If anyone is willing to draw in the boundaries of the municipalities and counties, I could like I did in the past do a map for these. I would probably take several weeks, unless someone could load all the numbers into a spreadsheet and also give the poll numbers for each municipality and then I could do it much faster.
https://globalnews.ca/news/4257183/ontario-election-results-2018/ Nonetheless later, I thought I would post some of the more interesting maps. A lot were boring and near sweeps but noticed some interesting polls for really small ones, I am guessing single apartments or something as I saw some tiny polls with weird results like Liberals winning one of the tiny ones in Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill which went massively PC by almost 30 points. Anyone know what those tiny polls are. Looking through here are some interesting ridings:
Etobicoke-Lakeshore: Looks like NDP dominated the waterfront so guessing new condos helping while PCs elsewhere.
Humber River-Black Creek: PC support and NDP somewhat random so perhaps someone from that area has insight?
York South-Weston: NDP dominates southern part, PCs northern part although Liberals win in Northeastern corner.
University-Rosedale: NDP wins pretty much everything outside Rosedale as expected, Liberals win most of Rosedale expect the mansion areas right along Don River valley which go PC.
Toronto-St. Paul's: NDP dominates western side, PCs in the middle in Forest Hill, while Liberals eastern side.
Eglinton-Lawrence: Interesting Liberal/PC lines running north to south, anyone have any insight on the demographics in these?
Don Valley West: PCs dominate northern half which is more affluent while Liberals southern.
Don Valley East: Same as Don Valley West, although NDP win a few polls.
Scarborough Centre: North/south split between PCs and NDP
Scarborough-Guildwood: Also a north/south split with Liberals dominating the southern portion near the lakefront, PCs the northern parts.
Scarborough-Rouge Park: Another north/south split
Oshawa: Surprisingly an East/West split with PCs strong on the east end (I am guessing mostly newer subdivisions with many GTA commuters) and NDP on west side (Probably more blue collar union areas).
York-Simcoe: Georgina Island which is an Indian Reserve was the only NDP poll and ironically the reason reporting that riding was so delayed, PCs take everything else.
Brampton ridings: Interesting mix but wondering if NDP dominated heavily Sikh areas due to the Singh effect and PCs elsewhere?
Mississauga-Malton: Malton goes NDP, everything else goes PC, otherwise airport seemed to be the dividing line.
Mississauga-Lakeshore and Oakville: Unlike past elections, Liberals do quite well in lakeshore polls, but PCs dominate areas further north, otherwise the wealthy areas probably were turned off by Ford, but the more middle class areas he did better in, sort of opposite of what you normally have.
Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: Niagara Enscarpment seems to be the dividing line with PCs winning most of Ancaster, but NDP Dundas and Hamilton.
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek: PCs take the two most easterly polls which also seem much larger in area so probably more suburban/rural than rest of riding.
Flamborough-Glanbrook: PCs sweep Ancaster and Flamborough, but NDP wins a few in Glanbrook, otherwise ones adjacent to Hamilton Mountain.
St. Catherines: Strong north/south split, NDP dominates southern half (more downtown and near university), PCs northern half (less densely populated and more middle class families).
Niagara Centre: Near perfect urban/rural divide. NDP nearly sweeps all the built up areas, PCs take all the countryside portions.
Niagara Falls: NDP dominates Niagara Falls and Fort Erie, but the gap between the two cities goes mostly PC. Niagara on the Lake unlike those two goes mostly PC, although Queenston and the poll from the village go NDP while the rest which is rural goes PC.
Barrie ridings: NDP wins a few polls in Barrie-Oro Medonte-Springwater in Barrie, but PCs sweep everything outside. It does seem though Barrie went PC, but much more competitive than riding results suggest, while the parts outside Barrie went massively PC.
Brantford-Brant: NDP wins nearly all Brantford polls and Six nations reserve too, but NDP margins in Brantford are much narrower than PC margins in the rest of the riding so PCs win it even though they lose most polls by a strong second in Brantford and running up the margins in the rural and small town parts.
Kitchener Centre and Waterloo: Conestoga Parkway is dividing line, PCs east of that, NDP west of that.
Kitchener-Conestoga: NDP sweeps Kitchener as expected, but does surprisingly well elsewhere (which is normally solid PC), although PCs still finish ahead (perhaps nomination debacle depressed Tory turnout is my guess).
