NH-UNH Sununu Dispatches Marchland, Kelly Easily

[mds32]

UNH

NH Governor
Sununu (R) 49
Marchland (D) 27

Sununu (R) 51
Kelly (D) 24

https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2018_spring_govapp42418.pdf

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WOOT! GO SUNUNU!

Also loving the fact that Marchand does better than Kelly. The angry women have clearly retired.

[mds32]

Prediction?

Sununu wins 60-40 and people will vote out the GOP State House, GOP State Senate will remain however just like 2012.

Sununu being the only statewide race on the ballot could impact NH-01, however. I really wonder how the down the ballot will play out.

[KingSweden]

Prediction?

Sununu wins 60-40 and people will vote out the GOP State House, GOP State Senate will remain however just like 2012.

Sununu being the only statewide race on the ballot could impact NH-01, however. I really wonder how the down the ballot will play out.

I’ll say... Sununu 56-42 (allowing for Indies) over either candidate, House flips to a massive Dem Majority because this is after all New Hampsjire, and the Senate goes 12-12 and hilarity ensues

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

But muh TITANIUM D New Hampshire

[_]

GLORIOUS

[RogueBeaver]

GLORIOUS

[MT Treasurer]

That’s simply not going to happen, period.

[cvparty]

b-but the angry women

[PragmaticPopulist]

>Inb4 MT Treasurer

I'm no fan of Sununu, and if I lived in NH, I would vote against him due to his attempts at voter suppression, among other things. But he is clearly favored.

[RINO Tom]

That’s simply not going to happen, period.

There we have it, folks.

[MT Treasurer]

UNH is a notoriously terrible pollster, plus it should be pointed out that Sununu’s average approval score is 5.0, barely higher than Benson’s at this point (4.6), and the latter lost reelection in a Republican year (which 2018 obviously will not be). 63% approval among “Independents” and 38% among Democrats? Doubtful. Also notice the trend here... it was 71% and 47% in February, respectively, so he has actually lost some ground, at least as far as his approval rating among those groups is concerned.

Btw: Party ID numbers have Republicans at 35%, but it was only 28% in 2016?

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

UNH is a notoriously terrible pollster, plus it should be pointed out that Sununu’s average approval score is 5.0, barely higher than Benson’s at this point (4.6), and the latter lost reelection in a Republican year (which 2018 obviously will not be). 63% approval among “Independents” and 38% among Democrats? Doubtful. Also notice the trend here... it was 71% and 47% in February, respectively, so he has actually lost some ground, at least as far as his approval ratings among those groups are concerned.

Btw: Party ID numbers have Republicans at 35%, but it was only 28% in 2016?

You're literally trying to unskew the polls just because they don't fit your narrative.

[Strudelcutie4427]

Fantastic news! If he keeps up the huge margin we might as well see who can win the higher percentage of town in their state, Baker or Sununu. I doubt he’ll win the college towns, but a 10 county sweep is entirely possible

[Strudelcutie4427]

UNH is a notoriously terrible pollster, plus it should be pointed out that Sununu’s average approval score is 5.0, barely higher than Benson’s at this point (4.6), and the latter lost reelection in a Republican year (which 2018 obviously will not be). 63% approval among “Independents” and 38% among Democrats? Doubtful. Also notice the trend here... it was 71% and 47% in February, respectively, so he has actually lost some ground, at least as far as his approval rating among those groups is concerned.

Btw: Party ID numbers have Republicans at 35%, but it was only 28% in 2016?

Yeah UNH is usually heavily skewed to the Dems. They thought Clinton would win by 6-10% here when in reality it was 0.3%. Sununu is actually very popular here and he could easily rack up 70% in a lot of the heavily populated  MA border towns

[UncleSam]

MT Treasurer has a point that this poll is R-skewed, but he’s ahead by 25 lol. He won’t win by that much but I could see a double digit win

[TheSaint250]

LET'S GO SUNUNU

[MT Treasurer]

Singleguyforfun, if you can give me a cast-iron guarantee that he won’t run for Senate in 2020 or 2022, I’ll get over it if he wins. He’s still way to the right of his state, though.

[Strudelcutie4427]

Singleguyforfun, if you can give me a cast-iron guarantee that he won’t run for Senate in 2020 or 2022, I’ll get over it if he wins. He’s still way to the right of his state, though.

I honestly can’t give you an answer on that. If I have the chance to I can ask him when I see him at any of his rallies this fall. I think he could beat taxin hassan in 2022 but I’m not sure he wants to do legislature over being governor

[Skye]

Popular governor crushes his opponent for reelection in purple state, news at 11.

[Theodore]

Popular governor crushes his opponent for reelection in purple state, news at 11.

[Ye We Can]

I wouldn't put much faith in this poll. It's only April, and things could change. Right now Sununu's main advantage is name recognition, but once his opponents get out there, I expect him to lose. Remember when E-Bayh was +10 in polling?

But Evan Bayh was a lobbyist retread with a strong opponent in an unfavorable state

[fluffypanther19]

Popular governor crushes his opponent for reelection in purple state, news at 11.

[Xing]

But clearly this is Safe D, right?

I doubt Sununu wins by this much, but it's hard to argue that he's not favored.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I knew I was right to be skeptical of all the Molly Kelly hype.