MD Governor Primary

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He's going to be a fantastic gov

[DINGO Joe]

Weird question, but does anyone else think Ben Jealous looks white?

Not really. His hair gives him away as either black or Jewish.

Not sure what's special about his hair. He looks a lot like my Sicilian dad in his 40s.

What, you never heard about Sicilians?

[wesmoorenerd]

He's going to be a fantastic gov

You're so inconsistent. I don't know how you see Laxalt winning in Nevada but Hogan losing in Maryland.

[Nutmeg]

Spoken like someone who's never set foot within a hundred miles of the state of Maryland:

Warning sign for Democrats: While overall turnout was up 12% from the 2014 gubernatorial primary, the increase was concentrated in only 9 counties, with the counties around the D.C. metropolitan area making up almost all of it. 15 counties saw declines in turnout, including every county on the Eastern Shore. It's similar to what we saw in Virginia with Northam's win heavily on the backs of metropolitan areas. The party's infrastructure in non-metropolitan areas continues to atrophy.

Oh no Jealous did worse in the liberal bastion of Cecil County. And what will he do without Kent County liberals???2??? TITANIUM R!

IIRC Beet previously lived in Maryland.

[Calthrina950]

Warning sign for Democrats: While overall turnout was up 12% from the 2014 gubernatorial primary, the increase was concentrated in only 9 counties, with the counties around the D.C. metropolitan area making up almost all of it. 15 counties saw declines in turnout, including every county on the Eastern Shore. It's similar to what we saw in Virginia with Northam's win heavily on the backs of metropolitan areas. The party's infrastructure in non-metropolitan areas continues to atrophy.

Democrats are becoming more and more the party of the cities. Future elections, at all levels, will see Democratic-dominated urban and suburban areas up against vast swathes of rural Republican territory. This makes maps far less interesting than in the past.

[DINGO Joe]

Warning sign for Democrats: While overall turnout was up 12% from the 2014 gubernatorial primary, the increase was concentrated in only 9 counties, with the counties around the D.C. metropolitan area making up almost all of it. 15 counties saw declines in turnout, including every county on the Eastern Shore. It's similar to what we saw in Virginia with Northam's win heavily on the backs of metropolitan areas. The party's infrastructure in non-metropolitan areas continues to atrophy.

Democrats are becoming more and more the party of the cities. Future elections, at all levels, will see Democratic-dominated urban and suburban areas up against vast swathes of rural Republican territory. This makes maps far less interesting than in the past.

Given the age and population trends of these rural counties, it doesn't seem to be a particularly good strategy for Republicans.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Apparently, Jim Brochin lost the Democratic primary for Baltimore County Executive by 9 votes. I really hope this holds in a recount if there is a recount.

[Zaybay]

Apparently, Jim Brochin lost the Democratic primary for Baltimore County Executive by 9 votes. I really hope this holds in a recount if there is a recount.

Why? Is there something wrong with Jim?

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Apparently, Jim Brochin lost the Democratic primary for Baltimore County Executive by 9 votes. I really hope this holds in a recount if there is a recount.

Why? Is there something wrong with Jim?

Basically a Blue Dog.

[Zaybay]

Apparently, Jim Brochin lost the Democratic primary for Baltimore County Executive by 9 votes. I really hope this holds in a recount if there is a recount.

Why? Is there something wrong with Jim?

Basically a Blue Dog.

wait, so the blue dog won or lost?

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Apparently, Jim Brochin lost the Democratic primary for Baltimore County Executive by 9 votes. I really hope this holds in a recount if there is a recount.

Why? Is there something wrong with Jim?

Basically a Blue Dog.

wait, so the blue dog won or lost?

Jim Brochin is the Blue Dog, and he trails by 9 votes.

[Timothy87]

All counties have completed their votes:
Jealous 231,779 - 39.59%
Baker 171,630 - 29.32%

2014 Dem primary - 485,093 votes (2,051,319 registered Dems) 23.65%
2018 Dem primary - 585,377 vote (2,143,288 registered Dems) 27.31%

Change: + 100,284, + 3.66%
Montgomery +8.1% (25 -> 33)
Prince George's +8% (20 -> 28)
Baltimore City +2.4% (23.6 ->26)

Doesn't mean much for Dems but for what its worth fewer votes in Garrett, Caroline, Saint Mary's, Kent, Carroll, Somerset, Dorchester, Queen Anne's, Cecil and Harford

Data is only available for 13 out of 24 jurisdictions but at least 26,000 Dems did not make choice in the gubernatorial contest (aka left it blank). Also, down ballot offices, County Executive or in Balt City, State's Attorney, outpolled the top race in all the major counties:

Montgomery 129,337 vs 126,573
Prince George's 130,742 vs 127,194
Baltimore 84,568 vs 82,359
Baltimore City 80,515 vs 78,700


On the Republican side:
2014: competitive 4 way race - 214,935 votes (950,195 registered Repubs)
2018: Hogan unopposed - 210,935 votes (1,003,153 registered Repubs)

Change: -4,000, -1.59%
+5,161 in Baltimore County
+691 in Montgomery County
-67 in Howard County
-70 in Prince George's County
-4,573 in Anne Arundel County

In the legislative races five incumbent state senators lost their primary:
Waugh (R) Saint Mary's
Middleton (D) Charles
Carter Conway (D) Balt City
Robinson (D) Balt City
McFadden (D) Balt City


You're welcome to spin all of this how you like. I'm impressed republican turnout held despite Hogan being unopposed and a sleepy Senate primary of nobodies. Dem turnout was up solidly but given what a staunchly Democratic state Maryland is, that they had a very competitive primary to unseat an incumbent Republican governor, I don't find 27% turnout impressive

[Chief Justice Keef]

At-large council member Nancy Floreen plans on running against left-wing Democratic nominee Marc Elrich for Montgomery County executive, for the sake of "principle and pragmatism". Her entrance into the race could spoil the race for Democrats.

