State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2  (Read 169052 times)
junior chįmp
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« Reply #700 on: June 01, 2018, 07:37:46 PM »

Democrats fielding record number of candidates for state legislature seats this year in Arizona:



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« Reply #701 on: June 01, 2018, 07:48:03 PM »

I assume people of color in this case means anyone who is not a non-Hispanic White?

Does at least 2 in every legislative District mean that there will be contested primaries everywhere?
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #702 on: June 04, 2018, 01:17:11 PM »

Today there will be one election - Connecticut State House District 4. Polls close at 8 EST. Not seeing a results page just yet.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #703 on: June 04, 2018, 01:18:10 PM »

Today there will be one election - Connecticut State House District 4. Polls close at 8 EST. Not seeing a results page just yet.

Non-Tuesday/Saturday elections are stupid.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #704 on: June 04, 2018, 01:20:52 PM »

Today there will be one election - Connecticut State House District 4. Polls close at 8 EST. Not seeing a results page just yet.

Non-Tuesday/Saturday elections are stupid.

It's a Tuesday election, but with very early poll opening and closing. Wink
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #705 on: June 04, 2018, 02:29:50 PM »

Chatter is that Newman (D) will be recalled in California. Big blow to Democrats in that Clinton+12 district, if it happens. VBM looks horrendous for him. But I think a surge of Democratic voters on election day/late vbm is possible.

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junior chįmp
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« Reply #706 on: June 04, 2018, 05:16:03 PM »

Chatter is that Newman (D) will be recalled in California. Big blow to Democrats in that Clinton+12 district, if it happens. VBM looks horrendous for him. But I think a surge of Democratic voters on election day/late vbm is possible.



"Chatter is"=Limoclown making shït up again
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I’m not Stu
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« Reply #707 on: June 04, 2018, 05:19:08 PM »

Chatter is that Newman (D) will be recalled in California. Big blow to Democrats in that Clinton+12 district, if it happens. VBM looks horrendous for him. But I think a surge of Democratic voters on election day/late vbm is possible.


If Newman is recalled, would a Republican like Chang or Whitaker win; or would a Democrat like Ferguson win?
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #708 on: June 04, 2018, 07:03:17 PM »

Polls have closed in the Connecticut house district 4 special election. Post any results you find.
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« Reply #709 on: June 04, 2018, 07:45:54 PM »

If a legislator has lost the confidence of their constituents based on a vote or votes that they cast, I see little reason not to recall them.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #710 on: June 04, 2018, 08:22:12 PM »

If a legislator has lost the confidence of their constituents based on a vote or votes that they cast, I see little reason not to recall them.

There’s a reason why recalls aren’t allowed for members of Congress. It would ensure even less gets done.

I thought the Wisconsin recalls were a clear abuse of it, and so is this.

+100,000,000
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #711 on: June 04, 2018, 08:58:20 PM »

This was the result of the CT race tonight btw

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KingSweden
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« Reply #712 on: June 04, 2018, 09:00:27 PM »

This was the result of the CT race tonight btw



Any comparison to previous years? CT Dems are in a bad spot so I’d be curious if that result reflects the human anchor that is Dan Malloy
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kph14
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« Reply #713 on: June 04, 2018, 09:03:15 PM »
« Edited: June 04, 2018, 10:07:12 PM by kph14 »

This was the result of the CT race tonight btw



Any comparison to previous years? CT Dems are in a bad spot so I’d be curious if that result reflects the human anchor that is Dan Malloy
Democrats won it 87-12 in 2016 while Clinton carried it 88-6. So a swing in the Dems favor but what is it worth with a turnout of around 700 votes?
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #714 on: June 04, 2018, 09:04:02 PM »

This was the result of the CT race tonight btw



Any comparison to previous years? CT Dems are in a bad spot so I’d be curious if that result reflects the human anchor that is Dan Malloy

It was an 88-9 Clinton seat, and this ends up being a 93-5 result when you combine the two Dems up. So Dems actually did 9 points better than 2016, which has been rare in CT special elections. Quite impressive actually, given that the seat was already Titanium D.
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« Reply #715 on: June 04, 2018, 09:06:24 PM »

In 2016, the Dems held this seat by 87 percent to 13 percent. Tonight, the two Dems outpolled the republican by 94 percent to 5 percent. That's a 15 point swing (+74 to +89) to the Democrats.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #716 on: June 04, 2018, 09:15:06 PM »

In 2016, the Dems held this seat by 87 percent to 13 percent. Tonight, the two Dems outpolled the republican by 94 percent to 5 percent. That's a 15 point swing (+74 to +89) to the Democrats.

That's impressive, but I wouldn't read much into a low turnout special in a district so heavily dominated by one party.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #717 on: June 04, 2018, 10:04:14 PM »

Lol it was 700 votes...
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #718 on: June 04, 2018, 10:06:27 PM »


This is Limospeak for: Well, this race does validate a democratic wave, but I can't say that. It conflicts with my trollish behavior. But no worries, my trolling can continue tomorrow when Republicans sweep the specials in California and Missouri.
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #719 on: June 04, 2018, 10:24:42 PM »

Chatter is that Newman (D) will be recalled in California. Big blow to Democrats in that Clinton+12 district, if it happens. VBM looks horrendous for him. But I think a surge of Democratic voters on election day/late vbm is possible.



"Chatter is"=Limoclown making shït up again

Honestly idk why Dems don’t just use their supermajorities to straight up repeal the recall process. The SD-29 nonsense is a clear abuse of it

If they repeal the recall process...it would probably get reinstated through ballot initiative anyway
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Ebsy
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« Reply #720 on: June 04, 2018, 10:30:12 PM »

The Arthur-Corlew race is going to be the big one tomorrow. It's one of six typically competitive seats in the Missouri State Senate and is being hotly contested by both parties.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #721 on: June 04, 2018, 10:37:10 PM »

The Arthur-Corlew race is going to be the big one tomorrow. It's one of six typically competitive seats in the Missouri State Senate and is being hotly contested by both parties.

DLCC is heavily advertising it on social media as another potential "flip" which signifies to me they believe Arthur is going to pull it out.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #722 on: June 04, 2018, 10:41:37 PM »

The seat is also significant in that it is entirely Kansas City suburbs, encompassing most of southern portion of Clay County. Might be a good indicator on how similar suburbs on the other side of the state line are going.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #723 on: June 05, 2018, 07:22:01 AM »

In 2016, the Dems held this seat by 87 percent to 13 percent. Tonight, the two Dems outpolled the republican by 94 percent to 5 percent. That's a 15 point swing (+74 to +89) to the Democrats.

What a fundamental collapse by the Connecticut Republican Party. Clearly on their way to third party status and Lamontmania sweeps the state.

Did I do it right?
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #724 on: June 05, 2018, 10:17:20 AM »

Good Morning! Today this thread will be covering five elections!

8 ET:
MO Senate 17: http://enr.sos.mo.gov (click Submit to see the results)

11 ET:

CA Assembly 39 RUNOFF: https://vote.sos.ca.gov/special/state-assembly/district/39
CA Assembly 45 RUNOFF: https://vote.sos.ca.gov/special/state-assembly/district/45
CA Senate 32 JUNGLE: https://vote.sos.ca.gov/special/state-senate/district/32
CA Senate 29 RECALL: https://vote.sos.ca.gov/recall/state-senate/district/29

Note on the recall: There is no runoff provision for recalls. If Newman is recalled, the replacement candidate with a plurality of votes wins, even if that plurality is less than a majority.

I would like to thank the states of California and Missouri for providing these results pages.
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