generic ballot polls something something my fee fees say the red wave is imminent something something.

[Dr. Arch]

I wish Mahlon Mitchell was Lt Gov alongside Evers

I was just thinking the same thing.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Seems that all Democrats in Vermont get to face Brooke Paige except Zuckerman and Hallquist.

[Gass3268]

HAHAHAHAHA

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1029558706575495168

Goodnight, sweet prince.

To think Sabato moved the race from Lean D to Tossup because he entered lol.

They moved it back, lol:

https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1029559048465723392

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - MN:

U.S. House District 8 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Joe Radinovich
6,254   48.7%   
Michelle Lee
2,673   20.8   
Kirsten Kennedy
1,966   15.3   
Jason Metsa
1,321   10.3   
Soren Sorensen
638   5.0   
12,852 votes, 32% reporting (261 of 806 precincts)

Still being cautious on Johnson-Pawlenty just because of the huge upset it would be.

[Oryxslayer]

HAHAHAHAHA

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1029558706575495168

Goodnight, sweet prince.

To think Sabato moved the race from Lean D to Tossup because he entered lol.

They moved it back, lol:

https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1029559048465723392

With this turnout and the quality of Johnson as a candidate (bad) likely D is probably where this race should be.

[Xing]

HAHAHAHAHA

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1029558706575495168

Goodnight, sweet prince.

To think Sabato moved the race from Lean D to Tossup because he entered lol.

They moved it back, lol:

https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1029559048465723392

Now that the primary is done in Wisconsin, Evers won handily, and Democrats got significantly more votes, there is no excuse not to move WI-GOV to Toss-Up. But watch it not happen

[Dr. Arch]

HAHAHAHAHA

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1029558706575495168

Goodnight, sweet prince.

To think Sabato moved the race from Lean D to Tossup because he entered lol.

They moved it back, lol:

https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1029559048465723392

With this turnout and the quality of Johnson as a candidate (bad) likely D is probably where this race should be.

They'll probably wait on fresh polls before making any other moves.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

HAHAHAHAHA

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1029558706575495168

Goodnight, sweet prince.

To think Sabato moved the race from Lean D to Tossup because he entered lol.

They moved it back, lol:

https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1029559048465723392

Now that the primary is done in Wisconsin, Evers won handily, and Democrats got significantly more votes, there is no excuse not to move WI-GOV to Toss-Up. But watch it not happen

They should move it all the way to Lean D, if not even more than that.

[Gass3268]

HAHAHAHAHA

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1029558706575495168

Goodnight, sweet prince.

To think Sabato moved the race from Lean D to Tossup because he entered lol.

They moved it back, lol:

https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1029559048465723392

Now that the primary is done in Wisconsin, Evers won handily, and Democrats got significantly more votes, there is no excuse not to move WI-GOV to Toss-Up. But watch it not happen

They already did:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1029550432639770624

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

How about moving CT-GOV to Lean D, and KS-GOV to Lean D now that we know how primaries went.

[Atlas Force]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - MN:

U.S. House District 8 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Joe Radinovich
6,254   48.7%   
Michelle Lee
2,673   20.8   

lol Bosse

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

MN Gov Rating tilt D--->likely D

LMAO T Paw!!!!

omg how did this happen?!

I also think Walz carries his congressional district again in the gov race.

[ON Progressive]

How about moving CT-GOV to Lean D, and KS-GOV to Lean D now that we know how primaries went.

KS-Gov is NOT Lean D, even without Orman. I think Orman will take more Rs than people think and less Ds than people think, but it's still a tossup at best.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Holy hell, the GOP turnout is abysmal...

[IceSpear]

How about moving CT-GOV to Lean D, and KS-GOV to Lean D now that we know how primaries went.

Kansas? Probably (and rightfully) because of Orman.

[NOVA Green]

Although personally I tend not to spend tons of attention in general to most statewide primary elections,  there is an open question and discussion on Atlas these days in multiple Forums and Threads/Sub-Threads as to extent to prediction GE Enthusiasm and Turnout based upon PRIM election results.

I myself and many other posters in various threads have attempted to read the bird entrails of these results to see what that might portend come November '18, and even potentially beyond.

There are tons of variables here from "Open" to "Closed" to "Semi-Open" and "semi-closed" primaries, individual States and CD elections, how to measure the best swings using a realistic interpretation of historical data, etc...

This is part of the reason why I tend to generally avoid Primary Night threads, outside of Presidential Election primaries....

Still, it will be interesting, especially in Wisconsin, to see how these final numbers break down by County and assessed against historical comparisons.

Personally, I am more than happy to see Democrats in General, and Left-Leaning Dem's in particular to perform exceptionally well in the Great State of Wisconsin.

Here's how I am currently feeling from the results thus far Tonight....

Although this image has my favorite Libertarian-Socialist colors (Red & Black) with a clenched Fist which appears extremely similar shape to Wisconsin, it is actually an image from Israel about Holocaust Remembrance Day.

Looking forward to seeing more historical details once someone on Atlas crunches the numbers by County for Wisconsin....

[IceSpear]

MN Gov Rating tilt D--->likely D

LMAO T Paw!!!!

omg how did this happen?!

I also think Walz carries his congressional district again in the gov race.

It happened because nobody had any appetite for Pawlenty's attempt at a political comeback.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Will Walz win his congressional seat in the gov race? I think so.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

How about putting WI-07 and WI-08 on the board of competitive seats?

[libertpaulian]

Why hasn't Rock County reported anything yet?!

[Dr. Arch]

Holy hell, the GOP turnout is abysmal...

2 to 1 at least. (~66% D)

[Gass3268]

Why hasn't Rock County reported anything yet?!

Just read that their website is also experiencing difficulties.

When everything is counted the Dems might end up with more votes in WI-01.

[136or142]

So now Jeff Johnson moves onto the general election, where he will proceed to lose as bad or worse than his failed 2014 challenge to Dayton.

He needs to get Eddie Murphy to campaign for him.

[Adam Griffin]

Map's beginning to fill in...