Could a "Ford Nation" style coalition ever take off in the US?

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Michael Lund calls this scenario the “Densitaria Liberaltarian Dems” vs “Posturbia Populiberal GOP” realignment. This would be a racially liberal/progressive electoral future where I can see old-school African-Americans shifting towards the Republican party.

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The Chris Christie coalition looks more like Stephen Harper than Ford Nation.

How did the Harper and Ford coalitions differ again?

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Probably not, no. Even moderately conservative mayors of major cities are typically either extremely fiscal conservatives relying on suburban support (e.g. Richard Riordan) or populists with no black support (e.g. Rudy Giuliani).

The only Republican I know who won the black vote was Tom Kean, and he did so in a 70% statewide landslide. Republicans typically do not win black votes anywhere, even in urban settings. Urban coalitions are built around picking up as many non-black votes as possible.

Is there any significant white working class in L.A. at all?

http://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-kaplan-inglewood-gentrification-20171126-story.html
https://www.citylab.com/equity/2013/01/class-divided-cities-los-angeles-edition/4296/

LA doesn’t seem to have much of a traditional working-class, period.

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LA proper’s Jewish, Armenian, and Iranian communities could be considered “white ethnic” (Ashkenazi Jews are one of the core “white ethnic” subgroups nationwide) but definitely aren’t working-class.

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I.e. multiethnic and suburban conservatives in opposition to hipster/highly educated downtowns?

This didn’t quite pan out in 2020 given that racial diversification in the suburbs helped them trend further D (even if the actual nonwhite voters moving in were more R than in 2016). But it accurately describes the swings in the big city urban cores.

Now that it looks like Eric Adams will be the next mayor of NYC, could this kind of "Ford Nation"-esque politics spread to other cities moving forward?

It’s only a matter of time. Although I’d like to think our impending “Ford Nation” esque coalitions will be more woke and crunchier than their Canadian namesake.

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I don't think that it's possible here given the racial politics of the South, the urban history of the Northeast and Midwest, the ethnic makeup of immigrants in much of the Southwest, and the radically different role of religion in public life.

I would agree with you nationally. It does seem to have potential  in certain progressive dominated cities and states. No one's going to believed president on it, but I could see a Governor, Mayor, or State legislature race swinging based off pissed off otherwise progressive suburbanites. That's pretty much what happened in Toronto.

In hindsight, this describes NJ-GOV 2021 better than VA-GOV 2021.