AZ-08 Prediction Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 04:52:22 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  AZ-08 Prediction Thread		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5
Author Topic: AZ-08 Prediction Thread  (Read 7888 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 19, 2018, 12:28:07 PM »
53.1% Debbie Lesko (R)
46.8% Hiral Tipirneni (D)
  0.1% Write-Ins

Lesko wins by 6.3% in a Trump+21 district.
Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,659
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2018, 12:32:22 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 19, 2018, 12:28:07 PM
53.1% Debbie Lesko (R)
46.8% Hiral Tipirneni (D)
  0.1% Write-Ins

Lesko wins by 6.3% in a Trump+21 district.

Seems reasonable.   I'll say Lesko by ~9%

54% Debbie Lesko (R)
45% Hiral Tipirneni (D)
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,380
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2018, 12:34:13 PM »
^ Almost identically same.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,997
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2018, 12:35:16 PM »
Lesko +7
Logged
Bumaye
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 317


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2018, 12:51:20 PM »
Lesko +3,5
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,701


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2018, 01:32:54 PM »
Lesko 54.3-45.7
Logged
The Arizonan
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,563
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2018, 01:33:34 PM »
I predict that Hiral Tiperneni wins by a razor-thin margin.

If she wins, do we see a flood of further Republican retirements like Barbara Comstock and Erik Paulsen?
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,701


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2018, 01:40:44 PM »
Quote from: The Arizonan on April 19, 2018, 01:33:34 PM
I predict that Hiral Tiperneni wins by a razor-thin margin.

If she wins, do we see a flood of further Republican retirements like Barbara Comstock and Erik Paulsen?

If she wins, they'll be crowding the aisles heading for the exits.
Logged
Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2018, 01:47:10 PM »
56% Debbie Lesko (R)
43% Hiral Tipirneni (D)
1% other
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,126
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 19, 2018, 01:59:16 PM »
Hiral by a point
Logged
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 19, 2018, 02:05:28 PM »
Quote from: The Arizonan on April 19, 2018, 01:33:34 PM
I predict that Hiral Tiperneni wins by a razor-thin margin.

If she wins, do we see a flood of further Republican retirements like Barbara Comstock and Erik Paulsen?

Not a flood since many state filing deadlines have passed, but we could see a few more yes. Not Comstock though, since the VA filing deadline has passed.
Logged
Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,208


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2018, 02:15:59 PM »

I will change my username to "Wulfric is a stud" if Tipinerni wins.
Logged
Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 19, 2018, 02:19:33 PM »
Lesko by 11
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 19, 2018, 02:28:20 PM »
Quote from: Nyvin on April 19, 2018, 12:32:22 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 19, 2018, 12:28:07 PM
53.1% Debbie Lesko (R)
46.8% Hiral Tipirneni (D)
  0.1% Write-Ins

Lesko wins by 6.3% in a Trump+21 district.

Seems reasonable.   I'll say Lesko by ~9%

54% Debbie Lesko (R)
45% Hiral Tipirneni (D)
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: April 19, 2018, 02:33:50 PM »
Lesko by, idk, 7?

I feel like Lesko winning by anything under 10 would be encouraging in a district this red.
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,817
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: April 19, 2018, 02:36:11 PM »
Timpani has vulnerabilities that neither Doug Jones nor Conor Lamb had, so

Debbie Lesko 52.75%
Hiral Timpeni 46.25%
Write-in/Other 1%
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: April 19, 2018, 02:39:07 PM »
Logged
cvparty
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,099
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 19, 2018, 02:45:00 PM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on April 19, 2018, 02:36:11 PM
Timpani has vulnerabilities that neither Doug Jones nor Conor Lamb had, so

Debbie Lesko 52.75%
Hiral Timpeni 46.25%
Write-in/Other 1%

timpani 💀
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,817
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 19, 2018, 03:25:22 PM »
Quote from: cvparty on April 19, 2018, 02:45:00 PM
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on April 19, 2018, 02:36:11 PM
Timpani has vulnerabilities that neither Doug Jones nor Conor Lamb had, so

Debbie Lesko 52.75%
Hiral Timpeni 46.25%
Write-in/Other 1%

timpani 💀

Umm yeah...whoops...but my prediction stands regardless of how I'm spelling Timpani's name.
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,825


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: April 19, 2018, 03:34:54 PM »
Tipirneni by less than .5%.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,972


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: April 19, 2018, 03:50:33 PM »
Lesko 57-43
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: April 19, 2018, 04:19:31 PM »
Hiral: 50.0
Lesko: 49.6
Others: 0.4
Logged
Sestak
jk2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,281
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: April 19, 2018, 04:25:08 PM »
Tipirneni by 10.
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,343
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: April 19, 2018, 04:50:52 PM »
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: April 19, 2018, 04:54:24 PM »
go in or go home. hiral by less than .2
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.051 seconds with 11 queries.