Axios-SurveyMonkey Senate Polls, Round II: AZ/NV seats lean D, TN tied

[TheRocketRaccoon]

https://www.axios.com/competitive-republican-senate-races-arizona-nevada-3a5700b8-2f00-4370-b0c6-79760872d531.html

AZ - Sinema vs. McSally: 51-42, Sinema vs. Ward: 51-43, Sinema vs. Arpaio: 61-32
NV - Rosen vs. Heller: 50-44
TN - Bredesen vs. Blackburn: 48-47

[Landslide Lyndon]

LOL Arpaio.

[MAINEiac4434]

Ten loknt leads are not “leans” lol.

[Young Conservative]

Lol, AZ is safe D  not lean D at this point

Yeah because it’s always smart to write races off as “Safe” six months out!

*sarcasm*

[GeorgiaModerate]

Don't get too excited by one poll.  It's impossible to really rate the race until the Republican nominee is determined.  Depending on how that turns out:

Sinema vs McSally: Lean D.
Sinema vs Ward: Likely D.
Sinema vs Arpaio: Safe D.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Don't get too excited by one poll.  It's impossible to really rate the race until the Republican nominee is determined.  Depending on how that turns out:

Sinema vs McSally: LeanLikely D.
Sinema vs Ward: Likely D.
Sinema vs Arpaio: Safe D.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

We've had 3 polls now where Sinema is beating McSally by 6+ in Arizona. Pretty impressive lol

I don't really trust this pollster though after seeing some of their other results...

[GeorgiaModerate]

Don't get too excited by one poll.  It's impossible to really rate the race until the Republican nominee is determined.  Depending on how that turns out:

Sinema vs McSally: LeanLikely D.
Sinema vs Ward: Likely D.
Sinema vs Arpaio: Safe D.

I'll grant you that it's closer to Likely than Tossup.  But I'd want to see some polls after McSally got the nomination, assuming she does, to actually move it.

[KingSweden]

I like these numbers, but I will be skeptical because Survey Monkey

[OneJ]

We've had 3 polls now where Sinema is beating McSally by 6+ in Arizona. Pretty impressive lol

I don't really trust this pollster though after seeing some of their other results...

This, but their numbers do look plausible here although I don’t know what to make of Ward performing one point higher (or really similar) to McSally’s performance. However, Arizona is Likely D overall.

[MT Treasurer]

Republicans are more likely to sweep MT (yes)/ND/IN/WV/MO/TN than to hold those two seats. Safe D.

[LimoLiberal]

Republicans are more likely to sweep MT (yes)/ND/IN/WV/MO/TN than to hold those two seats. Safe D.

Well, actually -
 
*remembers signature*

ughhhh

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Lol, AZ is safe D  not lean D at this point

Yeah because it’s always smart to write races off as “Safe” six months out!

*sarcasm*

If Arpaio is the nominee, it's safe D. Otherwise it's a tossup.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Lol, AZ is safe D  not lean D at this point

Yeah because it’s always smart to write races off as “Safe” six months out!

*sarcasm*

If Arpaio is the nominee, it's safe D. Otherwise it's a tossup.

Yeah a consistent +6 lead or more in the polls is a tossup lol

Y'all realize that AZ-08 only voted GOP by 4.8%? That's consistent with a 10%+ lead in 2018

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

SurveyMonkey = automatic junk poll