CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://twitter.com/kelleratlarge/status/1037143857824194560

Well f***, easily the most disappointing election of the cycle thus far!

Seriously? Even among primaries for you Democrats this is worse than Lipinski surviving? Or expanding to all elections this is worse than Ohio 12, or the special elections in Kansas, South Carolina, Arizona, and Georgie you all nearly lost?

A little perspective is due here, man

I mean, I Capuano has been my favorite member of the House since 2011, so I was pretty invested in this race.

[Adam Griffin]

Kind of amazing that the GOP is winning 2 counties (Barnstable & Plymouth) and on the verge of winning a third (Worcester) with a 67-33 ballot split in favor of Democrats.

Worcester: 35505-34547              
Plymouth: 27288-23807    
Barnstable: 17981-16273

[Landslide Lyndon]

Sane Democrats won in MA-01, 08 and SoS. MA-07 changed representative

What exactly was crazy about the SoS Democratic challenger?

I never called him crazy. But i will call Galvin competent and reasonable. Hence - sane. And i don't see a big sense in running against sane official for the sake of running. When you have really BIG areas of disagreement with him/her - another matter. Of course - everyone may run, but i simply can't understand a purpose...

How is he competent and reasonable when he has failed to modernize his agency and make it easier to vote?

[Zaybay]

Kind of amazing that the GOP is winning 2 counties (Barnstable & Plymouth) and on the verge of winning a third (Worcester) with a 67-33 ballot split in favor of Democrats.

Worcester: 35505-34547              
Plymouth: 27288-23807    
Barnstable: 17981-16273

Not really that crazy. If Baker wins his reelection(incredibly likely), then these 3 counties will be Atlas Blue.

[Adam Griffin]

Kind of amazing that the GOP is winning 2 counties (Barnstable & Plymouth) and on the verge of winning a third (Worcester) with a 67-33 ballot split in favor of Democrats.

Worcester: 35505-34547             
Plymouth: 27288-23807    
Barnstable: 17981-16273

Not really that crazy. If Baker wins his reelection(incredibly likely), then these 3 counties will be Atlas Blue.

But when Baker wins re-election, he'll be getting 50% of the vote or more (and not 34%). I understand there's ancestral Republicanism at work here to some degree, but it's still funny to look at Clinton winning MA by less (64/36 in the two-way) and carrying all these counties by 7-15 points.

[Adam Griffin]

I'll finish this up later today, but since MA was all that was going on last night, I decided to drill down and look at primary ballots by township:

[Brittain33]

Kind of amazing that the GOP is winning 2 counties (Barnstable & Plymouth) and on the verge of winning a third (Worcester) with a 67-33 ballot split in favor of Democrats.

Worcester: 35505-34547              
Plymouth: 27288-23807    
Barnstable: 17981-16273

What was the draw for Dems who didn’t have active local or congressional races for the primary? Galvin-Zakim and which Dem will lose to Baker isn’t very exciting. Republicans had competitive senate races and had to defend Charlie Baker.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

I'll finish this up later today, but since MA was all that was going on last night, I decided to drill down and look at primary ballots by township:

why would you save it as a jpg?

[Adam Griffin]

why would you save it as a jpg?

Snag.gy converts it to a JPG when uploading; my file is PNG. Still, the file's integrity appears to be the same (no pixelation). Some of the legend I have there is blurry b/c I was lazy and just scaled it up for my national primary map rather than recreating it.

[Adam Griffin]

Kind of amazing that the GOP is winning 2 counties (Barnstable & Plymouth) and on the verge of winning a third (Worcester) with a 67-33 ballot split in favor of Democrats.

Worcester: 35505-34547              
Plymouth: 27288-23807  
Barnstable: 17981-16273

What was the draw for Dems who didn’t have active local or congressional races for the primary?

In a perfect world:



Still, I wouldn't say overall statewide turnout was particularly bad as a % of ballots - certainly less than the share of ballots Dems got in 2014, but still better than in 2016.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

why would you save it as a jpg?

Snag.gy converts it to a JPG when uploading; my file is PNG. Still, the file's integrity appears to be the same (no pixelation). Some of the legend I have there is blurry b/c I was lazy and just scaled it up for my national primary map rather than recreating it.

upload it to imgur or imageupload.co.uk

[Adam Griffin]

why would you save it as a jpg?

Snag.gy converts it to a JPG when uploading; my file is PNG. Still, the file's integrity appears to be the same (no pixelation). Some of the legend I have there is blurry b/c I was lazy and just scaled it up for my national primary map rather than recreating it.

upload it to imgur or imageupload.co.uk

Um...why? The file can be easily viewed, zoomed in on and/or downloaded without loss of file quality as-is.

[Strudelcutie4427]

why would you save it as a jpg?

