CA-Gov, LA Times/USC: Newsom +17
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Author Topic: CA-Gov, LA Times/USC: Newsom +17  (Read 1093 times)
brand_allen
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« on: June 19, 2018, 03:31:52 PM »
« edited: June 21, 2018, 12:35:46 PM by brand_allen »
Newsom: 45%
Cox: 28%
Link: http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-usc-poll-governor-race-20180619-story.html
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Skye
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« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2018, 03:34:17 PM »
Well, that's a lot of undecideds.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2018, 03:35:02 PM »
Newsom only +17 in a Clinton+30 state? Under 50 too?




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#RedWave #TrumpSurge #ReverseMigrantBump #Panic

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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2018, 03:40:12 PM »
Would like to see the crosstabs.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2018, 03:42:44 PM »
#NewsomBelow50
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2018, 05:03:34 PM »
Newsom will obviously win, but this is a pretty bad result.
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« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2018, 05:05:47 PM »
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Doimper
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« Reply #7 on: June 19, 2018, 05:06:05 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on June 19, 2018, 05:03:34 PM
Newsom will obviously win, but this is a pretty bad result.

This is a pretty bad poll.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: June 19, 2018, 05:19:52 PM »
And polls showed Clinton winning California by 15-20 points two years ago.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2018, 05:46:45 PM »
#CoxUnder30

Even Trump of all people cracked 30% in CA. Terrible news for the CAGOP!
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President Johnson
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« Reply #10 on: June 20, 2018, 03:07:20 PM »
Pease correct the title: It's Newsom, not "Newsome"

Anyway, California polls are always a little weird. Democrats often poll in the 40s and Republicans in the low 30s or the 20s.

During the primary, Democrats got 60% of the vote. Newsom should win over 60% easily in November with higher overall turnout. I think it will be 63-37% or so.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: June 20, 2018, 10:48:52 PM »
About as expected after a very competitive and contentious top-two primary. Doesn't change the fact that Newsom will win by 20+ points.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #12 on: June 21, 2018, 09:49:42 AM »
Useless poll with so many undecideds. Gavin will win by 20-25 points. Safe D, nothing to see here.

Btw, Newsom is at 61% if you exclude the undecideds. 45+28 = 73. 45/73 x 100 = 61.64%
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #13 on: June 21, 2018, 09:51:37 AM »
Crosstabs: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1lGs2P-TXY4VIegaXfnqPnaiISNtCsMFw/view
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