Kitchener South-Hespeler: Kitchener part goes massively NDP, Hespeler massively PC so big divide and not close in either, only close due to both largely cancelling each other out.
Cambridge: NDP dominates town centre, PCs elsewhere, so no real surprise.
Perth-Wellington: NDP sweeps Stratford (a very artsy town so no surprise), but PCs everywhere else.
Huron-Bruce: Liberals and NDP each win a poll in Kincardine near the Bruce Power plant which makes sense as more educated population there.
London: The north part of London North Centre is the only part of London that PCs plus the most westerly poll in London West, NDP sweeps everything else.
Chatham-Kent-Leamington: Town of Chatham-Kent is quite close, but PCs dominate everywhere else assuring a win.
Sarnia-Lambton: Sarnia is fairly competitive, appears only a narrow PC win, but massive PC win elsewhere in the riding.
Essex: It looks like PCs win Kingsville, NDP takes other municipalities.
Kiiwetinoog: PCs dominate southern portion (I am assuming this part is mostly white) while northern portion NDP win big, with PCs getting zero votes in many polls (I am assuming this is the aboriginal part).
Thunder Bay ridings: Seems Liberals did better outside the city, but also dominated the western half away from the lake, NDP eastern half near (Is the part near it more working class?). PCs in Thunder Bay-Atikokan win most polls in Oliver-Paipoonge (seems to be a pattern so any reason why this is a conservative island?).
Sault Ste. Marie: As expected NDP dominates central part, PCs win suburban and rural portions.
Nipissing: NDP actually is quite competitive in North Bay despite Vic Fideli being a popular former mayor. It is the rest of the riding including normally weak spots like Mattawa that go heavily PC.
Parry Sound-Muskoka: NDP wins all the Indian reserves, PCs elsewhere.
Kanata-Carleton: NDP wins a few polls in Kanata suggesting Kanata is not the conservative stronghold it once was, but PCs win big in the Carleton portion.
Ottawa West-Nepean: Ottawa is Liberal/NDP, while PCs more in Nepean, especially the Greenbelt portion.
Ottawa-Vanier: NDP wins areas directly across the Rideau Canal so close to Ottawa Centre, PCs win a few polls in what looks like Rockcliffe Park, but could be wrong.
Orleans: Only a few PC polls, although dominate the one rural poll.
Glengarry-Prescott-Russell: Liberals do well along Ottawa River, especially Hawkesbury and also win Russell. It looks like the Liberals won the Francophone vote, but PCs won by a massive margin amongst Anglophones thus why they carried the riding.
Kingston & Islands: Liberals take a few of the Islands (Guessing they must have a lot of well do to retirees), PCs on the very eastern edge which is semi rural.
Lanark-Frontenac-Kingston: Despite solid PC win, NDP does well, possibly wins in South Frontenac portion (probably benefits from close proximity to Kingston?).
Hastings-Frontenac-Lennox & Addington: NDP wins a few polls in Amherstview (lots of Kingston commuters I believe), Greater Nepanee is tight, but everything else solid PC.
Bay of Quinte: Looks like central parts of Belleville, downtown Picton go NDP, PC everywhere else.
Peterborough-Kawartha: NDP surprisingly wins a few albeit not majority of polls outside Peterborough. Peterborough has a north/south split with NDP winning big on north side (I am guessing downtown and university must be here?) while PCs win the south side by a narrower margin.
Northumberland-Peterborough South: Liberals shockingly win a few polls in Port Hope and Cobourg (I thought NDP as opposed to Liberals would here) while NDP only wins two in Campbellton, PCs dominate off course.
Now some surprises:
1. Looks like PCs swept Durham despite NDP strong second showing of 31%.
2. Blue Mountains, Wasaga Beach, and Collingwood all went PC in every poll despite demographics not being favourable to Ford, although guessing Jim Wilson's personal popularity may be part of it.
3. Owen Sound which Greens have done well in the past goes PC.
4. Ingersoll goes PC which went NDP in 2014 as PCs win every poll in Oxford unlike in 2014.
5. Pelee Island goes PC although with a lot of seasonal residents seems to go all over the place
6. PCs win Deep River in Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke which always is the one part that goes Liberal in federal elections so guessing John Yabusuki's popularity as well as the fact he is less extreme than Cheryl Gallant is perhaps the reason. With Chalk River reactor fairly educated so Gallant is probably a turnoff there.
7. Rainy River district goes mostly PC despite the fact this is not part of Greg Rickford's former riding federally.
