TX-GQR Research: Cruz +6 (user search)
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  TX-GQR Research: Cruz +6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX-GQR Research: Cruz +6  (Read 3459 times)
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« on: June 15, 2018, 11:38:08 AM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on June 15, 2018, 11:34:53 AM

I mean, you think Warren would lose by double digits to Trump, so nobody should take anything you say remotely seriously.
Anyway, Likely R for now. I wouldn't rule out the probability of a VA-SEN 2014 happening here.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 17, 2018, 07:54:47 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on June 17, 2018, 05:45:41 PM
Quote from: wxtransit on June 17, 2018, 09:33:00 AM
Currently here's what I think will happen:

1% chance of a Cruz 20+ point win
2% chance of a Cruz 15-19 point win
15% chance of a Cruz 10-14 point win
55% chance of a Cruz 5-9 point win
26% chance of a Cruz 0-4 point win
0.7% chance of a Beto 0-4 point win
0.2% chance of a Beto 5-9 point win
<0.1% chance of a Beto 10-14 point win
<0.1% chance of a Beto 15+ point win


FTFY
You do realize Cruz is only leading by 6, whereas Sherrod Brown, who you think is very vulnerable, is leading by 18?
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