State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Another Call:

Councilman -- District D, City of Shreveport
 
9 of 20 precincts reporting - 45%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
3,925   Grayson Boucher (REP)  72%
1,536   Versa "V.O." Clark (DEM)  28%
Total: 5,461

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Alderman Results:

Alderman -- Town of Arnaudville
 
2 of 2 precincts reporting - 100%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
114   Bertha Begnaud (DEM)  48%
125   "Debbie" Kidder (DEM)  52%
Total: 239
Unofficial Turnout: 29.8%
Alderman -- Ward 1, City of Eunice
 
8 of 8 precincts reporting - 100%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
174   Chad Andrepont (NOPTY)  58%
125   Roland Miller (REP)  42%
Total: 299
Unofficial Turnout: 19.3%

Alderman -- Ward 2, City of Eunice
 
8 of 8 precincts reporting - 100%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
258   Germaine Simpson (DEM)  57%
198   "Jackie Ju Ju" Vallare (DEM)  43%
Total: 456
Unofficial Turnout: 26.1%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wrapping it up:

Councilman -- District A, City of Shreveport
 
20 of 20 precincts reporting - 100%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
2,388   Willie Bradford (DEM)  54%
2,009   Rose Wilson McCulloch (DEM)  46%
Total: 4,397
Unofficial Turnout: 27.4%

Councilman -- District C, City of Shreveport
 
20 of 20 precincts reporting - 100%
absentee reporting - 100%   Votes
2,514   Patrick Kirton (REP)  43%
3,336   John Nickelson (REP)  57%
Total: 5,850
Unofficial Turnout: 32.8%

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Just found out that CA BoE terms don’t start until the first week of January. I doubt Ted Gaines (CA-Sen 1) will resign before January in this case. Doesn’t mean that more vultures won’t circle overhead though.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results from TX-SEN 6 tonight:


RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
State Senator, District 6 - Unexpired Term               
Carol Alvarado   DEM   5,360   51.22%   7,602   50.39%
Martha Elena Fierro   REP   2,485   23.75%   3,493   23.15%
Ana Hernandez   DEM   2,372   22.67%   3,670   24.33%
Mia Mundy   DEM   246   2.35%   319   2.11%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      10,463      15,084   
Precincts Reported      221   of   221 Precincts      100.00%

Next Elections are in a VA seat and a GA seat on the 18th.

[DataGuy]

My prediction for the VA House District 24 special election on December 18 is that Republican Ronnie Campbell will defeat Democrat Christian Worth by a margin of 65.5% to 34.5%.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The VA seat contains the following areas:

Bath County - Stewart 66/33
Rockbridge County - Stewart 60/38
Augusta County - Stewart 70/28
Amherst County - Stewart 62/36
Buena Vista City - Stewart 60/38
Lexington City - Kaine 71/27

[MAINEiac4434]

Two strong Democrats running for Attorney General-elect Aaron Frey's seat in Bangor, Maine.

http://bangordailynews.com/2018/12/17/politics/two-democrats-including-bangors-council-chair-announce-bids-in-special-house-race/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1545064768

[ON Progressive]

I did some US Senate calculations for a couple of the state legislative seats coming up for special elections, and they confirm Safe R in both.

VA HD-24:
Corey Stewart (R) 62.9%
Tim Kaine (D) 35.4%

TN SD-32:
Marsha Blackburn (R) 64.7%
Phil Bredesen (D) 35.3%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Polls close at 7 ET in the two elections tonight.

Virginia HD 24: https://results.elections.virginia.gov/vaelections/2018%20Dec%2018%20Special/Site/GeneralAssembly.html

Georgia HD 14:

https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/93881/Web02-state.222648/#/

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

VA - 2/47 in

Ronnie R. Campbell
Republican   428   58.63%
Christian R. Worth
Democratic   301   41.23%
Write In
Write-In   1   0.14%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Candidate   Votes   Percent
Ronnie R. Campbell
Republican   3,695   64.62%
Christian R. Worth
Democratic   2,011   35.17%
Write In
Write-In   12   0.21%

23/47 in

[ON Progressive]

47/47 in

Ronnie Campbell (R) 59.26%
Christian Worth (D) 40.14%

Considering this is a Stewart 63-35/Gillespie 65-34/Trump 66-30 seat, it's not unsurprising it stayed Republican by a solid margin.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Candidate   Votes   Percent
Ronnie R. Campbell
Republican   6,617   59.26%
Christian R. Worth
Democratic   4,482   40.14%
Write In
Write-In   67   0.60%

Obviously not a win, but Kaine lost by 28, and this Dem only lost by 19. Much better performance. I'm pleased.

