MTSU-TN Sen: Bredesen +10
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Author Topic: MTSU-TN Sen: Bredesen +10  (Read 9099 times)
Gass3268
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« on: April 05, 2018, 09:31:14 AM »
Bredesen 45%
Blackburn 35%

Source
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2018, 09:31:52 AM »
Would love for this to hold true to the end, don't believe it will though. To steal TN from the GOP when they think they're going to pick up 6-7 seats.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2018, 09:33:23 AM »
Dayum
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2018, 09:35:42 AM »
Okay now...
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henster
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« Reply #4 on: April 05, 2018, 09:38:59 AM »
I think Bredesen will get 45% and not much more.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #5 on: April 05, 2018, 09:40:54 AM »
+10?
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2018, 09:44:58 AM »
Quote from: henster on April 05, 2018, 09:38:59 AM
I think Bredesen will get 45% and not much more.

I'm starting to think he could do as well as Harold Ford (48%), but perhaps that's too optimistic.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #7 on: April 05, 2018, 09:45:56 AM »
Like when Fox had Doug Jones up 8 the margin might not be true but the big takeaway is Phil is ahead right now
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henster
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« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2018, 09:51:15 AM »
I mean what is the path to 50+1 for Dems right now if any in TN? The coalition that elected Bredesen in '02 is not there anymore.
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adrac
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« Reply #9 on: April 05, 2018, 09:52:55 AM »
Yiiiikes
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: April 05, 2018, 09:56:11 AM »
Quote from: henster on April 05, 2018, 09:51:15 AM
I mean what is the path to 50+1 for Dems right now if any in TN? The coalition that elected Bredesen in '02 is not there anymore.

He gets Republicans and right-wing Independents who liked his run as Govenror to vote for him is his path. Once the ad wars start I don't see this lead lastings.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11 on: April 05, 2018, 09:56:31 AM »
Quote from: henster on April 05, 2018, 09:51:15 AM
I mean what is the path to 50+1 for Dems right now if any in TN? The coalition that elected Bredesen in '02 is not there anymore.

Defend all seats plus AZ and NV results in 51 Dems. But TN is definitely more likely to flip than TX.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #12 on: April 05, 2018, 09:58:42 AM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on April 05, 2018, 09:56:31 AM
Quote from: henster on April 05, 2018, 09:51:15 AM
I mean what is the path to 50+1 for Dems right now if any in TN? The coalition that elected Bredesen in '02 is not there anymore.

Defend all seats plus AZ and NV results in 51 Dems. But TN is definitely more likely to flip than TX.

Don't they have 47 now unless I'm really forgetting something? AZ and NV plus defending would give 49, TN if flipped would give 50 and then they'd have to flip one more which likely wouldn't happen.
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UWS
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« Reply #13 on: April 05, 2018, 09:59:55 AM »
Time for the Repulicans to increase their campaign investing money in attacks against Bredesen in the senate race in Tennessee to avoid losing it.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #14 on: April 05, 2018, 10:00:28 AM »
Quote from: MasterJedi on April 05, 2018, 09:58:42 AM
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on April 05, 2018, 09:56:31 AM
Quote from: henster on April 05, 2018, 09:51:15 AM
I mean what is the path to 50+1 for Dems right now if any in TN? The coalition that elected Bredesen in '02 is not there anymore.

Defend all seats plus AZ and NV results in 51 Dems. But TN is definitely more likely to flip than TX.

Don't they have 47 now unless I'm really forgetting something? AZ and NV plus defending would give 49, TN if flipped would give 50 and then they'd have to flip one more which likely wouldn't happen.

Duh, forgetting the independents.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #15 on: April 05, 2018, 10:01:15 AM »
Quote from: MasterJedi on April 05, 2018, 09:58:42 AM
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on April 05, 2018, 09:56:31 AM
Quote from: henster on April 05, 2018, 09:51:15 AM
I mean what is the path to 50+1 for Dems right now if any in TN? The coalition that elected Bredesen in '02 is not there anymore.

Defend all seats plus AZ and NV results in 51 Dems. But TN is definitely more likely to flip than TX.

Don't they have 47 now unless I'm really forgetting something? AZ and NV plus defending would give 49, TN if flipped would give 50 and then they'd have to flip one more which likely wouldn't happen.

Dems have 49, including Sanders and King, who caucus with Dems. There are 47 Democrats but 49 members of the Democratic caucus.
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Skye
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« Reply #16 on: April 05, 2018, 10:07:20 AM »
Not sure I buy a relatively average republican polling at 35% in freaking Tennessee.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #17 on: April 05, 2018, 10:12:39 AM »
« Edited: April 05, 2018, 10:35:00 AM by PittsburghSteel »
He's polling 20% with Republicans...

I think it's time we stop denying the fact this race is a tossup.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #18 on: April 05, 2018, 10:33:34 AM »
Btw, Pelosi was the one who recruited him. Don't go around telling people she doesn't do stuff for us Wink
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« Reply #19 on: April 05, 2018, 10:33:46 AM »
I believe.

The Haslamesque Rs will vote for Bredesen rather than Blackburn for incredibly obvious reasons, Bredesen should be able to run away with this if he campaigns correctly, which so far he's done.

Lean D
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #20 on: April 05, 2018, 10:35:58 AM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on April 05, 2018, 09:45:56 AM
Like when Fox had Doug Jones up 8 the margin might not be true but the big takeaway is Phil is ahead right now

This.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #21 on: April 05, 2018, 10:36:41 AM »
Quote from: PNM on April 05, 2018, 10:35:16 AM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on April 05, 2018, 10:33:34 AM
Btw, Pelosi was the one who recruited him. Don't go around telling people she doesn't do stuff for us Wink

What tf are you talking about. Why would she get involved in a Tennessee Senate race

I remember reading somewhere that she really pushed for him to jump into the race. I will try to find the article.

You don't think Pelosi and Schumer work together on recruiting?
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Suburbia
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« Reply #22 on: April 05, 2018, 10:46:40 AM »
A Dave Ramsey Independent Senate run would make this race more competitive.

TN-SEN is Tossup.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #23 on: April 05, 2018, 11:00:46 AM »
Bredesen is a uniquely great fit for the state and has an astronomically effective record to run on. The current environment and his incredibly flawed opponent don't help Republicans do any better. It does seem like Bredesen is starting to run away with it, and it honestly flabbergasts me.

If Republicans lost a senate seat in Alabama and run a very imminent risk of losing one in Tennessee, there's no saving them in November.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #24 on: April 05, 2018, 11:02:46 AM »
Quote from: UWS on April 05, 2018, 09:59:55 AM
Time for the Repulicans to increase their campaign investing money in attacks against Bredesen in the senate race in Tennessee to avoid losing it.

Or maybe they should run positive ads on why Blackburn would be a better senator.
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