Predict the final results for the senate races
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  Predict the final results for the senate races
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Author Topic: Predict the final results for the senate races  (Read 1784 times)
The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
slightlyburnttoast
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Posts: 2,050
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.43

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« Reply #25 on: May 28, 2018, 01:16:33 PM »

AZ: Sinema +5
FL: Nelson +4 (unpopular opinion: this race is a lot more competitive than most of Atlas thinks)
IN: Donnelly +1 (but could easily be a narrow Braun victory)
MI: Stabenow +12
MO: McCaskill +2 (but could easily be a narrow Hawley victory)
MT: Tester +4
ND: Heitkamp +2 (but could easily be a narrow Cramer victory)
NV: Rosen +5
OH: Brown +4
PA: Casey +8
TN: Bredesen +1 (but could easily be a narrow Blackburn victory)
TX: Cruz +6/7
WI: Baldwin +7
WV: Manchin +5

This is my slightly hackish D+3 prediction, but I think my margins are pretty reasonable and I wouldn't be remotely surprised if Republicans won in MO/IN/TN/ND.
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windjammer
Atlas Politician
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« Reply #26 on: May 28, 2018, 04:42:50 PM »

Wow, I wasn't expecting so many predictions. Thank you all!
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Sherrod Brown Shill
NerdFighter40351
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Posts: 716
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E: -7.87, S: -6.43

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« Reply #27 on: May 28, 2018, 07:00:04 PM »

My current predictions for races which will be competitive, which are highly subject to change:

TN: Bredesen +1 (D gain)
IN: Donnelly +2
MO: McCaskill +4
ND: Heitkamp +5
FL: Nelson +5
NV: Rosen +5 (D gain)
AZ: Sinema +6 (D gain)
WV: Manchin +6
TX: Cruz +7
MT: Tester +9

And for the races which are on the cusp of being competitive, but aren't really:

NE: Fischer +9
OH: Brown +10
WI: Baldwin +11
MI: Stabenow +13
PA: Casey +15

Eh, I take pride in being a 24/7 around the clock Brown fanboy but I highly doubt he can win by that much. Maybe 5 or 6 but Renacci is a pretty typical Republican, I doubt he'll lose in a landslide.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #28 on: May 28, 2018, 09:16:17 PM »

AZ: Sinema +7 (Over McSally)
FL: Nelson +6
IN: Braun +2
MI: Stabenow +14
MO: McCaskill +2
MT: Tester +6
NV: Rosen +5
ND: Heitkamp +7
OH: Brown +8
PA: Casey +9
TN: Blackburn +4
TX: Cruz +8
VA: Kaine +11
WV: Manchin +8
WI: Baldwin +8
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,106
Canada


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E: -6.06, S: -8.70

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« Reply #29 on: May 28, 2018, 09:19:45 PM »

AZ: Sinema +6 (over McSally)
FL: Nelson +5
IN: Donnelly +1
MI: Stabenow +11
MO: McCaskill +3
MT: Tester +5
NV: Rosen +4
ND: Heitikamp +6
OH: Brown +9
TN: Blackburn +2
TX: Cruz +7
VA: Kaine +15
WV: Manchin +5
WI: Baldwin +10
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KingSweden
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« Reply #30 on: May 28, 2018, 09:22:31 PM »

AZ: Sinema +7 (Over McSally)
FL: Nelson +6
IN: Braun +2
MI: Stabenow +14
MO: McCaskill +2
MT: Tester +6
NV: Rosen +5
ND: Heitkamp +7
OH: Brown +8
PA: Casey +9
TN: Blackburn +4
TX: Cruz +8
VA: Kaine +11
WV: Manchin +8
WI: Baldwin +8

More or less my thoughts
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