Next House GOP Leader? UPDATE: Scalise Won't Run if McCarthy Does

[Free Bird]

Regardless if it’s Speaker or Minority Leader, who is the next House GOP Leader?

[Pandaguineapig]

Scalise, he's less toxic than McCarthy and has the whole shooting story that boosted his popularity. Though I fear that if he's speaker some #resistance fighter who's been watching too much Joy Reid will try and finish the Bernie bros work

[HillGoose]

who's a young, wealthy, Ayn Rand style "sociopath" neoconservative Republican?

I want them to lead the House GOP.

[Dr. Arch]

Steve King would be the next logical step for today's Republican party.

[Joey1996]

Ryan is staying until after the midterms. If the Republicans somehow meraciously maintain their majority then I doubt he retires.

[Sestak]

Ryan is staying until after the midterms. If the Republicans somehow meraciously maintain their majority then I doubt he retires.

He's not running for his own seat, how would he be able to un-retire?

[Pandaguineapig]

Ryan is staying until after the midterms. If the Republicans somehow meraciously maintain their majority then I doubt he retires.

He's not running for his own seat, how would he be able to un-retire?

Technically he doesn't have to be a member of the U.S house to be speaker, but no the next house republican leader will become speaker if the republicans hold the house

[Strudelcutie4427]

Probably McCarthy or Scalise, but Id like to see someone nobody would expect like Sean Duffy, Elise Stefanik, Will Hurd, Brian Mast, or Jaime Beutler. Someone young and telegenic that can contrast with the octogenarian Dem leadership

[KingSweden]

I’ll go against the grain and say McCarthy

[Pandaguineapig]

Probably McCarthy or Scalise, but Id like to see someone nobody would expect like Sean Duffy, Elise Stefanik, Will Hurd, Brian Mast, or Jaime Beutler. Someone young and telegenic that can contrast with the octogenarian Dem leadership

Of those only Mast and Duffy are in secure districts (though Stefanik has a weak challenger this cycle and has won her elections easily so far) but putting out someone who can be a good spokesperson and campaigner is probably the GOP's best shot at this point

[Mr. Morden]

Politico had a story on this question a couple of days ago.  They note that McCarthy is close to both Trump and Pence:

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/04/09/mccarthy-scalise-speaker-house-republicans-492807

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[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Scalise, he's less toxic than McCarthy and has the whole shooting story that boosted his popularity. Though I fear that if he's speaker some #resistance fighter who's been watching too much Joy Reid will try and finish the Bernie bros work

Yes, a man who has favorably compared himself to David Duke is less toxic than a generic Republican. Welcome to the 2018 GOP.

[Orser67]

If Republicans hold onto the House, I would guess Scalise will be the next Speaker because he would face less opposition from the far-right members of the GOP caucus. If Republicans lose the House, my guess is McCarthy because he might have a little more support within the overall caucus. I think the two of them collectively are the overwhelming favorites over any other candidates.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Scalise, because we can't have both House party leaders hail from California now, can we?

[kyc0705]

Scalise, because we can't have both House party leaders hail from California now, can we?

Is there a rule against them being from the same state?

[Dr. MB]

Scalise, obviously.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Scalise, because we can't have both House party leaders hail from California now, can we?

Is there a rule against them being from the same state?

Obviously not, it was a rhetorically sarcastic remark.

[Torrain]

McCarthy. Scalise has baggage.

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https://www.google.co.uk/amp/www.msnbc.com/msnbc/gop-leader-steve-scalise-may-have-addressed-supremacist-rally/amp

[Mr. Reactionary]

Steve "Nine-Lives" Scalise

[Mr. Morden]

If Trump is still President next year, McCarthy. He's called McCarthy "my Kevin." McCarthy has done a massive suck up to Trump. In this situation the White House typically has some weight in recommending who becomes the House Speaker. (Some, not totally). 90% of Republicans still like Trump and distrust the GOP in Congress, so you can expect Trump's views to be important, unless there's extenuating circumstances that prevent him from being influential in the race.

It might be a different dynamic if the race is for House Minority Leader, because you need to just have a majority of the conference instead of 218.

I'd say McCarthy's *more* likely to lead the caucus if the GOP is in the minority, because, as you say, you only need majority support in the caucus to be elected Minority Leader, and I think he can get that.  If the GOP actually holds on to the House though, then the whole thing is more unpredictable, because a handful of rebels in the caucus can hold the process hostage.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Why would anyone want that job?

[dw93]

If Republicans hold onto the House, I would guess Scalise will be the next Speaker because he would face less opposition from the far-right members of the GOP caucus. If Republicans lose the House, my guess is McCarthy because he might have a little more support within the overall caucus. I think the two of them collectively are the overwhelming favorites over any other candidates.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Scalise followed by McCarthy in the distance. McMorris is the dark horse, and would likely take the mantel if the first two somehow fell through.

[Free Bird]

https://www.cnn.com/2018/04/12/politics/steve-scalise-kevin-mccarthy-running/index.html

Scalise says he won't run if McCarthy does

[junior chįmp]

https://www.cnn.com/2018/04/12/politics/steve-scalise-kevin-mccarthy-running/index.html

Scalise says he won't run if McCarthy does

It was always going to be McCarthy