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Poll
Question: ?
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Tilt D
 
#5
Tossup
 
#6
Tilt R
 
#7
Lean R
 
#8
Likely R
 
#9
Safe R
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 124

Author Topic: Rate NE-2 Now  (Read 4517 times)
Gass3268
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« Reply #25 on: May 16, 2018, 08:23:47 AM »

Tilt-R seams right at this moment
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #26 on: May 16, 2018, 08:56:20 AM »

Put me in the camp of Tossup before and Tossup after.  Maybe Ashford had a slightly better chance of holding it, but he didn't impress me.  I mean it's not like Omaha Dems kicked out a moderate incumbent in this evenly divided district; they just didn't renominate the only Dem incumbent to lose in 2016.  I'd like to see more from Eastman as a general election candidate.
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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #27 on: May 16, 2018, 08:59:22 AM »

tossup, MAYBE tilt D
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KingSweden
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« Reply #28 on: May 16, 2018, 09:03:06 AM »

Put me in the camp of Tossup before and Tossup after.  Maybe Ashford had a slightly better chance of holding it, but he didn't impress me.  I mean it's not like Omaha Dems kicked out a moderate incumbent in this evenly divided district; they just didn't renominate the only Dem incumbent to lose in 2016.  I'd like to see more from Eastman as a general election candidate.


Agree with every word
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Not Me, Us
KhanOfKhans
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« Reply #29 on: May 16, 2018, 09:09:37 AM »

Lean D. Eastman is a much stronger candidate than people are giving her credit for.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #30 on: May 16, 2018, 10:16:18 AM »

Tilt-R seams right at this moment
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #31 on: May 16, 2018, 10:23:57 AM »

Military General vs Middle Aged Activist. Likely R
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OneJ
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« Reply #32 on: May 16, 2018, 10:35:59 AM »

Also, it’s probably best to wait for polling (preferably public polling) before being 100% sure about Eastman and the Dems “throwing the race away”.

Military General vs Middle Aged Activist. Likely R

And? A socialist defeated a Majority Whip in Virginia about seven months ago. What’s your point?
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« Reply #33 on: May 16, 2018, 10:39:42 AM »

I mean it's not like Omaha Dems kicked out a moderate incumbent in this evenly divided district; they just didn't renominate the only Dem incumbent to lose in 2016

And if he managed to lose in a district where Clinton improved on Obama’s 2012 numbers, then I’m not sure I can blame Dem primary voters for going with someone else.
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Theodore
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« Reply #34 on: May 16, 2018, 10:53:54 AM »

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Sestak
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« Reply #35 on: May 16, 2018, 10:55:58 AM »

Tossup.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #36 on: May 16, 2018, 11:33:07 AM »

Tilt R, but if Eastman runs a competent General Election campaign, it could go as high as Lean D for Democrats.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #37 on: May 16, 2018, 11:36:12 AM »

Likely R

Serious own goal by Democratic primary voters.
You support the DCCC's choice?
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #38 on: May 16, 2018, 11:36:58 AM »

Also, it’s probably best to wait for polling (preferably public polling) before being 100% sure about Eastman and the Dems “throwing the race away”.

Military General vs Middle Aged Activist. Likely R

And? A socialist defeated a Majority Whip in Virginia about seven months ago. What’s your point?

This is Nebraska and not Northern Virginia
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #39 on: May 16, 2018, 11:54:06 AM »

Tossup; gun to my head, Eastman by 2
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #40 on: May 16, 2018, 12:38:07 PM »


Care to make a wager?
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Nyvin
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« Reply #41 on: May 16, 2018, 12:44:18 PM »

I wonder if Warren Buffet will endorse Eastman...?
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #42 on: May 16, 2018, 01:36:23 PM »

I wonder if Warren Buffet will endorse Eastman...?

