CA-10: Nygard out

[I’m not Stu]

Nygard is out.

[KingSweden]

Wish she’d done this before the filing deadline

[I’m not Stu]

Wish she’d done this before the filing deadline

Especially with Ted Howze on the ballot.

[Jeppe]

Good, thankfully the female vote will coalesce around Zwahlen or Madueno now. As we saw in IL-6, having too many women on the ballot results in too scattered of a field.

[Nyvin]

Wish she’d done this before the filing deadline

Especially with Ted Howze on the ballot.

Wouldn't Denham take up most of the R votes?  I'd think a RvR race is almost impossible, even with all the Dem candidates.

[I’m not Stu]

Wish she’d done this before the filing deadline

Especially with Ted Howze on the ballot.

Wouldn't Denham take up most of the R votes?  I'd think a RvR race is almost impossible, even with all the Dem candidates.

Gary Miller won his last term in a safe D district this way. Miller, the "incumbent," didn't take up that many R votes.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Wish she’d done this before the filing deadline

Especially with Ted Howze on the ballot.

Wouldn't Denham take up most of the R votes?  I'd think a RvR race is almost impossible, even with all the Dem candidates.

Logically. It's not like he has done anything to anger his base, or to attract attention from any law enforcement agency like Rorabacher and Hunter Jr.

Gary Miller won his last term in a safe D district this way. Miller, the "incumbent," didn't take up that many R votes.

That happened immediately after redistricting, so Miller wasn't exactly the typical incumbent.

[I’m not Stu]

Wish she’d done this before the filing deadline

Especially with Ted Howze on the ballot.

Wouldn't Denham take up most of the R votes?  I'd think a RvR race is almost impossible, even with all the Dem candidates.

Logically. It's not like he has done anything to anger his base, or to attract attention from any law enforcement agency like Rorabacher and Hunter Jr.

Why did Bob Dutton primary challenge Gary Miller? Did Miller anger his base or not?

[Nyvin]

Wish she’d done this before the filing deadline

Especially with Ted Howze on the ballot.

Wouldn't Denham take up most of the R votes?  I'd think a RvR race is almost impossible, even with all the Dem candidates.

Gary Miller won his last term in a safe D district this way. Miller, the "incumbent," didn't take up that many R votes.

I guess it's possible, but Howze would need the near perfect storm to get the second spot.   At the very most he's going to get ~15% of the vote, and he'd need none of the Dem candidates to rise above any of the rest.