If this is the battleground map the day before the election
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Author Topic: If this is the battleground map the day before the election  (Read 1527 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« on: June 18, 2018, 10:41:03 PM »
« edited: June 18, 2018, 11:02:24 PM by Old School Republican »


Trump: 244
Democrat: 238


- What would your prediction be


Mine would be its going to be another 2000 with PA or AZ deciding the winner(Trump would win NC)
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: June 18, 2018, 11:03:03 PM »
« Edited: June 18, 2018, 11:19:41 PM by Arch »
Quote from: RubioRepublican on June 18, 2018, 11:01:36 PM
That Trump wins, because all he needs is NC (which Dems have been burned in too many times) and one of AZ/PA.

244+15=259

Huh
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The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
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« Reply #2 on: June 18, 2018, 11:12:39 PM »
Quote from: Arch on June 18, 2018, 11:03:03 PM
Quote from: RubioRepublican on June 18, 2018, 11:01:36 PM
That Trump wins, because all he needs is NC (which Dems have been burned in too many times) and one of AZ/PA.

244+15=261

Huh

1. 244 + 15 = 259, not 261
2. Read the rest of their sentence
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #3 on: June 18, 2018, 11:20:11 PM »
Quote from: slightlyburnttoast on June 18, 2018, 11:12:39 PM
Quote from: Arch on June 18, 2018, 11:03:03 PM
Quote from: RubioRepublican on June 18, 2018, 11:01:36 PM
That Trump wins, because all he needs is NC (which Dems have been burned in too many times) and one of AZ/PA.

244+15=261

Huh

1. 244 + 15 = 259, not 261
2. Read the rest of their sentence

Fixed. I'm clearly too tired at this point. It's been a long day. I'll head off for the night.
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Burke Bro
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« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2018, 01:10:07 AM »
If Florida is Lean R, things are looking grim for the Democrats..
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« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2018, 06:34:41 AM »
Trump has won.
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Consciously Unconscious
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« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2018, 09:25:41 AM »
With this map it's likely that North Carolina and Arizona go Republican.  Pennsylvania would also have a pretty strong chance of going R here too. 
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JG
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« Reply #7 on: June 19, 2018, 09:30:10 AM »
With Democrats performing so weakly in Colorado and Nevada, I can't see how Arizona would go for the democrats.
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ConservativeCommunist
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« Reply #8 on: June 19, 2018, 10:38:41 AM »
Trump wins, and probably picks up all the toss-up states on the map.
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here2view
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« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2018, 11:23:03 AM »
Trump gets 274, 294 if he wins PA.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: June 19, 2018, 11:41:13 AM »
If Democrats are down in Wisconsin, that means that they clearly learned nothing from 2016 and Trump is all but guaranteed to win. I'd expect that the map would look like 2016 with Michigan going Democratic, and maybe New Hampshire going Republican.

But lol at the idea of Wisconsin voting to the right of North Carolina in 2020. If that happens, I'll eat a pound of blue cheese.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: June 19, 2018, 05:25:34 PM »
I thiink by now, OH is a tossup, not Lean GOP.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #12 on: June 19, 2018, 06:02:04 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on June 19, 2018, 11:43:23 AM
Not sure what would be more devastating for Democrats - NH as a Tossup or FL Lean R? Either way, I would focus on the House (which should be in play with this map) and Senate races.

NH is always a tossup. It's the opposite of NC in that it's a tossup state that lately has been coming in clutch for the Dems (last four presidential elections, Hassan, Shaheen twice) whereas NC has been coming in clutch for the GOP (last two presidential elections, Tillis, Burr)
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #13 on: June 19, 2018, 06:48:04 PM »
This country will continue to frustrate me.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #14 on: June 19, 2018, 10:53:53 PM »
RIP Trump since he'll likely lose Nevada or NH, Pennsylvania seems to be swinging away already, and Arizona shouldn't be a toss-up.

And remember, Colorado to the left of Wisconsin was a silly idea once too.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #15 on: June 19, 2018, 10:56:14 PM »
Quote from: L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again on June 19, 2018, 10:53:53 PM
RIP Trump since he'll likely lose Nevada or NH, Pennsylvania seems to be swinging away already, and Arizona shouldn't be a toss-up.

And remember, Colorado to the left of Wisconsin was a silly idea once too.

Dems still need to win 2 of these 3 states (PA, NC , AZ ) to win the election .
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: June 20, 2018, 05:18:34 AM »
WI isn't a Lean GOP state
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #17 on: June 20, 2018, 09:08:23 AM »
Old School Republican is a hack.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #18 on: June 20, 2018, 09:10:07 AM »
Old School Republican's Safe R Wisconsin isn't real.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #19 on: June 20, 2018, 11:53:02 AM »


How is it Hackish to believe the winner of the election will get under 300 electoral votes

Quote from: Massguy, final version on June 20, 2018, 09:10:07 AM
Old School Republican's Safe R Wisconsin isn't real.

I believe it’s Lean R
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redjohn
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« Reply #20 on: June 20, 2018, 12:21:23 PM »
Quote from: Old School Republican on June 20, 2018, 11:53:02 AM


How is it Hackish to believe the winner of the election will get under 300 electoral votes

Quote from: Massguy, final version on June 20, 2018, 09:10:07 AM
Old School Republican's Safe R Wisconsin isn't real.

I believe it’s Lean R

This... makes no sense. Trump received fewer votes in Wisconsin than Romney; the reason Clinton lost is because of a collapse in Democratic turnout, resulting partly from the assumption that Clinton was going to easily win Wisconsin. Democrats will turn out in 2020. WI is lean/likely D, tossup at best for Republicans.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: June 20, 2018, 01:23:50 PM »
WI will not vote to the right of NC and neither would Iowa.
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catographer
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« Reply #22 on: June 20, 2018, 11:57:41 PM »
dems would have to hope for a polling error their way, like 2016 for trump.
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