Gravis-WV: Manchin +13
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  Gravis-WV: Manchin +13
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Author Topic: Gravis-WV: Manchin +13  (Read 4279 times)
Gass3268
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« on: May 25, 2018, 01:24:25 PM »

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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
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« Reply #1 on: May 25, 2018, 01:28:12 PM »

Gravis is gonna Gravis. Doesn't fly with a D+3 Generic ballot. Manchin +2 I can believe.
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YE
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« Reply #2 on: May 25, 2018, 01:28:29 PM »

Gravis is, was, and always will be junk. Gravis tends to be all over the place and unreliable and this is no exception.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #3 on: May 25, 2018, 01:28:47 PM »

>Gravis
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Sestak
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« Reply #4 on: May 25, 2018, 01:29:35 PM »

Wait margin narrows with Blankensh*t? Huh
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5 on: May 25, 2018, 01:30:57 PM »

Gravis is gonna gravid but trying to predict a west Virginia election is silly. I can believe anything, including a double digit wipeout on either side.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #6 on: May 25, 2018, 01:31:52 PM »

Gravis is such a bad pollster. I can believe Manchin being ahead, but not by 13. I certainly can't believe Blankenship helps Morrisey.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #7 on: May 25, 2018, 01:32:37 PM »

Gravis is gonna Gravis. Doesn't fly with a D+3 Generic ballot. Manchin +2 I can believe.

How does a poll fly? Gravis is hardly Democratic friendly and West Virginia votes how it wants to down ballot which means the generic ballot is useless in predicting anything there. Gravis isn't that reliable but they don't generally post numbers that are overly favorable to Democrats.
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« Reply #8 on: May 25, 2018, 01:40:36 PM »

So when Gravis predicts D+13 in WV, you (correctly) call it junk, but when it predicts R+1 in IN, you say "OMG! Donnelly is DOA!"

Not that I believe Manchin's up 13, but still.
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VirginiŠ
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« Reply #9 on: May 25, 2018, 01:52:45 PM »

Gravis is gonna Gravis. Doesn't fly with a D+3 Generic ballot. Manchin +2 I can believe.

Compared to:

IN-SEN Gravis: Braun +1

Told you guys. This is Bayh 2.0, R+10 election day.  Where are those mocking me now?

Translation: I decided long ago what I believe the midterm will be, and I will selectively define the credibility and believability of polls and pollsters as needed to justify my prediction.

-

I mean, sheesh, it's ok to change your opinion of what you think will happen as new data becomes available, but this is next level hackery or just bad trolling.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #10 on: May 25, 2018, 01:55:10 PM »

Just distrust Gravis at all times, simple
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Consciously Unconscious
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« Reply #11 on: May 25, 2018, 01:55:14 PM »

-10
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cvparty
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« Reply #12 on: May 25, 2018, 02:04:59 PM »

Gravis is gonna Gravis. Doesn't fly with a D+3 Generic ballot. Manchin +2 I can believe.

Compared to:

IN-SEN Gravis: Braun +1

Told you guys. This is Bayh 2.0, R+10 election day.  Where are those mocking me now?

Translation: I decided long ago what I believe the midterm will be, and I will selectively define the credibility and believability of polls and pollsters as needed to justify my prediction.

-

I mean, sheesh, it's ok to change your opinion of what you think will happen as new data becomes available, but this is next level hackery or just bad trolling.
why are we even still wasting our breath on him lmao
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Person Man
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« Reply #13 on: May 25, 2018, 02:16:39 PM »

I call BS
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OneJ
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« Reply #14 on: May 25, 2018, 02:17:26 PM »

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KingSweden
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« Reply #15 on: May 25, 2018, 02:18:39 PM »

Gravis is such a bad pollster. I can believe Manchin being ahead, but not by 13. I certainly can't believe Blankenship helps Morrisey.

I actually find that plausible. Blankenship could eat into the Southern WV base for Manchin.
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« Reply #16 on: May 25, 2018, 02:39:47 PM »

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ON Progressive
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« Reply #17 on: May 25, 2018, 02:40:32 PM »

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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #18 on: May 25, 2018, 03:46:47 PM »

Manchin is probably not up by this much, but it is pretty obvious he is ahead now!
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Goldenstateguy
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« Reply #19 on: May 25, 2018, 04:03:59 PM »

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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #20 on: May 25, 2018, 04:35:51 PM »

Impossible. I was told that Patrick Morrisey is a top-tier candidate and that Jenkins losing the primary totally didnít matter. I mean, if demigod Morrisey is trailing by 13, I canít even imagine how miserably detestable candidates like Matt Rosendale must be polling right now.
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Skye
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« Reply #21 on: May 25, 2018, 04:51:34 PM »

Gravis is totally fine when their results suit your preconceptions.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #22 on: May 25, 2018, 05:00:13 PM »

Gravis is totally fine when their results suit your preconceptions.

Gravis is a flawed pollster and this poll might be biased toward to Democrats, yes, but Iíve never understood why people think Morrisey is a particularly strong candidate. Sure, heís not Blankenship, but thatís a ridiculously low bar. Lean D, Manchin by 7 IMO.

I think Iíve seen a maximum of 2 people say Morrissey is a strong candidate.
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Doimper
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« Reply #23 on: May 25, 2018, 05:00:49 PM »

Gravis is totally fine when their results suit your preconceptions.

Gravis is a flawed pollster and this poll might be biased toward to Democrats, yes, but Iíve never understood why people think Morrisey is a particularly strong candidate. Sure, heís not Blankenship, but thatís a ridiculously low bar. Lean D, Manchin by 7 IMO.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #24 on: May 25, 2018, 07:19:54 PM »

Gravis is totally fine when their results suit your preconceptions.

Gravis is a flawed pollster and this poll might be biased toward to Democrats, yes, but Iíve never understood why people think Morrisey is a particularly strong candidate. Sure, heís not Blankenship, but thatís a ridiculously low bar. Lean D, Manchin by 7 IMO.

This. Morrisey is seriously overrated. This is the same guy who carried West Virginia by high single digits on the same night that Trump stormed it by well over 40.
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