Real Clear Politics: How the Battle for the House is Shaping Up

[LimoLiberal]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2018/05/24/how_the_battle_for_the_house_is_shaping_up_137112.html#2

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[UncleSam]

The elections are not held right now. They’re held in six months. If the generic ballot is still D+3.5 then, Rs will probably hold the house. But there’s little reason to think that Rs being at their high water mark now is indicative of how things will stand in November.

[KingSweden]

The elections are not held right now. They’re held in six months. If the generic ballot is still D+3.5 then, Rs will probably hold the house. But there’s little reason to think that Rs being at their high water mark now is indicative of how things will stand in November.

This

[Politician]

The elections are not held right now. They’re held in six months. If the generic ballot is still D+3.5 then, Rs will probably hold the house. But there’s little reason to think that Rs being at their high water mark now is indicative of how things will stand in November.

This

[Goldenstateguy]

Great article from RealClearPolitics. I’ve always been a fan of their unbiased, nonpartisan, reporting.

[mencken]

Pretty much sums up my opinion.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

The generic ballot usually starts shifting heavily against the party of the president in late September, and generally stays that way up to the election.

[mencken]

The generic ballot usually starts shifting heavily against the party of the president in late September, and generally stays that way up to the election.

Again, Democrats were up double digits at this point in 2006. I guess this rule is not applicable to Republican presidents.

[Pericles]

It's possible, and a Democratic wave shouldn't be taken as certainty. But it's unreasonable to jump to the conclusion that D+4 is the new norm. All we can really take from recent GCB shifts is that a Republican win is possible and Democrats shouldn't take victory for granted(which should be obvious, but still).

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

It's possible, and a Democratic wave shouldn't be taken as certainty. But it's unreasonable to jump to the conclusion that D+4 is the new norm. All we can really take from recent GCB shifts is that a Republican win is possible and Democrats shouldn't take victory for granted(which should be obvious, but still).

[KingSweden]

It's possible, and a Democratic wave shouldn't be taken as certainty. But it's unreasonable to jump to the conclusion that D+4 is the new norm. All we can really take from recent GCB shifts is that a Republican win is possible and Democrats shouldn't take victory for granted(which should be obvious, but still).

[Politician]

It's possible, and a Democratic wave shouldn't be taken as certainty. But it's unreasonable to jump to the conclusion that D+4 is the new norm. All we can really take from recent GCB shifts is that a Republican win is possible and Democrats shouldn't take victory for granted(which should be obvious, but still).

[ON Progressive]

It's possible, and a Democratic wave shouldn't be taken as certainty. But it's unreasonable to jump to the conclusion that D+4 is the new norm. All we can really take from recent GCB shifts is that a Republican win is possible and Democrats shouldn't take victory for granted(which should be obvious, but still).

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

It's possible, and a Democratic wave shouldn't be taken as certainty. But it's unreasonable to jump to the conclusion that D+4 is the new norm. All we can really take from recent GCB shifts is that a Republican win is possible and Democrats shouldn't take victory for granted(which should be obvious, but still).

[NOVA Green]

Rule of thumb.... don't trust RCP and their aggregate polling data.

They always mix a ton of junk polls into their numbers, so I always throw a few shakers of salt and pepper into this cocktail, and on Atlas at least we have a ton of wise folks that separate the junk from the aggregate....

We have no idea how this will all shake down in six months, but I certainly wouldn't be running a futures bet on internet betting sites based upon RCP numbers....

Spend your betting money wisely young Jedi/Grasshopper....