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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL - NBC/Marist: Nelson +4
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Author Topic: FL - NBC/Marist: Nelson +4  (Read 1669 times)
Make PA Blue Again!
PittsburghSteel
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« on: June 26, 2018, 02:09:08 pm »

Nelson: 49%
Scott: 45%

Dems lead GOP by 6 in Generic Ballot

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/FLpolls/FL180617/NBC%20News%20Marist%20Poll_Written%20Summary%20of%20Findings_FL_June%202018.pdf
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2018, 02:09:43 pm »

Scott has spent $20MM so far on tv ads and still can't shake the space man.
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
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« Reply #2 on: June 26, 2018, 02:10:53 pm »

Hmm, way too kind to Nelson, but throw it in to the mean, I guess. Likely --> Lean R.
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Horus
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« Reply #3 on: June 26, 2018, 02:11:11 pm »

Scott is going to win by around 8 percent.
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Senator Scott🦋
Scott
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« Reply #4 on: June 26, 2018, 02:11:24 pm »

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ON Progressive
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« Reply #5 on: June 26, 2018, 02:11:56 pm »

Hmm, way too kind to Nelson, but throw it in to the mean, I guess. Likely --> Lean R.

LMAO.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #6 on: June 26, 2018, 02:12:19 pm »

We shouldnt take one poll for granted, but yeah, this race should be in Rick's favor after all the money he has blown through, and yet, Nelson can still lead. If Nelson starts sending his ads out, then Rick might be DOA.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: June 26, 2018, 02:15:21 pm »
« Edited: June 26, 2018, 02:23:03 pm by Gass3268 »

I've yet to see a poll were Scott gets over 47%. Nelson has been everywhere from 50% to 39%.
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Atlas Slipped
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« Reply #8 on: June 26, 2018, 02:16:11 pm »

Scott is going to win by around 8 percent.

The fuk?
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Skye
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« Reply #9 on: June 26, 2018, 02:20:08 pm »

Scott has spent $20MM so far on tv ads and still can't shake the space man.

It's not like this is a red state to begin with. Nelson is a relatively popular Democratic incumbent in a purple state running for reelection in the middle of a blue wave. He should by cruising to reelection but Scott is a strong challenger which is why the race has stayed competitive.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #10 on: June 26, 2018, 02:27:52 pm »

Scott has spent $20MM so far on tv ads and still can't shake the space man.

It's not like this is a red state to begin with. Nelson is a relatively popular Democratic incumbent in a purple state running for reelection in the middle of a blue wave. He should by cruising to reelection but Scott is a strong challenger which is why the race has stayed competitive.

Scott has never gotten more than 48.9% of the vote in an election. He has also never gotten more than 48% in any poll. In fact, if you remove internals (since FL Chamber polls are essentially that) he has never gotten more than 46% in a poll. He's not super strong, he just has money to blow.

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ON Progressive
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« Reply #11 on: June 26, 2018, 02:28:58 pm »

Scott has spent $20MM so far on tv ads and still can't shake the space man.

It's not like this is a red state to begin with. Nelson is a relatively popular Democratic incumbent in a purple state running for reelection in the middle of a blue wave. He should by cruising to reelection but Scott is a strong challenger which is why the race has stayed competitive.

Scott has never gotten more than 48.9% of the vote in an election. He has also never gotten more than 48% in any poll. In fact, if you remove internals (since FL Chamber polls are essentially that) he has never gotten more than 46% in a poll. He's not super strong, he just has money to blow.



Hasn't his net worth also dropped a ton because of the fact he flooded his two governor's races with tons of his own money?
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Mondale
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« Reply #12 on: June 26, 2018, 02:31:32 pm »

Scott has spent $20MM so far on tv ads and still can't shake the space man.

It's not like this is a red state to begin with. Nelson is a relatively popular Democratic incumbent in a purple state running for reelection in the middle of a blue wave. He should by cruising to reelection but Scott is a strong challenger which is why the race has stayed competitive.

Scott has never gotten more than 48.9% of the vote in an election. He has also never gotten more than 48% in any poll. In fact, if you remove internals (since FL Chamber polls are essentially that) he has never gotten more than 46% in a poll. He's not super strong, he just has money to blow.



Hasn't his net worth also dropped a ton because of the fact he flooded his two governor's races with tons of his own money?