Absolutely not. Warren buffet is prehaps the greatest venture capitalist of all time. He’s not gonna throw his weight behind a Bernie bro
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #43 on: May 16, 2018, 01:39:00 PM »

Military General vs Middle Aged Activist. Likely Lean R
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Perlen vor den Schweinen
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« Reply #44 on: May 16, 2018, 01:48:13 PM »

People here need to keep in mind how Eastman won the primary against a semi-incumbent in the first place. She went nuts campaigning, as Cal said in the primary night thread- I also mentioned that the "yard sign primary" really matters for local-level races. Eastman signs were all over Omaha. She blew both Bacon and Ashford out of the water in number of yard signs.

Atlas also keeps assuming that she is some left-wing nut.

No.

She is not. She is just a typical Democrat on most issues. No better than Bacon in the minds of "swing voters" (who did not deliver in large enough numbers for Ashford in 2016), who has been an R hack.

This district will be won as you would expect any other swing district to be won: drive up the base. Eastman can probably do that more effectively. 2014 was a case of people hating Terry more than liking Ashford now, it seems.

Tossup before the primary, tossup after.
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Politician
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« Reply #45 on: May 16, 2018, 02:07:20 PM »

People here need to keep in mind how Eastman won the primary against a semi-incumbent in the first place. She went nuts campaigning, as Cal said in the primary night thread- I also mentioned that the "yard sign primary" really matters for local-level races. Eastman signs were all over Omaha. She blew both Bacon and Ashford out of the water in number of yard signs.

Atlas also keeps assuming that she is some left-wing nut.

No.

She is not. She is just a typical Democrat on most issues. No better than Bacon in the minds of "swing voters" (who did not deliver in large enough numbers for Ashford in 2016), who has been an R hack.

This district will be won as you would expect any other swing district to be won: drive up the base. Eastman can probably do that more effectively. 2014 was a case of people hating Terry more than liking Ashford now, it seems.

Tossup before the primary, tossup after.
Thank you for saying this. Eastman is NOT a horrible candidate like everyone says she is.
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Badger
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« Reply #46 on: May 16, 2018, 02:08:01 PM »

Would've been lean D either way the primary turned out.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #47 on: May 16, 2018, 02:23:01 PM »

People here need to keep in mind how Eastman won the primary against a semi-incumbent in the first place. She went nuts campaigning, as Cal said in the primary night thread- I also mentioned that the "yard sign primary" really matters for local-level races. Eastman signs were all over Omaha. She blew both Bacon and Ashford out of the water in number of yard signs.

Atlas also keeps assuming that she is some left-wing nut.

No.

She is not. She is just a typical Democrat on most issues. No better than Bacon in the minds of "swing voters" (who did not deliver in large enough numbers for Ashford in 2016), who has been an R hack.

This district will be won as you would expect any other swing district to be won: drive up the base. Eastman can probably do that more effectively. 2014 was a case of people hating Terry more than liking Ashford now, it seems.

Tossup before the primary, tossup after.

Bacon was unopposed. That would be a stupid waste of campaign funds to make signs for a primary that you’re guaranteed to win
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GMantis
Dessie Potter
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« Reply #48 on: May 16, 2018, 02:59:27 PM »

People here need to keep in mind how Eastman won the primary against a semi-incumbent in the first place. She went nuts campaigning, as Cal said in the primary night thread- I also mentioned that the "yard sign primary" really matters for local-level races. Eastman signs were all over Omaha. She blew both Bacon and Ashford out of the water in number of yard signs.

Atlas also keeps assuming that she is some left-wing nut.

No.

She is not. She is just a typical Democrat on most issues. No better than Bacon in the minds of "swing voters" (who did not deliver in large enough numbers for Ashford in 2016), who has been an R hack.

This district will be won as you would expect any other swing district to be won: drive up the base. Eastman can probably do that more effectively. 2014 was a case of people hating Terry more than liking Ashford now, it seems.

Tossup before the primary, tossup after.

Bacon was unopposed. That would be a stupid waste of campaign funds to make signs for a primary that you’re guaranteed to win
Bacon certainly didn't think so.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #49 on: May 16, 2018, 03:01:22 PM »

Tilt D.
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