State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #50 on: April 10, 2018, 07:45:13 PM »

The Iowa Senate District went 26 points to Trump, and 9 points to Romney. This race will test how powerful the Dem swing is.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #51 on: April 10, 2018, 08:00:22 PM »

Have a feeling the Republican is going to win by 15+ in Iowa. The republican candidate has a great profile (former state rep) while the dem candidate is kind of meh.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #52 on: April 10, 2018, 08:06:33 PM »

Decent job in Fl, especially given the reason why this race even happened.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #53 on: April 10, 2018, 08:08:30 PM »

Sen. Grassley may live in this district.  If not, then very near.  It has 16,000 R 8,000 D and 15,000 I voters.

This race is happening because the Incumbent R and Sen Majority Leader was caught kissing a lobbyist who was not his wife.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #54 on: April 10, 2018, 08:12:42 PM »

I think GOP carries the Iowa race 54-46 tonight.
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Sestak
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« Reply #55 on: April 10, 2018, 08:24:24 PM »

Which CD is this district in?
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #56 on: April 10, 2018, 08:28:33 PM »


Partly the 1st, partly the 4th
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #57 on: April 10, 2018, 09:05:32 PM »

Final:

Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Tami L. Donnally   
REP   7,696   
25.19%
Lori Berman   
DEM   22,860   
74.81%
Total    30,556
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #58 on: April 10, 2018, 09:06:20 PM »

First one to post results gets 100 colombian pesos.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #59 on: April 10, 2018, 09:09:22 PM »

Have a feeling the Republican is going to win by 15+ in Iowa. The republican candidate has a great profile (former state rep) while the dem candidate is kind of meh.

Yep. Republican leading 61-38 in Hardin county early vote. Going to be a disappointing night.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #60 on: April 10, 2018, 09:09:46 PM »

Absentees in Hardin Co 708--443 Sweeney
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #61 on: April 10, 2018, 09:13:04 PM »

Annette Sweeney   (R) Tracy Freese (D)   Scattering
NORTH HARDIN            
SOUTH HARDIN            
ABSENTEE BALLOTS   1160   708   443   0
TOTAL VOTES CAST   1160   708   443   0
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #62 on: April 10, 2018, 09:13:14 PM »

Have a feeling the Republican is going to win by 15+ in Iowa. The republican candidate has a great profile (former state rep) while the dem candidate is kind of meh.

Yep. Republican leading 61-38 in Hardin county early vote. Going to be a disappointing night.

Yeah, it's over, projecting Sweeney as victor.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #63 on: April 10, 2018, 09:13:18 PM »

All of Hardin county in. Sweeney (R) won it 61.5 - 38.5. Clinton lost the two-party vote 65.5 - 34.5 in 2016 for the portion in SD-25.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #64 on: April 10, 2018, 09:14:57 PM »

All of Hardin county in. Sweeney (R) won it 61.5 - 38.5. Clinton lost the two-party vote 65.5 - 34.5 in 2016 for the portion in SD-25.

RIP Freese.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #65 on: April 10, 2018, 09:15:47 PM »

Blue wave dead. The Roy Moore wave is in.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #66 on: April 10, 2018, 09:16:28 PM »

Story county is the big democratic stronghold here. Clinton only lost the SD-25 portion 53-39. Freese needs to run up the score there to keep it close.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #67 on: April 10, 2018, 09:16:43 PM »

UNOFFICIAL CANVASS OF VOTES CAST AT THE HARDIN COUNTY SPECIAL ELECTION
April 10, 2018
PRECINCT   # of Voters   STATE SENATOR DISTRICT 25 - TO FILL VACANCY
ELECT ONE
Annette Sweeney (R)   Tracy Freese (D)   Scattering
NORTH HARDIN   1082   636   443   1
SOUTH HARDIN   686   451   234   0
ABSENTEE BALLOTS   1160   708   443   0
TOTAL VOTES CAST   2928   1795   1120   1
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #68 on: April 10, 2018, 09:17:33 PM »



Freese leading in the absentees in Story County
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #69 on: April 10, 2018, 09:18:01 PM »

Story county is the big democratic stronghold here. Clinton only lost the SD-25 portion 53-39. Freese needs to run up the score there to keep it close.

Not gonna happen.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #70 on: April 10, 2018, 09:20:26 PM »



Freese leading in the absentees in Story County

*IF* she can hold that percentage (58-42) she can make this a race. Story county casts the most votes in this district.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #71 on: April 10, 2018, 09:21:13 PM »



Freese leading in the absentees in Story County

*IF* she can hold that percentage (58-42) she can make this a race. Story county casts the most votes in this district.

Sweeney will win.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #72 on: April 10, 2018, 09:25:59 PM »

Freese WINS Story county 56-44: http://www.storycountyiowa.gov/DocumentCenter/View/8228

But, she only nets 300 votes.

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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #73 on: April 10, 2018, 09:27:45 PM »


Yeah, this looks done. That isn't enough of a margin for Freese to win the district. Should still be a significant shift from 2016.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #74 on: April 10, 2018, 09:28:19 PM »


Sweeney (R) leads Freese (D) 53-47 (2943-2560). Massive underperformance from 2016 if it holds. But two conservative counties still to come in should push that margin up.
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