State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[BundouYMB]

Yep. Republican leading 55-45 in Erie County AD-142 with 50% reporting. R Flip incoming here.

https://www.erieelectionresults.com/nys.aspx

Y'all didn't believe me when I made my writeup.

AD-142 was more like a democratic primary in the general election IIRC, tho

Is this the district with one Dem on the GOP line and one on the Dem line?

Yeah but the one on the R line is a DINO who is handpicked by Paladino and plans to caucus with republicans

Uh, where did you hear that? That's completely wrong. The conservadem has promised to caucus with the Democrats (it would be stupid to do otherwise. Democrats have the majority now that the IDC has at least temporarily desolved.)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Stern now up by over 1000 votes

[Gass3268]

Yep. Republican leading 55-45 in Erie County AD-142 with 50% reporting. R Flip incoming here.

https://www.erieelectionresults.com/nys.aspx

Y'all didn't believe me when I made my writeup.

AD-142 was more like a democratic primary in the general election IIRC, tho

Is this the district with one Dem on the GOP line and one on the Dem line?

Yeah but the one on the R line is a DINO who is handpicked by Paladino and plans to caucus with republicans

Uh, where did you hear that? That's completely wrong. The conservadem has promised to caucus with the Democrats (it would be stupid to do otherwise. Democrats have the majority now that the IDC has at least temporarily desolved.)

Yeah, I'm reading that he'll caucus with the Dems too.

[junior chįmp]

The NY Assembly is already so Democratic that picking up another seat don't mean much

Until the Cuomomander is undone...the Senate will stay R

[Adam Griffin]

Looks like all of 107's totals are coming out of Rensselaer County. Washington doesn't have anything up yet and I can't even find where Columbia's is.

[Boston Bread]

Am I reading correctly? On Twitter I'm hearing the AD142 R candidate is going to caucus with the Dems.

[Oryxslayer]

AD5 - Slinkosky D 1159 (38.6%), Smith R 1839 (61.4%) 53/82

AD10 - Stern D 4250 (57.1%), Smitelli R 3191 (42.9%) 79/105

AD102 O'Conner D 37 954.4%), Tague R 31 (45.6%) 1/126

Ad17 Doran D 896 (56.1%), Ashby R 697 (43.6%) 17/111

[Adam Griffin]

Found them (107):

Columbia: https://sites.google.com/a/columbiacountyny.com/elections/election_information/election-results/election-night-results
Washington: https://www.washingtoncountyny.gov/802/Current-Elections-Results
Rensselaer: http://www.rensco.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/SP_E_18_1_Summary-report.html

[Landslide Lyndon]

Am I reading correctly? On Twitter I'm hearing the AD142 R candidate is going to caucus with the Dems.

Yes, he is a labor Democrat who runs on the Republican line.

[krazen1211]

Republicans are winning Assembly District 5 in a Landslide.

[BundouYMB]

AD102 where the Democrat is currently up 10 points is R+12...

[Landslide Lyndon]

Republicans are winning Assembly District 5 in a Landslide.

Has your kiddie diddler conceded yet?

[Babeuf]

Always interesting to see the relative strength of the Conservative line vs. the official GOP line. It's pretty strong in a lot of districts.

[Adam Griffin]

AD102 where the Democrat is currently up 10 points is R+12...

Pretty impressive: Trump won by 23. Let's see if it holds.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

AD 102 not looking good for dems:

102nd Assembly District > All Counties (Active Registered Voters: 80,852)   Election Districts Reporting: 35 of 126
Candidate   Party   Graph (by Party)   % (by Party)   Votes (by Party)   Graph (by Candidate)   % (by Candidate)   Votes (by Candidate)
Aidan S. O'Connor, Jr.   DEM   .   40.32 %   1,965   .   47.64 %   2,322
WOR   .   5.35 %   261           
WEP   .   1.97 %   96           
Christopher Tague   REP   .   37.67 %   1,836   .   50.43 %   2,458
CON   .   10.20 %   497           
IND   .   2.05 %   100           
REF      0.51 %   25           
Wesley D. Laraway   THE   .   1.85 %   90   .   1.85 %   90
Blank         0.02 %   1      0.02 %   1
Void         0.00 %   0      0.00 %   0
Write-in         0.06 %   3      0.06 %   3
Total Votes   4,874

[LimoLiberal]

Welp, Steve Stern is outrunning the Anti-Cuomo counterwave.

