MO-SEN Missouri Scout: McCaskill +4
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Author Topic: MO-SEN Missouri Scout: McCaskill +4  (Read 5112 times)
TheSaint250
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« Reply #50 on: May 14, 2018, 01:09:39 AM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on May 13, 2018, 11:56:18 PM
Surely you know how Atlas works by now. Tongue

I should, but it gets me every time Tongue
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #51 on: May 14, 2018, 01:10:02 AM »
Well, these MO threads are always.... interesting, to say the least. Anyway, I think it’s obvious that McCaskill is less vulnerable than Donnelly at this point, and while I’m really not a fan of her at all, Jimmie has a point when he points out how much emphasis people put on McCaskill's, Heitkamp's, or Rosen's vulnerability while scoffing at the idea of Nelson, Brown, Tester, etc. being potentially vulnerable.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #52 on: May 14, 2018, 01:38:18 AM »
Atlas, May 2017: McCaskill is DOA but Manchin will win in a landslide because he's so POPULURRRRR.

Atlas, May 2018: McCaskill +4, Morrissey +2

lol
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #53 on: May 14, 2018, 07:00:57 AM »
McCaskill will win by 1-3 points on Election Day. If Kander almost won in 2016 I'm sure McCaskill can win in 2018 with Erotic Eric as the governor.
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here2view
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« Reply #54 on: May 14, 2018, 07:09:19 AM »
Quote from: Rep. Sestak on May 13, 2018, 08:33:22 PM
Kander was against an incumbent in a R-favorable year with a R candidate especially suited to MO on the presidential ballot.

McCaskill is an incumbent in a D-favored year with an R governor who has been credibly accused (even the heavily R legislature admits this) of blackmailing a partner with threats of revenge porn sitting in the Governor's Mansion in Jefferson City.

Kander lost by 3. How exactly is McCaskill in a worse position?
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #55 on: May 14, 2018, 09:15:18 AM »

Erotic Eric... LOL, a great nickname. That made me laugh. Sounds very trumpish.

I consider this race still a toss-up, but think McCaskill is currently favored. Especially compared to 2016, where Kander came close in a GOP friendly year against an incumbent. She's not doomed, though she could still lose this.
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« Reply #56 on: May 14, 2018, 09:17:27 AM »
Right now I'd give McCaskill a 70% chance of winning and Joe Donnelly a 60% chance of winning. I'd give Phil Bredesen in Tennessee a 60% chance as well.
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Doimper
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« Reply #57 on: May 14, 2018, 09:48:28 AM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on May 14, 2018, 09:15:18 AM

Erotic Eric... LOL, a great nickname. That made me laugh. Sounds very trumpish.

I consider this race still a toss-up, but think McCaskill is currently favored. Especially compared to 2016, where Kander came close in a GOP friendly year against an incumbent. She's not doomed, though she could still lose this.

Not my idea, credit goes to PNM for that one.
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Blackacre
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« Reply #58 on: May 14, 2018, 01:04:44 PM »
Maybe I should rethink my perception of MO as a pure tossup. McCaskill seems like she's in a pretty good position...
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #59 on: May 14, 2018, 04:01:43 PM »
Hawely will not win. Hawley is done
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KingSweden
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« Reply #60 on: May 14, 2018, 04:08:15 PM »
Quote from: Mondale on May 14, 2018, 04:01:43 PM
Hawely will not win. Hawley is done

We’re six months out, let’s cool our jets.

Quote from: Spenstar on May 14, 2018, 01:04:44 PM
Maybe I should rethink my perception of MO as a pure tossup. McCaskill seems like she's in a pretty good position...

I wouldn’t move it anywhere further than Tilt D. Greitens could be impeached and the whole debacle could fade from view.
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« Reply #61 on: May 14, 2018, 04:21:40 PM »
Quote from: Spenstar on May 14, 2018, 01:04:44 PM
Maybe I should rethink my perception of MO as a pure tossup. McCaskill seems like she's in a pretty good position...
She usually finds a way in the end.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #62 on: May 14, 2018, 06:24:04 PM »
This poll cannot be accurate because the Missouri Senate race is Likely Republican in my ratings.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #63 on: May 14, 2018, 07:22:17 PM »
Quote from: MassGuy on May 14, 2018, 06:24:04 PM
This poll cannot be accurate because the Missouri Senate race is Likely Republican in my ratings.

