Which house incumbents will be Blanche'd or Santorum'd in November?
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  Which house incumbents will be Blanche'd or Santorum'd in November?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Which house incumbents will be Blanche'd or Santorum'd in November?  (Read 1463 times)
emcee0
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« on: April 25, 2018, 05:52:49 PM »
I doubt any senate incumbents will be crushed, so who in the house will be Blanche'd?
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #1 on: April 25, 2018, 05:55:57 PM »
probably comstock, curbelo
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Politician
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« Reply #2 on: April 25, 2018, 05:57:05 PM »
« Edited: April 26, 2018, 09:22:46 AM by Politician »
Denham, Knight, Comstock, Bacon, Lewis, Hurd
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Rhenna
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« Reply #3 on: April 25, 2018, 05:58:56 PM »
Knight, Culberson, Curbelo, Paulsen, Lewis, Comstock, Bacon, Lance, Faso, Tenney, and Roskam.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: April 25, 2018, 06:20:11 PM »
I actually think Comstock keeps it kinda respectable, low singles

I think Knight gets Blanched though
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Doimper
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« Reply #5 on: April 25, 2018, 07:04:09 PM »
Hot take: Heller gets Blanched.
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Anna Komnene
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« Reply #6 on: April 25, 2018, 07:11:39 PM »
I wouldn't wish a santoruming on anyone, but with all the people suddenly resigning over the #metoo movement, who knows?
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
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« Reply #7 on: April 25, 2018, 07:13:40 PM »
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #8 on: April 25, 2018, 07:36:14 PM »
Brian Fitzpatrick. With Costello and Meehan gone then he gets more attention and resources sent after him from the DCCC also they got their top recruit and  his seat is more blue if I recall right
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: April 25, 2018, 07:51:00 PM »
Quote from: Sunflower on April 25, 2018, 07:11:39 PM
I wouldn't wish a santoruming on anyone, but with all the people suddenly resigning over the #metoo movement, who knows?
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #10 on: April 25, 2018, 07:53:08 PM »
Tenney
Walters
Coffman
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Doimper
Doctor Imperialism
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« Reply #11 on: April 25, 2018, 07:56:08 PM »
Question: Were there people on this forum in 2010 going "BLANCHE LINCOLN IS A STRONG INCUMBENT AND SHE'LL KEEP IT CLOSE" like people now are doing for Heller? I guess polling for her in 2010 was more dire than Heller's polling is now, but still.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #12 on: April 25, 2018, 08:00:07 PM »
Tenney looks like complete roadkill.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #13 on: April 25, 2018, 08:00:28 PM »
In b4 "Collin Peterson"
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jamestroll
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« Reply #14 on: April 25, 2018, 08:09:37 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on April 25, 2018, 07:56:08 PM
Question: Were there people on this forum in 2010 going "BLANCHE LINCOLN IS A STRONG INCUMBENT AND SHE'LL KEEP IT CLOSE" like people now are doing for Heller? I guess polling for her in 2010 was more dire than Heller's polling is now, but still.

Initially yes.

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Sestak
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« Reply #15 on: April 25, 2018, 08:14:31 PM »
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #16 on: April 25, 2018, 08:15:55 PM »
« Edited: April 25, 2018, 08:19:33 PM by MT Treasurer »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on April 25, 2018, 07:56:08 PM
Question: Were there people on this forum in 2010 going "BLANCHE LINCOLN IS A STRONG INCUMBENT AND SHE'LL KEEP IT CLOSE" like people now are doing for Heller? I guess polling for her in 2010 was more dire than Heller's polling is now, but still.

Not sure, but I don’t think it was ever really as bad as it is with Heller now. There are quite a few gems in this thread however, particularly on page 2 and 3:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=95266.0

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It’s from 2009, but still hilarious with hindsight.
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morgieb
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« Reply #17 on: April 25, 2018, 08:29:46 PM »
Steve Knight.

Tenney seems like John Hosteller 2.0, too (a better comparison for the House, especially given his seat was quite Republican). So does Mike Bost (IL-12 actually reminds me a lot of the IN-08 of twelve years ago)

Coffman seems a likely type. Curbelo too assuming Muscarel-Powell is a decent candidate. Can see Comstock keeping it close even though I think that seat is no longer winnable for the Republicans as things stand.

In the Senate, the only one that really applies is Heller.
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #18 on: April 25, 2018, 08:31:13 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on April 25, 2018, 08:00:07 PM
Tenney looks like complete roadkill.

Nah.... just look at these non-desperate emails she's been sending out:
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #19 on: April 25, 2018, 09:01:48 PM »
Considering how wildly upstate NY swings, I think Tenney will probably end up losing by at least 10 points. So her.

Jason Lewis also has the potential to be blown out. Steve Knight and Curbelo have already been mentioned and are the obvious answers.

Not an incumbent. But Houlahan in PA-06 could scratch 60% if her GOP challenger doesn't get his act together.
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ltomlinson31
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« Reply #20 on: April 25, 2018, 10:20:29 PM »
Rod Blum, Tenney, Jason Lewis, Steve Knight
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Xing
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« Reply #21 on: April 26, 2018, 12:47:22 AM »
While I think Knight and Comstock are DOA, I doubt they're going to lose by Blanche-like margins. Tenney, on the other hand, could.
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