Democrats' Target List Expanding to Rural Districts
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  Democrats' Target List Expanding to Rural Districts
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Author Topic: Democrats' Target List Expanding to Rural Districts  (Read 2065 times)
Frodo
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« on: April 29, 2018, 10:06:34 AM »

Democrats’ hopes for Congress expand to rural districts

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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: April 29, 2018, 10:15:51 AM »

Wow no way
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: April 29, 2018, 11:03:01 AM »

Agriculture is very worried about new trade restrictions.  That should make Dems competitive in some rural areas that haven't been contested in a while.

But why is AZ-06 grouped with the rural districts?  It is the furthest thing from rural!
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #3 on: April 29, 2018, 11:14:19 AM »

Does that mean Democrats will target North and South Dakota At-Large Districts? They used to do well in that region in the House level years ago.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #4 on: April 29, 2018, 11:17:18 AM »

Agriculture is very worried about new trade restrictions.  That should make Dems competitive in some rural areas that haven't been contested in a while.

But why is AZ-06 grouped with the rural districts?  It is the furthest thing from rural!

The only type of bellwether the media understands are liberatarian upscale suburban districts, which they identify with. A bellwether with any other demographic profile is going to have horrific mistakes and hot takes in the mass media coverage, if they're covered at all.
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136or142
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« Reply #5 on: April 29, 2018, 12:01:55 PM »

Does that mean Democrats will target North and South Dakota At-Large Districts? They used to do well in that region in the House level years ago.

They're both open districts (states) and the Democrats are running credible candidates in both states (districts.)
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #6 on: April 29, 2018, 12:10:11 PM »

IN-09!  IN-09! IN-09!
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #7 on: April 29, 2018, 12:17:27 PM »


I mean that might mean that they’re pretty sure Liz ‘Parachute’ Watson is going to win :/
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: April 29, 2018, 12:21:42 PM »

Well, duh. It would be stupid of Democrats to only target suburban Romney/Clinton districts.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #9 on: April 29, 2018, 12:25:21 PM »

The best strategy is to run candidates that uniquely fit their districts. You can run hardcore progressives in CA-49, conservative Democrats in districts like AL-04, and moderate neoliberals in suburban areas like GA-6.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #10 on: April 29, 2018, 12:27:08 PM »

Agriculture is very worried about new trade restrictions.  That should make Dems competitive in some rural areas that haven't been contested in a while.

But why is AZ-06 grouped with the rural districts?  It is the furthest thing from rural!

The only type of bellwether the media understands are liberatarian upscale suburban districts, which they identify with. A bellwether with any other demographic profile is going to have horrific mistakes and hot takes in the mass media coverage, if they're covered at all.

This is particularly true of Beltway Media (publications like Poiltico, the Hill, Roll Call, etc.). The reason the GA-6 special got so much hype is because Beltway media types identified with it because it's at least superficially similar to NOVA and the DC Maryland burbs, and because Ossoff, as a Democratic Hill Staffer, had a very similar profile to these types of journalists and their friends circle.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #11 on: April 29, 2018, 02:14:03 PM »

The only type of bellwether the media understands are liberatarian upscale suburban districts, which they identify with. A bellwether with any other demographic profile is going to have horrific mistakes and hot takes in the mass media coverage, if they're covered at all.

Seriously. Their coverage of the MT special election was hilariously bad, and I can’t remember the last time I saw that many hot takes/meaningless buzzwords/clichés used in such a short period.
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Ohioguy29
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« Reply #12 on: April 29, 2018, 03:02:09 PM »

The only type of bellwether the media understands are liberatarian upscale suburban districts, which they identify with. A bellwether with any other demographic profile is going to have horrific mistakes and hot takes in the mass media coverage, if they're covered at all.

Seriously. Their coverage of the MT special election was hilariously bad, and I can’t remember the last time I saw that many hot takes/meaningless buzzwords/clichés used in such a short period.

I managed to find some decent coverage of that, but it was from someone who was originally from Montana.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #13 on: April 29, 2018, 04:11:41 PM »

Alabama 4th is not winnable sorry. Even if a video came out of Roy Moore doing it and everyone believed it, he still would have won the district.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #14 on: April 29, 2018, 04:27:09 PM »

Alabama 4th is not winnable sorry. Even if a video came out of Roy Moore doing it and everyone believed it, he still would have won the district.

I don't think Texarkana was actually suggesting they could so much as he just thought up of a random Alabama district to illustrate his point.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #15 on: April 29, 2018, 07:04:51 PM »

The best strategy is to run candidates that uniquely fit their districts. You can run hardcore progressives in CA-49, conservative Democrats in districts like AL-04, and moderate neoliberals in suburban areas like GA-6.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #16 on: April 30, 2018, 02:33:25 AM »

lol at Democrats saying they're going to target a district that Roy Moore won. I don't care even if he won it by a single vote, it's clearly titanium R if even he won it.
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YE
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« Reply #17 on: April 30, 2018, 02:34:35 AM »

Where the hell is this list? I don't see it linked in the article.
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jfern
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« Reply #18 on: April 30, 2018, 02:49:50 AM »

Well, duh. It would be stupid of Democrats to only target suburban Romney/Clinton districts.

It would be stupid of them to do a lot of things that they've done.
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Rhenna
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« Reply #19 on: April 30, 2018, 07:12:01 AM »

Where the hell is this list? I don't see it linked in the article.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #20 on: April 30, 2018, 10:00:32 AM »

The only type of bellwether the media understands are liberatarian upscale suburban districts, which they identify with. A bellwether with any other demographic profile is going to have horrific mistakes and hot takes in the mass media coverage, if they're covered at all.

Interestingly they didn't cover South Carolina, which fit that profile reasonably well, even down a Goldman Sachs operative almost winning.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #21 on: April 30, 2018, 10:07:44 AM »

The only type of bellwether the media understands are liberatarian upscale suburban districts, which they identify with. A bellwether with any other demographic profile is going to have horrific mistakes and hot takes in the mass media coverage, if they're covered at all.

Interestingly they didn't cover South Carolina, which fit that profile reasonably well, even down a Goldman Sachs operative almost winning.

The candidates were, but the voters in that district aren't the kind they identify with, hence no coverage
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Brittain33
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« Reply #22 on: April 30, 2018, 10:12:36 AM »

Guys, I think AL-4 was a hyperbolic example of a conservative district that shouldn't get Zephyr Teachout nominated because it's the most Republican district in Alabama which is one of the most Republican states in the country. Obviously no Democrat is going to actually win it.
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