State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2  (Read 168719 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #125 on: April 24, 2018, 08:13:15 PM »
Looking VERY promising!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #126 on: April 24, 2018, 08:14:47 PM »
Dem outperforming by 6 in the 74th. Doesn't seem much, but he's at 92%.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #127 on: April 24, 2018, 08:16:35 PM »


That would be 56-44.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #128 on: April 24, 2018, 08:16:39 PM »
http://www.westchestergov.com/boe99/linkcounty.aspx
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #129 on: April 24, 2018, 08:18:07 PM »


Could you link the page for this?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #130 on: April 24, 2018, 08:18:31 PM »
Asides from the DDHQ reports we don't have anything from the competitive seats. All thats in is from the Safe D inflexible city seats.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #131 on: April 24, 2018, 08:18:43 PM »

Link is right above the image.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #132 on: April 24, 2018, 08:20:37 PM »
Mayer's lead keeps expanding: now at more than 1500 votes

http://www.westchestergov.com/boe99/linkcounty.aspx
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #133 on: April 24, 2018, 08:22:16 PM »
Now at approximately 1650 votes:

http://www.westchestergov.com/boe99/linkcounty.aspx
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #134 on: April 24, 2018, 08:23:22 PM »
Gr...Upstate why you so slow.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #135 on: April 24, 2018, 08:24:51 PM »
Now at 1828:
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #136 on: April 24, 2018, 08:26:10 PM »
Mayer up by 2024 votes now; if this doesn't start reversing very soon, I'm calling it:
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #137 on: April 24, 2018, 08:28:40 PM »
Over one-third of precincts reporting and Mayer's lead continues to grow: now at 2262 votes. If this 13-16 point margin is still holding once 40% are reporting, it's a done deal.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #138 on: April 24, 2018, 08:28:52 PM »
BTW, since nobody has yet stated it we can call, AD-39, AD-72, AD-80, and SD-32 for the dems. All City seats that were never going to move thanks to heavy partisanship.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #139 on: April 24, 2018, 08:29:40 PM »
I think it' safe to say the Democrat is going to win SD-37
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #140 on: April 24, 2018, 08:29:55 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on April 24, 2018, 08:26:10 PM
Mayer up by 2024 votes now; if this doesn't start reversing very soon, I'm calling it:


is this an over and underperformance?
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #141 on: April 24, 2018, 08:30:33 PM »
Mayer now up by 2887 votes; almost in the bag:
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CityofSinners
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« Reply #142 on: April 24, 2018, 08:32:17 PM »
Hard to see how Mayer is not winning this.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #143 on: April 24, 2018, 08:32:33 PM »

Clinton won by 22, so she's not hitting presidential numbers...the Democratic incumbent won it by 11 in 2016. An average of those two (which is how I'm calculating swing in my special elections thread) would be around 17 points, which Mayer is at roughly at the moment.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #144 on: April 24, 2018, 08:33:39 PM »
Uh-oh. Stern (D) losing narrowly in early results from Suffolk County AD-10 where a flip was expected. It's an obama-clinton seat.

http://apps.suffolkcountyny.gov/boe/eleres/18s1/flashresults.html
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #145 on: April 24, 2018, 08:34:05 PM »
The 142nd Assembly District result looks pretty bad.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #146 on: April 24, 2018, 08:34:25 PM »
Mayer up by 3343 votes now. This is over:
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #147 on: April 24, 2018, 08:36:22 PM »
Yep. Republican leading 55-45 in Erie County AD-142 with 50% reporting. R Flip incoming here.

https://www.erieelectionresults.com/nys.aspx

Y'all didn't believe me when I made my writeup.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #148 on: April 24, 2018, 08:37:04 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on April 24, 2018, 08:36:22 PM
Yep. Republican leading 55-45 in Erie County AD-142 with 50% reporting. R Flip incoming here.

https://www.erieelectionresults.com/nys.aspx

Y'all didn't believe me when I made my writeup.

AD-142 was more like a democratic primary in the general election IIRC, tho
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #149 on: April 24, 2018, 08:37:19 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on April 24, 2018, 08:33:39 PM
Uh-oh. Stern (D) losing narrowly in early results from Suffolk County AD-10 where a flip was expected. It's an obama-clinton seat.

http://apps.suffolkcountyny.gov/boe/eleres/18s1/flashresults.html

Only about 350 votes thus far. We don't have a clear indicator of what's happening yet.
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