Cruz has only been scoring in the mid to high single digits to an opponent who is only known to 1/2 the state and has a larger treasury than him. If the wave is D+8, I expect a close election, perhaps decided by 0.1%. People forget that the campaign season has not begun yet, it starts at around August. Thats why you see a shift in polling at that time. The voters who pay attention to politics and decide elections only tune in around August, and that's the group that will decide everything. This is why Beto has not spent that much money, Blackburn has only spent 100,000, and Bill Nelson has not launched any major ads or events. Dont get caught like in 2016 with Bayh or in 2012 with Brown(many thought Warren was a leftwing nut and would not win early on).
NRA spent millions defeating Clinton on Scalia nomination to block Garland, they will spend millions on behalf of Cruz to save this Crt pick
