(MAP) 2018 Primary Electorate by County (COMPLETE*)

[Adam Griffin]

Which races did you use for this map? It appears to use a mix of both Senate and Governor races? Like Wisconsin and Ohio are for the Senate.

The goal was to use the top-ticket race in all states (though as I understand it, a few states put gubernatorial races ahead of senatorial races on the ballot for some reason).

Comparisons defaulted to the senatorial contests in all states where they occurred, then defaulted to gubernatorial in the states where senatorial contests did not occur. For the statewide map in the bottom left, House PV was used for KY & NC (though I'm in the process of changing NC's to the Supreme Court race as we speak, to fill out the map). A few states - mentioned on the first page - use either a projection (VA & SD) or registered voters (NY & UT) in lieu of any available turnout data in the primary.

[Adam Griffin]

Alright, I've added NC's Supreme Court race results to the primary-general map for comparison, and updated the county totals at the bottom of the previous page. I suppose there are two different ways to show it (plurality winner vs combined D-R vote shares), but I've opted for the latter since it conforms better to how primary results are calculated on the map (i.e. two-way model), so both R candidates' vote shares were combined in this race - which is why there are so many DEM->GOP counties on the map.

I'm actually kind of surprised how close Earls came to 50% despite receiving fewer votes than both GOP candidates combined in so many otherwise Democratic counties; by this measurement, she only won 2 more counties than Clinton (New Hanover and Robeson - and both with less than 51% of the vote).