Scott blew $70 million on the FL governors race and won both times with a margin under 1% in two of the best GOP wave years (2010 & 2014)

He's overrated
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: June 26, 2018, 02:31:43 pm »

They pulled the polls, lol
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Make PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #14 on: June 26, 2018, 02:33:36 pm »


Means somebody leaked them
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Skye
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« Reply #15 on: June 26, 2018, 02:38:23 pm »

Scott has spent $20MM so far on tv ads and still can't shake the space man.

It's not like this is a red state to begin with. Nelson is a relatively popular Democratic incumbent in a purple state running for reelection in the middle of a blue wave. He should by cruising to reelection but Scott is a strong challenger which is why the race has stayed competitive.

Scott has never gotten more than 48.9% of the vote in an election. He has also never gotten more than 48% in any poll. In fact, if you remove internals (since FL Chamber polls are essentially that) he has never gotten more than 46% in a poll. He's not super strong, he just has money to blow.



So that proves he's not a strong opponent for Nelson?

Whatever the reason may be - his fortune being poured into the race, his positive approvals - he's giving Nelson the fight of his life.

I'm not saying Scott will win. In fact, I've stated several times that I believe Nelson will pull through in the end. But that doesn't mean this isn't a strong challenge.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #16 on: June 26, 2018, 02:40:52 pm »

When is deadbeat forum owner Dave Leip gonna give me poll database access? Of course mds32 added the OH-Gov poll along with other trash polls but not any of the Senate polls to come out today.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: June 26, 2018, 02:53:36 pm »

When is deadbeat forum owner Dave Leip gonna give me poll database access? Of course mds32 added the OH-Gov poll along with other trash polls but not any of the Senate polls to come out today.

Dave didn't give me access until like a year after I requested it, lol. So don't hold your breath.

I'll add them if you want though. I can't add the Marist ones until the data actually comes out though, not just leaked numbers.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #18 on: June 26, 2018, 03:06:20 pm »

If Nelson loses, the Florida Democratic Party should be disbanded and future elections should be run from DNC's headquarter.
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Xing
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« Reply #19 on: June 26, 2018, 03:23:18 pm »

Here's how this poll is actually good news for Scott...
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#Klobmentum
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« Reply #20 on: June 26, 2018, 03:39:41 pm »

A decent pollster!? *GASP*
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President Biden
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« Reply #21 on: June 26, 2018, 03:45:16 pm »

Lean D.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #22 on: June 26, 2018, 04:08:06 pm »

Scott has spent $20MM so far on tv ads and still can't shake the space man.

It's not like this is a red state to begin with. Nelson is a relatively popular Democratic incumbent in a purple state running for reelection in the middle of a blue wave. He should by cruising to reelection but Scott is a strong challenger which is why the race has stayed competitive.

Scott has never gotten more than 48.9% of the vote in an election. He has also never gotten more than 48% in any poll. In fact, if you remove internals (since FL Chamber polls are essentially that) he has never gotten more than 46% in a poll. He's not super strong, he just has money to blow.



So that proves he's not a strong opponent for Nelson?

Whatever the reason may be - his fortune being poured into the race, his positive approvals - he's giving Nelson the fight of his life.

I'm not saying Scott will win. In fact, I've stated several times that I believe Nelson will pull through in the end. But that doesn't mean this isn't a strong challenge.

This exactly, my bro Clarence is in a ferocious fight, but he should make it out by the skin of his teeth.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #23 on: June 26, 2018, 04:11:37 pm »

Scott has spent $20MM so far on tv ads and still can't shake the space man.

It's not like this is a red state to begin with. Nelson is a relatively popular Democratic incumbent in a purple state running for reelection in the middle of a blue wave. He should by cruising to reelection but Scott is a strong challenger which is why the race has stayed competitive.

Scott has never gotten more than 48.9% of the vote in an election. He has also never gotten more than 48% in any poll. In fact, if you remove internals (since FL Chamber polls are essentially that) he has never gotten more than 46% in a poll. He's not super strong, he just has money to blow.



So that proves he's not a strong opponent for Nelson?

Whatever the reason may be - his fortune being poured into the race, his positive approvals - he's giving Nelson the fight of his life.

I'm not saying Scott will win. In fact, I've stated several times that I believe Nelson will pull through in the end. But that doesn't mean this isn't a strong challenge.

This is the correct take.
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Make PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #24 on: June 26, 2018, 06:17:42 pm »

Marist has released the cross tabs-

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/FLpolls/FL180617/Toss%20Up%20Questions_NBC%20News_Marist%20Poll_Florida%20Nature%20of%20the%20Sample%20and%20Tables_June%202018.pdf#page=1
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