[Oryxslayer]

More from 102:

35/126

O'Conner 47.6% - 2322

Tague 50.4% - 2458

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

VOTE DUMP: Dem is now UP in 102 by 6

[john cage bubblegum]

AD 102 not looking good for dems:

102nd Assembly District > All Counties (Active Registered Voters: 80,852)   Election Districts Reporting: 35 of 126
Candidate   Party   Graph (by Party)   % (by Party)   Votes (by Party)   Graph (by Candidate)   % (by Candidate)   Votes (by Candidate)
Aidan S. O'Connor, Jr.   DEM   .   40.32 %   1,965   .   47.64 %   2,322
WOR   .   5.35 %   261           
WEP   .   1.97 %   96           
Christopher Tague   REP   .   37.67 %   1,836   .   50.43 %   2,458
CON   .   10.20 %   497           
IND   .   2.05 %   100           
REF      0.51 %   25           
Wesley D. Laraway   THE   .   1.85 %   90   .   1.85 %   90
Blank         0.02 %   1      0.02 %   1
Void         0.00 %   0      0.00 %   0
Write-in         0.06 %   3      0.06 %   3
Total Votes   4,874

If that were the final result, I'd say that would be pretty impressive considering the district.  It's still pretty early though.

EDIT:  Wow + O'Connor +6 now?  This should be a fun one to watch.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Uh, never mind:

 102nd Assembly District > All Counties (Active Registered Voters: 80,852)   Election Districts Reporting: 50 of 126
Candidate   Party   Graph (by Party)   % (by Party)   Votes (by Party)   Graph (by Candidate)   % (by Candidate)   Votes (by Candidate)
Aidan S. O'Connor, Jr.   DEM   .   44.67 %   3,053   .   52.33 %   3,576
WOR   .   5.65 %   386           
WEP   .   2.00 %   137           
Christopher Tague   REP   .   34.08 %   2,329   .   46.03 %   3,146
CON   .   9.58 %   655           
IND   .   1.92 %   131           
REF      0.45 %   31           
Wesley D. Laraway   THE   .   1.57 %   107   .   1.57 %   107
Blank         0.01 %   1      0.01 %   1
Void         0.01 %   1      0.01 %   1
Write-in         0.04 %   3      0.04 %   3
Total Votes   6,834

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: FIRST REPUBLICAN WIN

5th Assembly District > All Counties (Active Registered Voters: 82,360)   Election Districts Reporting: 74 of 82
Candidate   Party   Graph (by Party)   % (by Party)   Votes (by Party)   Graph (by Candidate)   % (by Candidate)   Votes (by Candidate)
Deborah L. Slinkosky   DEM   .   37.80 %   1,499   .   37.80 %   1,499
Douglas M. Smith   REP   .   44.93 %   1,782   .   62.05 %   2,461
CON   .   13.21 %   524           
IND   .   3.56 %   141           
REF      0.35 %   14           
Blank         0.03 %   1      0.03 %   1
Void         0.00 %   0      0.00 %   0
Write-in         0.13 %   5      0.13 %   5
Total Votes   3,966

5-1 D now, with 5 races outstanding.

[LimoLiberal]

Uh, never mind:

 102nd Assembly District > All Counties (Active Registered Voters: 80,852)   Election Districts Reporting: 50 of 126
Candidate   Party   Graph (by Party)   % (by Party)   Votes (by Party)   Graph (by Candidate)   % (by Candidate)   Votes (by Candidate)
Aidan S. O'Connor, Jr.   DEM   .   44.67 %   3,053   .   52.33 %   3,576
WOR   .   5.65 %   386           
WEP   .   2.00 %   137           
Christopher Tague   REP   .   34.08 %   2,329   .   46.03 %   3,146
CON   .   9.58 %   655           
IND   .   1.92 %   131           
REF      0.45 %   31           
Wesley D. Laraway   THE   .   1.57 %   107   .   1.57 %   107
Blank         0.01 %   1      0.01 %   1
Void         0.01 %   1      0.01 %   1
Write-in         0.04 %   3      0.04 %   3
Total Votes   6,834

I'm looking at other counties results' and it's going to be very close. Tague is going to net about 400 votes from Scoharie and a few hundred more from the smaller counties. O'Connor needs to push his margin up in those last 18 Greene county precincts (his home county).

[Adam Griffin]

102:
O'Connor: 51.61%
Tague: 46.49%

[Gass3268]

This would be quite the upset if the Dem wins 102, even Romney won the seat by 6 points.

[Oryxslayer]

64/126

O'Conner 4474 51.11%

Tague 4133 47.22%