What would you rate the Nebraska Senate race?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 07:00:32 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  What would you rate the Nebraska Senate race?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: What would you rate it?
#1
Toss up		  
#2
Lean R		  
#3
Likely R		  
#4
Solid R		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: What would you rate the Nebraska Senate race?  (Read 644 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 26, 2018, 04:14:46 AM »
A Republican poll shows Fischer with a 34-42 approval rating, and Dems seem to have a solid though not spectacular generic Dish candidate. Despite this, most people seem to group this race in with titanium R Wyoming and Utah.
Logged
Vespucci
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 643
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2018, 05:59:38 AM »
Likely R, closer to Safe than Lean.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,352
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 26, 2018, 06:26:37 AM »
Nebraska is one of those states that'll end up just voting for a candidate because they have an (R) next to their name, except maybe in Omaha.
Logged
Young Conservative
youngconservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,029
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 26, 2018, 07:44:48 AM »
Quote from: Fmr. Lincoln Gov. Lok on April 26, 2018, 06:26:37 AM
Nebraska is one of those states that'll end up just voting for a candidate because they have an (R) next to their name, except maybe in Omaha.
Nebraska is  red, even in wave elections. Omaha probably elects a Democrat to Congress. I’d be surprised if they didn’t.
Logged
💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
peenie_weenie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,476
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 26, 2018, 07:49:42 AM »
Quote from: Fmr. Lincoln Gov. Lok on April 26, 2018, 06:26:37 AM
Nebraska is one of those states that'll end up just voting for a candidate because they have an (R) next to their name, except maybe in Omaha.

If you look at precinct level maps for 2016, Hillary won several cities/large in Nebraska (Omaha, Lincoln, Grand Island, Scotsbluff, Hastings). In general as a college town Lincoln is very competitive and probably lean D on average.

That said, this race is safe R.
Logged
PragmaticPopulist
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,235
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 26, 2018, 07:59:29 AM »
Nebraska does have a history of electing Democratic Senators so I wouldn't say Fischer is totally safe. However, polarization has gotten worse since then, so I doubt that she loses.
Logged
Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,208


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 26, 2018, 08:02:14 AM »
I think it could be vulnerable with a strong democratic candidate. Very white and rural states seem to be swinging the most from the 2016 election.

The current democratic candidate doesn't seem particularly great though, so I would put it at Likely R
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,280
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 26, 2018, 11:24:34 AM »
Safe R, since it doesn’t seem like the Democratic candidates are particularly strong.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 26, 2018, 11:44:16 AM »
Quote from: Vespucci on April 26, 2018, 05:59:38 AM
Likely R, closer to Safe than Lean.
Logged
Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,694
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: 2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 26, 2018, 01:01:48 PM »
Safe Republican.
Logged
GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,839
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 26, 2018, 01:03:42 PM »
Safe R but certainly less safe than WY or UT
Logged
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,072


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 26, 2018, 01:03:45 PM »
Logged
Tartarus Sauce
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 26, 2018, 01:21:29 PM »
Likely R, the Democrat is decent enough, incumbent unpopular enough, and wave could be big enough to flip the seat. It would be a mighty lift to do so, but it’s within the realm of possibility.
Logged
Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,480


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 26, 2018, 04:02:36 PM »
Likely R, closer to Lean than to Safe.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.038 seconds with 13 queries.