Seriously though, I don’t see any Democratic incumbent losing if this poll is accurate. The Senate is probably Lean/Likely D at this point.
Let’s not get ahead of ourselves, we’re only 6.5 months out still
And Missouri is also a strongly conservative state that Trump won by at least 17 percentage points. Hawley could pursue his attacks against McCaskill by mentioning the numerous times she voted to raise taxes or voted against cutting taxes, labeling her as « Claire McTaxAll » and as too liberal for Missouri.
https://www.clairemctaxall.com/
Kander and Koster nearly won Missouri even in 2016. Missouri isn't "strongly conservative".
Okay, the close races of Blunt-Kander and Greitens-Koster make it seem as if the state is still pretty competitive, but besides the presidential vote, some of us can make a case for the conservatism of the state by pointing to the General Assembly. Both chambers have a more than two-to-one ratio of Republicans to Democrats -- twenty-five Republicans to nine Democrats in the Senate and one hundred sixteen Republicans to forty-seven Democrats in the House.
That's true.
But to be fair, democrats have been doing far worse in state legislature elections than national (besides like Alaska). I mean, Virgina had only 34 democrats before 2017...
Obviously that will change in 2018, but for now, democrats have been decimated in the state legislatures.
