AZ-08 Prediction Thread

[Alabama_Indy10]

Lesko +7

[LimoLiberal]

I'm sticking with Lesko+15. Early vote actually shows a pro-GOP turnout.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Lesko +6, still a horrible result for the Republicans.

[The Arizonan]

I predict that Hiral Tipernini wins by a razor thin margin just to be ballsy and I'm ignoring my gut feelings.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Ranging from Tiperneni +0.1 to Lesko +5, still terrible for R's.

[Badger]

Lesko go by single digits, with a greater chance of breaking 10% than of losing.

[MT Treasurer]

Oh wait, this is today? Ignoring my gut feeling telling me that Tipirneni will win and sticking with my Lesko +2 prediction, although like I said I wouldn’t be too surprised if she lost. Either way, I don’t see how Republicans win by double digits here.

[LimoLiberal]

Oh wait, this is today? Ignoring my gut feeling telling me that Tipirneni will win and sticking with my Lesko +2 prediction, although like I said I wouldn’t be too surprised if she lost. Either way, I don’t see how Republicans win by double digits here.

I already bet my signature on Lesko winning by 10+ but if I didn't I'd bet it again. The early vote is just too pro-Republican.

[Politician]

Update: Lesko by ~6 points.

[Virginiá]

Lesko+5

Oh wait, this is today? Ignoring my gut feeling telling me that Tipirneni will win and sticking with my Lesko +2 prediction, although like I said I wouldn’t be too surprised if she lost. Either way, I don’t see how Republicans win by double digits here.

For a federal special election on its own day, it's pretty sleepy. Reminds me of KS-4.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Does anyone remember the OH-02 election in 2005?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Oh wait, this is today? Ignoring my gut feeling telling me that Tipirneni will win and sticking with my Lesko +2 prediction, although like I said I wouldn’t be too surprised if she lost. Either way, I don’t see how Republicans win by double digits here.

I think a double-digit Lesko win is a lot more likely than a loss.  Sticking with my earlier prediction of Lesko +8.6 (54.3/45.7).

[Pericles]

53.5% Lesko, 46.1% Tiperneni. Lesko +7.4%.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Lesko wins by 11 points. If she manages to loses to Hiral, it would be a a harbringer of outright Apocalypse for the GOP, and they would start to become vulnerable across the board and probably suffer losses of around 100 seats. But it's immaterial, because it's not going to happen.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Lesko + 8.2

I expect the range to be around Lesko + 8 to Lesko + 12

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Somewhere between Lesko +3 and Lesko +12

[cvparty]

tipirneni by .05%!!!

[LimoLiberal]

Oh wait, this is today? Ignoring my gut feeling telling me that Tipirneni will win and sticking with my Lesko +2 prediction, although like I said I wouldn’t be too surprised if she lost. Either way, I don’t see how Republicans win by double digits here.

I already bet my signature on Lesko winning by 10+ but if I didn't I'd bet it again. The early vote is just too pro-Republican.

How about this? If Lesko wins by 10+, I’ll move ND to Tossup and add a Kevin Cramer pic with the caption “The Republican Savior” to my signature (for two weeks or so). If Lesko wins by single digits, you’ll do the opposite with Heitkamp and move the race to Safe D (again, for two weeks).

You're on. May the odds be ever in your favor!

[nerd73]

Lesko +10.

[GMantis]

Lesko by 10% seems most likely.

[Liberalrocks]

I predict that Hiral Tipernini wins by a razor thin margin just to be ballsy and I'm ignoring my gut feelings.

I hope you get bragging rights tomorrow. Lesko + 8

[Canis]

Lesko +7

[Progressive]

Dr. Hiral by 0.2%

[OBD]

Lesko +5

[OBD]

You know what? Tipernini by 500 votes. Screw this xD.