State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[Ebsy]

The 2 remaining precincts are in republican Northampton Township so Thomas will likely make up some votes there. Probably won't be enough, but be ready for a very close result.

[LimoLiberal]

Tai ends up winning by just 0.8 points, or 96 votes with 28/28 precincts in. Have no idea why so many called it so early.

[Ebsy]

Tai ends up winning by just 0.8 points, or 96 votes with 28/28 precincts in. Have no idea why so many called it so early.

Who, in your obviously expert opinion, called it too early? And did they call it earlier than your typical hyperbolic inchoate screeching that you pollute every thread you can find on a daily basis in the lead up to special elections?

[LimoLiberal]

Tai ends up winning by just 0.8 points, or 96 votes with 28/28 precincts in. Have no idea why so many called it so early.

Who, in your obviously expert opinion, called it too early? And did they call it earlier than your typical hyperbolic inchoate screeching that you pollute every thread you can find on a daily basis in the lead up to special elections?

DLCC called it at 11:19, when there was still 8 precincts outstanding.

https://twitter.com/TheDLCC/status/996590961877798912

[Dr. Arch]

Tai ends up winning by just 0.8 points, or 96 votes with 28/28 precincts in. Have no idea why so many called it so early.

Who, in your obviously expert opinion, called it too early? And did they call it earlier than your typical hyperbolic inchoate screeching that you pollute every thread you can find on a daily basis in the lead up to special elections?

DLCC called it at 11:19, when there was still 8 precincts outstanding.

https://twitter.com/TheDLCC/status/996590961877798912

And they still called it right.

[LimoLiberal]

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

So, Republicans won 3 Specials to the Democrats 2 tonight. The 🌊 is slowing a bit, it seems.

Next week:

Arkansas
See also: Arkansas state legislative special elections, 2018
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 16   
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 29   
[show]☐ Arkansas House of Representatives District 83

[IceSpear]

So, Republicans won 3 Specials to the Democrats 2 tonight. The 🌊 is slowing a bit, it seems.

Next week:

Arkansas
See also: Arkansas state legislative special elections, 2018
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 16   
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 29   
[show]☐ Arkansas House of Representatives District 83

This analysis is retarded even by Atlas standards

No, I'd say it fits in quite well.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

So, Republicans won 3 Specials to the Democrats 2 tonight. The 🌊 is slowing a bit, it seems.

Next week:

Arkansas
See also: Arkansas state legislative special elections, 2018
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 16   
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 29   
[show]☐ Arkansas House of Representatives District 83

This analysis is retarded even by Atlas standards

Well, I certainly wouldn’t use that word, but I do agree. A very slight slow down in momentum, but certainly not the slowdown the media has been squaking about.

[Virginiá]

Yeah Tai is going to win. Tale of Two Pennsylvanias indeed.

Democrats absolutely cannot take control of the state house if they lose ancestrally democratic SW PA seats like these.

I'm curious how many of these ancestrally democratic Trump seats are held by Democrats right now, and how many will be open seats in November. That does matter, after all. It's pretty easy to see those incumbents holding these seats down until either redistricting scrambles the map sufficiently enough or they retire. It would be a different story if this was president Clinton though, where we could reasonably expect a wholesale cleansing of those Democratic holdovers. But that's not the case. Clinton-seat Republicans will have to watch their backs for the time being.

[MAINEiac4434]

So, Republicans won 3 Specials to the Democrats 2 tonight. The 🌊 is slowing a bit, it seems.

Next week:

Arkansas
See also: Arkansas state legislative special elections, 2018
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 16   
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 29   
[show]☐ Arkansas House of Representatives District 83

This analysis is retarded even by Atlas standards

This is why I have Wulfric on ignore.

Also IceSpear’s signature.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Next week:

Arkansas
See also: Arkansas state legislative special elections, 2018
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 16   
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 29   
[show]☐ Arkansas House of Representatives District 83

From what I have seen these are all 65%+ Republican seats.
So expect Limo and krazey having a field day next week when the Dem candidates lose by 20 points or so.

[NOVA Green]

In Oregon Democratic Primaries, Progressive Democrats notched up some key wins in State House and Senate Primary races, that could have a potential impact this November when it comes to a potential Democratic Party Super Majority within the State Legislature....

These gains occurred in a wide geographic and politically diverse and competitive parts of Oregon, so will be interesting to watch how this plays out in the November GE.

http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2018/05/liberal_democrats_primary_wins.html#incart_river_index

Haven't had much time to look at the results between getting off work late and some PC issues, but this is obviously a major development on a larger Statewide Political scale....

[smoltchanov]

In Oregon Democratic Primaries, Progressive Democrats notched up some key wins in State House and Senate Primary races, that could have a potential impact this November when it comes to a potential Democratic Party Super Majority within the State Legislature....

These gains occurred in a wide geographic and politically diverse and competitive parts of Oregon, so will be interesting to watch how this plays out in the November GE.

http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2018/05/liberal_democrats_primary_wins.html#incart_river_index

Haven't had much time to look at the results between getting off work late and some PC issues, but this is obviously a major development on a larger Statewide Political scale....

Interesting. But good primary candidates are not always good GE candidates, with substantially different electorate. Some of these progressives will, undoubtely win, but some - may lose to more conservative GE opponents.

[Badger]

Heath getting just 18% of the vote in HD-68, underperforming Clinton's 20% there. Horrific night for Democrats so far.

A-OK Richard! Now get a life and go back to posting on RRH.

[Badger]

Well shoot I was looking forward to a week without Limo

He would've never kept his promise. Just like last week.

[Badger]

Might as well rename this thread "LimoLiberal Andrew trolls users who bother to engage his nonsense megathread v2"

FTFY

[Badger]

Wow. Clark Mitchell (D) in HD-48 ends up losing 44-55 with all precincts in. Just a 3% improvement over Clinton's historically bad performance in this SW PA district.

Helen Tai looks like she'll narrowly pull of the win, but there are still 3 precincts outstanding.

Choke! Choke! Choke! Choke! Choke! Choke!

[Badger]

Yeah Tai is going to win. Tale of Two Pennsylvanias indeed.

Democrats absolutely cannot take control of the state house if they lose ancestrally democratic SW PA seats like these.

Limo Liar Richard 1918. Limo Liar Richard 1918. Limo Liar Liar Limo Sock Sock Sock Sock Sock.

(Hum a jaunty tune to this phrase and it works).

[Gass3268]

Heath getting just 18% of the vote in HD-68, underperforming Clinton's 20% there. Horrific night for Democrats so far.

A-OK Richard! Now get a life and go back to posting on RRH.

This ended up being a 0.44 Dem improvement from 2016.

[Strudelcutie4427]

So, Republicans won 3 Specials to the Democrats 2 tonight. The 🌊 is slowing a bit, it seems.

Next week:

Arkansas
See also: Arkansas state legislative special elections, 2018
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 16   
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 29   
[show]☐ Arkansas House of Representatives District 83

What are the PVI and previous party holding of those seats?

[junior chįmp]

BIG

https://www.twitter.com/ZackFinkNews/status/997574306472321024

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Do it please.

[junior chįmp]

Do it please.

LOCK HIM OUT

[Landslide Lyndon]

Won't change anything but yeah, any party that has a modicum of respect for itself should kick out all people who take advantage of it and then sleep with the enemy.