State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2  (Read 168794 times)
Gass3268
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« Reply #750 on: June 05, 2018, 07:54:49 PM »
Miles Map!
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #751 on: June 05, 2018, 07:55:07 PM »
25% and it’s still 63-37
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Matty
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« Reply #752 on: June 05, 2018, 07:56:30 PM »
Oops, i was looking at a district outside Oklahoma city not Kansas City sorry
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #753 on: June 05, 2018, 07:58:32 PM »
A bunch of precincts come in. Arthur's margin does go down, but still ahead 61-39 with a third of the vote in.

We don't know exactly where the votes are from though...
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Ebsy
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« Reply #754 on: June 05, 2018, 07:59:08 PM »
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #755 on: June 05, 2018, 07:59:41 PM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on June 05, 2018, 07:58:32 PM
A bunch of precincts come in. Arthur's margin does go down, but still ahead 61-39 with a third of the vote in.

We don't know exactly where the votes are from though...
It’s early but she is holding her ground
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #756 on: June 05, 2018, 08:01:49 PM »

If the total vote in is also close to 34%, then Arthur needs only about 45% of the remaining vote to win.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #757 on: June 05, 2018, 08:04:12 PM »
D+1.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #758 on: June 05, 2018, 08:04:19 PM »
A narrow Arthur win is a disappointing Arthur win. Unless Arthur wins by double digits, I will be unsatisfied.
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Matty
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« Reply #759 on: June 05, 2018, 08:05:11 PM »
Why do you guys think this is such a substantial win for her?
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #760 on: June 05, 2018, 08:05:45 PM »
6 more precincts reported. Arthur won them 1075-695. Her 61-39 lead maintains with 27/61 precincts in.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #761 on: June 05, 2018, 08:05:56 PM »
44% in and her lead holds
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #762 on: June 05, 2018, 08:06:10 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION:

STATE SENATOR DIST 17 UNEXPIRED TERM
Number of Precincts 61
Precincts Reporting 27
Vote For 1
KEVIN CORLEW (REP) 3,623 38.82%
LAUREN ARTHUR (DEM) 5,708 61.15%
WRITE IN 3 0.03%
Total Votes 9,334
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Ebsy
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« Reply #763 on: June 05, 2018, 08:06:58 PM »
The state GOP is in shambles, Greitens has dragged them down in the pits, and they have no hope of recovering before November.

Senate leadership was going around the last week of session and asking for checks to bail Corlew out. Looks like it wasn't enough!
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #764 on: June 05, 2018, 08:07:48 PM »
Quote from: marty on June 05, 2018, 08:05:11 PM
Why do you guys think this is such a substantial win for her?

It's a very purple district in a Dem leaning environment. Also helps that the MO GOP is best described as a s***show.
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Matty
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« Reply #765 on: June 05, 2018, 08:08:21 PM »
Did trump play a role in the republican’s loss here?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #766 on: June 05, 2018, 08:08:44 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on June 05, 2018, 08:06:58 PM
The state GOP is in shambles, Greitens has dragged them down in the pits, and they have no hope of recovering before November.

Greitens will be a distant memory by November. You really think the attention span of the average voter is that long?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #767 on: June 05, 2018, 08:09:00 PM »
44% of precincts in and Arthur continues to hold a 61-39 lead.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #768 on: June 05, 2018, 08:11:19 PM »
Who, exactly, is going to rally the troops in Missouri? Mike Parson? Give me a break. People are already freaking out about Hawley's disaster campaign and this is not going to help one bit, and even if Greitens is gone, we are voting on Right to Work in August to remind everyone just what a bunch of dirtbags the state GOP are. They are lucky that have such favorable maps, or else they might lose control of the legislature.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #769 on: June 05, 2018, 08:16:54 PM »


Hold the line!
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #770 on: June 05, 2018, 08:17:13 PM »
Over
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #771 on: June 05, 2018, 08:17:16 PM »
Yeah, it's over.  Arthur only needs about 35% of the remaining vote to win.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #772 on: June 05, 2018, 08:21:33 PM »
The word was that the Republicans thought they were down by a few points a week ago but thought Corlew was surging and would narrowly prevail on election day. Seems like that won't be happening.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #773 on: June 05, 2018, 08:23:45 PM »
Question is if Corlew will do ever worse than Akin 2012.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #774 on: June 05, 2018, 08:24:49 PM »
9 more precincts came in, and Arthur (D) won those 2477-1701. With 36/61 precincts reporting, Arthur's lead holds steady at 61-39.
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