State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2  (Read 169033 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #500 on: May 14, 2018, 11:05:58 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on May 14, 2018, 11:04:06 PM
If Clark Mitchell doesn't lose, I will actually not go on Atlas for the seven days from Wednesday 5/16 - Wednesday 5/23. I am very confident that Republicans will flip this seat.

Really. You're seriously making this bet after Florida?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #501 on: May 14, 2018, 11:07:10 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on May 14, 2018, 11:04:06 PM
If Clark Mitchell doesn't lose, I will actually not go on Atlas for the seven days from Wednesday 5/16 - Wednesday 5/23. I am very confident that Republicans will flip this seat.

Boy you are bold making these kinds of pledges after backing out of every “bet”
You’ve made on this site
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IceSpear
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« Reply #502 on: May 14, 2018, 11:21:29 PM »
Unfortunately he already gained what he was seeking with that post: attention.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #503 on: May 15, 2018, 12:17:54 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on May 14, 2018, 11:21:29 PM
Unfortunately he already gained what he was seeking with that post: attention.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #504 on: May 15, 2018, 04:36:42 AM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on May 14, 2018, 11:04:06 PM
If Clark Mitchell doesn't lose, I will actually not go on Atlas for the seven days from Wednesday 5/16 - Wednesday 5/23. I am very confident that Republicans will flip this seat.

If you mean this, I can ask other moderators to institute a 7-day temporary ban on you at your request. Since you didn't keep the pledge you made last time, I don't think the honor system will work. Let me know.
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Politician
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« Reply #505 on: May 15, 2018, 06:54:20 AM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on May 14, 2018, 11:04:06 PM
If Clark Mitchell doesn't lose, I will actually not go on Atlas for the seven days from Wednesday 5/16 - Wednesday 5/23. I am very confident that Republicans will flip this seat.
Ok, this made me more confident in his ability to win, and less confident that you will keep your promise.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #506 on: May 15, 2018, 08:50:33 AM »
« Edited: May 15, 2018, 08:59:22 AM by Oryxslayer »




JMC giving us nice maps. Wouldn't be suprised if this flips, especially with the fierce D primary being fought in PA-01.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #507 on: May 15, 2018, 09:26:20 AM »
I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if Dems flip the Bucks seat while losing the SWPA seat.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #508 on: May 15, 2018, 10:01:52 AM »
Five Special Elections tonight! All polls close at 8 ET.

PA 48: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/Special/OfficeResults?ElectionID=64&ElectionType=S&IsActive=1

PA 68: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/Special/OfficeResults?ElectionID=66&ElectionType=S&IsActive=1

PA 178: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/Special/OfficeResults?ElectionID=65&ElectionType=S&IsActive=1

Alabama House 4 and Senate 25: Cannot find results page; search around for news.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #509 on: May 15, 2018, 10:03:45 AM »
Quote from: KingSweden on May 15, 2018, 09:26:20 AM
I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if Dems flip the Bucks seat while losing the SWPA seat.

I think they lose both by similar margins (52-48).
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #510 on: May 15, 2018, 10:04:07 AM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on May 15, 2018, 04:36:42 AM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on May 14, 2018, 11:04:06 PM
If Clark Mitchell doesn't lose, I will actually not go on Atlas for the seven days from Wednesday 5/16 - Wednesday 5/23. I am very confident that Republicans will flip this seat.

If you mean this, I can ask other moderators to institute a 7-day temporary ban on you at your request. Since you didn't keep the pledge you made last time, I don't think the honor system will work. Let me know.

Sure. Feel free to do a 7 day temporary ban if Clark Mitchell wins.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #511 on: May 15, 2018, 11:23:50 AM »
Quote from: PNM on May 15, 2018, 10:09:42 AM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on May 14, 2018, 09:45:01 PM
Ok so tomorrow we got special elections in PA. According to Morris, PA178 is R+7  and PA48 is R+15. I'll admit that I'm a little nervous about tomorrow. I'm praying that we win 178 and come close in 48, lest we go through another slew of "BLUE WAVE IS DEAD" headlines


I'm going to be bold and optimistic and say we pickup 178. I have a feeling John Fetterman could be a factor in it since it's a southwestern PA district.

Ok that’s not how PVI works. PA48 is R+8ish by 2016 numbers. “R+...” is not the same as “Trump+...”

If you have a problem with it, take it up with Morris. I didn't calculate it.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #512 on: May 15, 2018, 08:06:34 PM »
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #513 on: May 15, 2018, 08:20:21 PM »

Yep. Stick a fork in him. I get to stay on Atlas!
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #514 on: May 15, 2018, 08:23:55 PM »
Who's who?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #515 on: May 15, 2018, 08:25:04 PM »

Who's on first.

(I'll get my coat...)
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #516 on: May 15, 2018, 08:31:09 PM »
Mitchell now down by 8 points. Abysmal showing for Democrats. And no, that's not concern trolling.
http://washcounty.info/Elections/Default.aspx?PageLayout=SUMMARY&Election=26
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Ebsy
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« Reply #517 on: May 15, 2018, 08:33:10 PM »
Party was apparently not indicated on the special election ballot so it isn't exactly a great experiment. Just add it to the list of observations.

I'm more interested in the Bucks county race.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #518 on: May 15, 2018, 08:35:20 PM »
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #519 on: May 15, 2018, 08:35:26 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on May 15, 2018, 08:33:10 PM
Party was apparently not indicated on the special election ballot so it isn't exactly a great experiment. Just add it to the list of observations.

I'm more interested in the Bucks county race.

I very much doubt that party was not indicated on the special election ballot.
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #520 on: May 15, 2018, 08:36:02 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 15, 2018, 08:35:20 PM


Blue tsunami imminent
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #521 on: May 15, 2018, 08:49:02 PM »
Heath getting just 18% of the vote in HD-68, underperforming Clinton's 20% there. Horrific night for Democrats so far.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #522 on: May 15, 2018, 08:53:21 PM »
Massive democratic turnout in PA primaries. LimoLiberal's tears are super delicious!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #523 on: May 15, 2018, 08:53:41 PM »
Wow massive improvement for the Democrats vs Clinton in PA-48!
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #524 on: May 15, 2018, 08:55:22 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on May 15, 2018, 08:53:41 PM
Wow massive improvement for the Democrats vs Clinton in PA-48!

5% improvement is impressive now? Clinton lost the district by 14, Mitchell is losing it by 9.
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