Please do not troll like this.
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AtorBoltox
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« Reply #64 on: May 14, 2018, 07:55:49 PM »
Lean D. McCaskill is the clear favourite
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #65 on: May 14, 2018, 07:58:18 PM »
Tossup-> tilt D.

She's been leading in most polls, and unless Greitens is impeached (unlikely) Hawley will continue to get dragged down.
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Kodak
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« Reply #66 on: May 14, 2018, 09:17:42 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on May 14, 2018, 07:22:17 PM
Quote from: MassGuy on May 14, 2018, 06:24:04 PM
This poll cannot be accurate because the Missouri Senate race is Likely Republican in my ratings.

Please do not troll like this.
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Doimper
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« Reply #67 on: May 15, 2018, 12:18:05 AM »
Quote from: Jimmie on May 15, 2018, 12:04:54 AM
I hope this doesn't cause McCaskill to be blanched now.

Is whatever sh*t LimoLiberal has contagious?
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Rhenna
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« Reply #68 on: May 15, 2018, 07:38:12 AM »
Quote from: Jimmie on May 15, 2018, 12:56:36 AM
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on May 15, 2018, 12:18:05 AM
Quote from: Jimmie on May 15, 2018, 12:04:54 AM
I hope this doesn't cause McCaskill to be blanched now.

Is whatever sh*t LimoLiberal has contagious?

No!

And I literally felt my heart beat at a rapid pace when I heard the latest news. I really hate Greitens and want him to fail.
This is better than him being impeached for McCaskill. Public opinion won't change on Greitens and he's going to remain in office for now.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #69 on: May 15, 2018, 08:15:42 AM »
Quote from: The Haitian Ambassador on May 15, 2018, 07:38:12 AM
Quote from: Jimmie on May 15, 2018, 12:56:36 AM
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on May 15, 2018, 12:18:05 AM
Quote from: Jimmie on May 15, 2018, 12:04:54 AM
I hope this doesn't cause McCaskill to be blanched now.

Is whatever sh*t LimoLiberal has contagious?

No!

And I literally felt my heart beat at a rapid pace when I heard the latest news. I really hate Greitens and want him to fail.
This is better than him being impeached for McCaskill. Public opinion won't change on Greitens and he's going to remain in office for now.

Especially if they are coming back with a special prosecutor? This just keeps this in the news instead of pushing him out of the way.
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gerritcole
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« Reply #70 on: May 20, 2018, 01:57:22 PM »
tilt D. name a better combination than the GOP and blowing winnable races
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KingSweden
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« Reply #71 on: May 20, 2018, 04:43:04 PM »
Quote from: yfnlucci on May 20, 2018, 01:57:22 PM
tilt D. name a better combination than the GOP and blowing winnable races

Isn’t the meme “name a more iconic couple?”
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #72 on: May 20, 2018, 04:49:00 PM »
It's interesting that McCaskill is no longer looking like the most vulnerable Dem incumbent.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #73 on: May 20, 2018, 05:53:27 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on May 20, 2018, 04:49:00 PM
It's interesting that McCaskill is no longer looking like the most vulnerable Dem incumbent.
Nope, it's Joe Donnelly now due to a strong opponent + Greitens bringing Hawley down.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #74 on: May 20, 2018, 05:58:25 PM »
Quote from: MassGuy on May 20, 2018, 05:53:27 PM
Quote from: Skill and Chance on May 20, 2018, 04:49:00 PM
It's interesting that McCaskill is no longer looking like the most vulnerable Dem incumbent.
Nope, it's Joe Donnelly now due to a strong opponent + Greitens bringing Hawley down.

Heidi Heitkamp is also a close second.
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