NV-PPP: Rosen +2

[IceSpear]

Why hasn't this race already been declared safe D?

This poll is so GOP hackish and ridiculous because Rosen MUST be leading by double digits because muh Heller muh muh weak incumbent. Of course Heller will get blanched by double digits because Nevada, with a PVI of D +1, is a titanium D brick in the blue wall, and any poll that shows Heller ahead is junk. This is literally SO OBVIOUS. LMAO.

Remember guys, Heller being down by 2 in a poll means he is actually down by 20. I'd say that he will lose by about 20 points, but I'm probably being way too generous because Rosen is such a great fit for progressive, titanium D Nevada that I think she can easily beat him by 40 points or so, holding him to about ~25-35% of the vote. I mean let's be real, the only people who will be voting for Heller are the Pawn Stars guys and the deplorable Mormon cowboys like Cliven Bundy. Lol.

Trump losing this state by 2 points really demonstrates how Republicans will never be able to win in the solid blue progressive stronghold of Nevada ever again. Republicans should just cut Heller loose and send their money to races that they might win like Texas and Tennessee, which are still just Likely D for now.
Anyone who believes otherwise is either a GOP hack or is lying to themselves.

Why hasn't this race already been declared safe D?

This poll is so GOP hackish and ridiculous because Rosen MUST be leading by double digits because muh Heller muh muh weak incumbent. Of course Heller will get blanched by double digits because Nevada, with a PVI of D +1, is a titanium D brick in the blue wall, and any poll that shows Heller ahead is junk. This is literally SO OBVIOUS. LMAO.

Remember guys, Heller being down by 2 in a poll means he is actually down by 20. I'd say that he will lose by about 20 points, but I'm probably being way too generous because Rosen is such a great fit for progressive, titanium D Nevada that I think she can easily beat him by 40 points or so, holding him to about ~25-35% of the vote. I mean let's be real, the only people who will be voting for Heller are the Pawn Stars guys and the deplorable Mormon cowboys like Cliven Bundy. Lol.

Trump losing this state by 2 points really demonstrates how Republicans will never be able to win in the solid blue progressive stronghold of Nevada ever again. Republicans should just cut Heller loose and send their money to races that they might win like Texas and Tennessee, which are still just Likely D for now.
Anyone who believes otherwise is either a GOP hack or is lying to themselves.

Yeah, it’s much more believable that NV is no better than a Toss-Up for Democrats, and anyone who even so much as pushes this to Tilt D is an insufferable Democratic hack who is underestimating Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller. Even though Trump winning Wisconsin by .8% proves that it’s a red state, Trump losing Nevada by 2.4 doesn’t in any way suggest that it’s a blue state, since it went the same way in 1992. It may have been the first time since 1908 that a Republican won without Nevada, but I’m sure that’s just a coincidence. Demographics are only destiny in the Midwest.

I mean, even though polls in Nevada in the past consistently underestimated Democrats (even Berkeley), surely they HAVE to be right THIS year. And it’s amazing that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller  is even REMOTELY close to Rosen! Just like it was amazing that Hagan even came within 10 points of beating Tillis. Nothing unreasonable about assuming an incumbent whose approval rating is way worse than Trump’s in his state could possibly do worse than Trump, especially since Democrats always do badly in midterms, and surely Democratic turnout in Nevada will be the same as it was in 2014.

Dean Heller is a completely safe & super strong incumbent. His approval rating of sub 30% shows that he is an UNSTOPPABLE TITAN that will smite any candidate who dares to challenge him. Liberals are FOOLS for thinking dems are favored in this state that Hillary only won by 2. There is no possible way republicans can do any worse than they did in 2016 because special elections are COMPLETE FAKE NEWS. And Heller is beautiful & unstoppable and a moderate (even if he hasn't ever made a moderate vote this Congress, he's a beautiful, precious moderate in my heart).

Heller is a mormon rockstar and a moderate hero who will win by double digits. Democrats don't vote in midterms and Nevada is an R-leaning swing state. I KNOW Reid would have gotten Blanched in 2010 had Angle not been the nominee. Rosen is a horrible candidate and polls only show barely up. And Nevada polls are extremely accurate.

LMAO.

I love Nevada threads.

[IceSpear]

But really guys, if even strong candidate Shelley Berkley couldn't defeat demigod Heller, it's obvious nobody can.

[IceSpear]

Heller won't get blanched I don't think unless the rural counties flip and Rosen isn't the kind that plays well there.

The rural Counties have something like 15 to 20% of the state's population. Their outcome really doesn't have anything to do with it.

yes it does lol

Outside of a crash in the mold of 2008, Dems can only do so well in Clark.

Washoe is usually won by the D's as well, no?

CCM won without Washoe. In fact, Berkley could've won even while losing Washoe by double digits if she didn't underperform in Clark.