Snag.gy converts it to a JPG when uploading; my file is PNG. Still, the file's integrity appears to be the same (no pixelation). Some of the legend I have there is blurry b/c I was lazy and just scaled it up for my national primary map rather than recreating it.

upload it to imgur or imageupload.co.uk

Um...why? The file can be easily viewed, zoomed in on and/or downloaded without loss of file quality as-is.

He's wicked annoying and high strung bout stuff. But good job on this! Nice to see my old home town split roughly 50/50 like always

[Strudelcutie4427]

For anyone wondering, the precincts remaining in MA-3 are Ashburnham, 2 in Lancaster, and 1 in Sudbury

[Jeppe]

We already know the results for MA-03. Trahan won by about 110 votes (with every single precinct), and Koh has not yet conceded, which means he might ask for a recount.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

APPARENT WINNER:

U.S. House District 3

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Lori Trahan
18,283   21.7%   
Daniel Koh
18,144   21.5   
Juana Matias
12,890   15.3   
Barbara L'Italien
12,808   15.2   
Rufus Gifford
12,638   15.0   
Alexandra Chandler
4,793   5.7   
Beej Das
1,475   1.7   
Jeffrey Ballinger
1,357   1.6   
Bopha Malone
1,334   1.6   
Leonard Golder
575   0.7   
84,297 votes, 99% reporting (224 of 225 precincts)

[Zaybay]

APPARENT WINNER:

U.S. House District 3

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Lori Trahan
18,283   21.7%   
Daniel Koh
18,144   21.5   
Juana Matias
12,890   15.3   
Barbara L'Italien
12,808   15.2   
Rufus Gifford
12,638   15.0   
Alexandra Chandler
4,793   5.7   
Beej Das
1,475   1.7   
Jeffrey Ballinger
1,357   1.6   
Bopha Malone
1,334   1.6   
Leonard Golder
575   0.7   
84,297 votes, 99% reporting (224 of 225 precincts)

today is a dark day

[Strudelcutie4427]

APPARENT WINNER:

U.S. House District 3

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Lori Trahan
18,283   21.7%   
Daniel Koh
18,144   21.5   
Juana Matias
12,890   15.3   
Barbara L'Italien
12,808   15.2   
Rufus Gifford
12,638   15.0   
Alexandra Chandler
4,793   5.7   
Beej Das
1,475   1.7   
Jeffrey Ballinger
1,357   1.6   
Bopha Malone
1,334   1.6   
Leonard Golder
575   0.7   
84,297 votes, 99% reporting (224 of 225 precincts)

today is a dark day

Why? Was she the moderate in this race?

[Zaybay]

APPARENT WINNER:

U.S. House District 3

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Lori Trahan
18,283   21.7%   
Daniel Koh
18,144   21.5   
Juana Matias
12,890   15.3   
Barbara L'Italien
12,808   15.2   
Rufus Gifford
12,638   15.0   
Alexandra Chandler
4,793   5.7   
Beej Das
1,475   1.7   
Jeffrey Ballinger
1,357   1.6   
Bopha Malone
1,334   1.6   
Leonard Golder
575   0.7   
84,297 votes, 99% reporting (224 of 225 precincts)

today is a dark day

Why? Was she the moderate in this race?

No, that was Koh. She was the second most moderate candidate and overall a rather boring and flip flopping candidate. Koh would have been better.

[Jeppe]

Meh, I disliked Koh because of his affiliation to Marty Walsh. Glad Trahan is leading. Wish it was Matias or L’Italien though, but anybody’s better than Koh.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ends at a difference of 52 between the candidates. We're heading for a recount i imagine.

U.S. House District 3

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Lori Trahan
18,368   21.6%   
Daniel Koh
18,316   21.6   
Juana Matias
12,914   15.2   
Barbara L'Italien
12,890   15.2   
Rufus Gifford
12,796   15.1   
Alexandra Chandler
4,817   5.7   
Beej Das
1,481   1.7   
Jeffrey Ballinger
1,370   1.6   
Bopha Malone
1,338   1.6   
Leonard Golder
582   0.7   
84,872 votes, 100% reporting (225 of 225 precincts)

[MAINEiac4434]

Koh supports single payer and a $15 minimum wage. Trahan does not.

#TeamKoh

[Zaybay]

Koh supports single payer and a $15 minimum wage. Trahan does not.

#TeamKoh

does he? Welp, lets go Koh!

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Koh supports single payer and a $15 minimum wage. Trahan does not.

#TeamKoh

does he? Welp, lets go Koh!

This although L’Italien would’ve been much better

[Strudelcutie4427]

Koh supports single payer and a $15 minimum wage. Trahan does not.

#TeamKoh

does he? Welp, lets go Koh!

Let’s go Lori!!