State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2
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  State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2  (Read 169176 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1500 on: March 05, 2019, 06:44:18 PM »

Appears the Special Election was canceled at the last minute by the SOS, there's no results page anywhere.

See you back here for TX (D v D) and maybe RI at 8.

Excuse me?

The SOS twitter account posted a link to results when polls closed, but the link goes to 2018 results, and the "calendar" part of the page shows the dates for the Governor Election.

Appears there's no actual election. Several twitter accounts, including my own, have replied to the SOS asking for a real link, to no avail.

Wow that’s awful
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1501 on: March 05, 2019, 06:45:34 PM »

Suppose they held an election and nobody came.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1502 on: March 05, 2019, 06:54:06 PM »

Anonymous Source via Reddit: Update on Status of Election around 8 ET.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1503 on: March 05, 2019, 06:55:06 PM »

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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1504 on: March 05, 2019, 06:56:05 PM »

Anonymous Source via Reddit: Update on Status of Election around 8 ET.

Incompetent hicks at their finest.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1505 on: March 05, 2019, 07:09:05 PM »

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Politician
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« Reply #1506 on: March 05, 2019, 07:10:17 PM »


For a second I read that as 72% R and was like "NO".

I told ya that Elliott can be won back with some good' ol fashioned #Populism Purple heart
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1507 on: March 05, 2019, 07:12:06 PM »

ELLIOT COUNTY ancestral dems, my bois!
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
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« Reply #1508 on: March 05, 2019, 07:12:27 PM »


For a second I read that as 72% R and was like "NO".

I told ya that Elliott can be won back with some good' ol fashioned #Populism Purple heart

Thats basically Trumps margin in reverse.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1509 on: March 05, 2019, 07:15:40 PM »

A nice start, but Pike is what really matters
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #1510 on: March 05, 2019, 07:16:29 PM »


Yes indeed.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1511 on: March 05, 2019, 07:18:48 PM »

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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #1512 on: March 05, 2019, 07:19:51 PM »


The last time we say the type of margins in Elliott that we are seeing right now at the presidential level was in 2004. Also that year, Kerry won Pike County.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1513 on: March 05, 2019, 07:20:13 PM »

Adding those up:

Wheeler 856 54%
Pugh 715 46%
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1514 on: March 05, 2019, 07:21:23 PM »

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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #1515 on: March 05, 2019, 07:21:32 PM »


The last time we say the type of margins in Elliott that we are seeing right now at the presidential level was in 2004. Also that year, Kerry won Pike County.

Kerry and Bush basically tied in the district.  Bush won Martin 66%-33%, so Pugh is below where he needs to be in Martin and about where he needs to be in Lawrence.  He needs to win Pike by a decent margin to have any shot.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1516 on: March 05, 2019, 07:23:54 PM »

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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1517 on: March 05, 2019, 07:24:04 PM »

Based off Lawrence county, looks like another devastating loss for Democrats.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1518 on: March 05, 2019, 07:24:13 PM »

Basically none of these numbers matter. Pike will decide the election.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1519 on: March 05, 2019, 07:24:21 PM »

Totals:

Wheeler 1721
Pugh 1354

Morgan and Pike still out.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1520 on: March 05, 2019, 07:26:04 PM »

Based off Lawrence county, looks like another devastating loss for Democrats.

Massive improvement from the Clinton numbers. Democrats are rebounding nationally.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1521 on: March 05, 2019, 07:26:46 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2019, 07:38:30 PM by All States will be D »

So far looks close to what the MN senate special is. In the bluer parts of the districts the D's are hitting their benchmarks (Carlton and Elliot) but the more GOP areas are gonna overwhelm the rest of the district. However Pike will decide it.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1522 on: March 05, 2019, 07:29:20 PM »

I too think Pugh will lose, but I fail to see how bringing an 80-17 Trump seat to a close race is a devastating failure.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1523 on: March 05, 2019, 07:30:43 PM »

Guys, this is all decided by Pike County. Stop analyzing the pointless parts of the district and perhaps focus on the county with 60% of the seat's population.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1524 on: March 05, 2019, 07:36:44 PM »

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