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

5/13 in
KEN COOMER33.08%664
REP REP   NICKIE LEIGHLY5.73%115
REP REP   MITCHELL SCOGGINS58.50%1,174
REP REP   NATHAN WILSON2.69%54
2,007

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Final GA Results:

REP REP   KEN COOMER28.14%893
REP REP   NICKIE LEIGHLY4.88%155
REP REP   MITCHELL SCOGGINS64.54%2,048
REP REP   NATHAN WILSON2.43%77
3,173

No further specials until January. Merry Christmas!

[Landslide Lyndon]

A 17-point swing is nothing to be ashamed of. Good to see that Democrats remain energized.

[smoltchanov]

A 17-point swing is nothing to be ashamed of. Good to see that Democrats remain energized.

That, probably, will be a fixture while Trump is a President. It's difficult to imagine better "irritator" for Democrats.

[Mr.Phips]

A 17-point swing is nothing to be ashamed of. Good to see that Democrats remain energized.

That, probably, will be a fixture while Trump is a President. It's difficult to imagine better "irritator" for Democrats.

It's sad that it took someone like Trump for Democrats to realize that elections matter.  Of course when he's gone, Dems will likely go back to their lazy, uninformed, uninterested selves that they were during the Obama years.

[lfromnj]

There may be a special election in the 5th senate district of texas. It's a mix of Texas 10th and texas 17th. Pretty republican overall. However I'm keeping at likely r as the Democrat base here is white liberals in austin so they should be fired up unlike low turnout hispanics.

[smoltchanov]

There may be a special election in the 5th senate district of texas. It's a mix of Texas 10th and texas 17th. Pretty republican overall. However I'm keeping at likely r as the Democrat base here is white liberals in austin so they should be fired up unlike low turnout hispanics.

Almost 61% Trump. Not impossible, but - difficult target for Democrats.

[lfromnj]

There may be a special election in the 5th senate district of texas. It's a mix of Texas 10th and texas 17th. Pretty republican overall. However I'm keeping at likely r as the Democrat base here is white liberals in austin so they should be fired up unlike low turnout hispanics.

Almost 61% Trump. Not impossible, but - difficult target for Democrats.

Yeah only reason dems have a hope in the se is due to the fact it has fired up resistance voters.

[Boobs]

Very little of Austin proper is in that senate district, but it’s got WilCo, which if you remember flipped to Beto quite dramatically. A good portion of the voters live there (~45% I think). Another interesting factor is Brazos County (Bryan-College Station) which would have about 20% or so of the district’s population. Beto actually did surprisingly well there; whether the special electorate would be receptive remains to be seen. It’s the home of Texas A&M University, which is a lot more conservative than most universities.

[Politician]

Has anyone heard of this?

https://www.twincities.com/2019/01/03/tim-walz-tony-lourey-mn-human-services/

Seat located in Pine and Carlton and went heard for Trump.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Has anyone heard of this?

https://www.twincities.com/2019/01/03/tim-walz-tony-lourey-mn-human-services/

Seat located in Pine and Carlton and went heard for Trump.

Yeah, I keep tabs on Aaron Booth's twitter.

[Badger]

Has anyone heard of this?

https://www.twincities.com/2019/01/03/tim-walz-tony-lourey-mn-human-services/

Seat located in Pine and Carlton and went heard for Trump.

What the hell is walz sinking?!? Picking up Democratic senator from me hard Trump swing District which could endanger control of the state senate? When you could have picked literally anyone and everyone under the sun qualified to fill this position?

This is why Democrats lose, and it's not just Republican and Trump voters that fail to respect them.