[Zaybay]

At-large council member Nancy Floreen plans on running against left-wing Democratic nominee Marc Elrich for Montgomery County executive, for the sake of "principle and pragmatism". Her entrance into the race could spoil the race for Democrats.

Wow, great. The left wing wins for once, and now a moderate is going to hand over the race to the Rs. Wonderful.
But this is MD. Is this a contested area? Or would this just shape up to be spoiler vs nominee.

[PragmaticPopulist]

At-large council member Nancy Floreen plans on running against left-wing Democratic nominee Marc Elrich for Montgomery County executive, for the sake of "principle and pragmatism". Her entrance into the race could spoil the race for Democrats.

Wow, great. The left wing wins for once, and now a moderate is going to hand over the race to the Rs. Wonderful.
But this is MD. Is this a contested area? Or would this just shape up to be spoiler vs nominee.

Unlikely. Montgomery County is a heavily Democratic County.

[Zaybay]

At-large council member Nancy Floreen plans on running against left-wing Democratic nominee Marc Elrich for Montgomery County executive, for the sake of "principle and pragmatism". Her entrance into the race could spoil the race for Democrats.

Wow, great. The left wing wins for once, and now a moderate is going to hand over the race to the Rs. Wonderful.
But this is MD. Is this a contested area? Or would this just shape up to be spoiler vs nominee.

Unlikely. Montgomery County is a heavily Democratic County.

Whew. If thats the case then, its likely Elrich will win. Though the moderate wing should learn to collaborate a bit more with us. We arent spoiling any races in 2018, they should not either. All about unity, you know.

They can, you know, stop wining about how two candidates beat their preferred in winnable districts and just support them already. That would be nice.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kavanaugh will energize Ethnic minorities who otherwise would of stayed home.

[wesmoorenerd]

At-large council member Nancy Floreen plans on running against left-wing Democratic nominee Marc Elrich for Montgomery County executive, for the sake of "principle and pragmatism". Her entrance into the race could spoil the race for Democrats.

Wow, great. The left wing wins for once, and now a moderate is going to hand over the race to the Rs. Wonderful.
But this is MD. Is this a contested area? Or would this just shape up to be spoiler vs nominee.

Unlikely. Montgomery County is a heavily Democratic County.

Whew. If thats the case then, its likely Elrich will win. Though the moderate wing should learn to collaborate a bit more with us. We arent spoiling any races in 2018, they should not either. All about unity, you know.

They can, you know, stop wining about how two candidates beat their preferred in winnable districts and just support them already. That would be nice.

The GOP candidate ain't winning, I'd be surprised if whoever it is got 20% of the vote. It's going to be Elrich.

[warandwar]

At-large council member Nancy Floreen plans on running against left-wing Democratic nominee Marc Elrich for Montgomery County executive, for the sake of "principle and pragmatism". Her entrance into the race could spoil the race for Democrats.

Wow, great. The left wing wins for once, and now a moderate is going to hand over the race to the Rs. Wonderful.
But this is MD. Is this a contested area? Or would this just shape up to be spoiler vs nominee.

Unlikely. Montgomery County is a heavily Democratic County.

Whew. If thats the case then, its likely Elrich will win. Though the moderate wing should learn to collaborate a bit more with us. We arent spoiling any races in 2018, they should not either. All about unity, you know.

They can, you know, stop wining about how two candidates beat their preferred in winnable districts and just support them already. That would be nice.

The GOP candidate ain't winning, I'd be surprised if whoever it is got 20% of the vote. It's going to be Elrich.

It's Robin Flicker, perennial candidate, hack lawyer, most famous for being a constant figure near front court for the Bullets in the 90s. Famed for being an incredibly annoying heckler and would just scream at the away bench for the whole night.
Floreen will have a struggle to get on the ballot. If she does, she's not gonna do well... her politics really aren't that popular in MoCo...

[Timothy87]

Kavanaugh will energize Ethnic minorities who otherwise would of stayed home.

Highly doubt that

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The polls are showing Dems making enroads in Ohio and FL and Hogan won and Rauner won in 2014 due to depressed Black turnout.

If Rauner goes down and Hogan doesnt survive, its a wave. But, if Hogan wins, it may not be a wave

[PragmaticPopulist]

The polls are showing Dems making enroads in Ohio and FL and Hogan won and Rauner won in 2014 due to depressed Black turnout.

If Rauner goes down and Hogan doesnt survive, its a wave. But, if Hogan wins, it may not be a wave

Don't rule out the possibility that Black voters split their tickets and vote for Hogan for governor, but D down the ballot. Hogan really is that sort of Republican who can do that.

I don't think Hogan will have coattails though.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It will be an upset if it happens. But, it can happen