FL-SEN: Scott Pursuit

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Nelson released his first ad:

https://twitter.com/FlaDems/status/998661801314222082/video/1

Stresses his days as an astronaut and healthcare/SS

Good ad! I like the Florida First part lol.

This is clearly going to run in northern Florida.

Yeah.

[MT Treasurer]

Nelson would definitely be in for the fight of his life in a neutral environment or an R-leaning year, but I think that once Scott is portrayed as a rubber stamp on Trump, Nelson's numbers will rise. Races in Florida generally remain fairly close, so I doubt Nelson gets another double-digit victory, but Scott doesn't have nearly as much room to grow from here as an incumbent with less name recognition might. If things get better for Republicans, Scott has a chance, but there's no way that this seat flips before seats like Missouri and West Virginia. Lean D for now.

I agree that IN and MO (although I’m less sure about the latter because of McCaskill's ability to mobilize the Democratic base and Hawley being overrated as a candidate) flip before FL, but I don’t think it’s far-fetched to assume that Nelson is (slightly?) more vulnerable than Manchin, Tester or Heitkamp, as they’re all more popular Senators from smaller states where personality/retail politics matter more than party affiliation. Scott is arguably a stronger opponent than any of the Republicans running in WV/MT/ND/MO and actually has the resources to win this race. I agree that he’ll most likely lose in the end due to the national environment, but I can buy Nelson being more vulnerable than Manchin or Heitkamp.

[mcmikk]

Nelson would definitely be in for the fight of his life in a neutral environment or an R-leaning year, but I think that once Scott is portrayed as a rubber stamp on Trump, Nelson's numbers will rise. Races in Florida generally remain fairly close, so I doubt Nelson gets another double-digit victory, but Scott doesn't have nearly as much room to grow from here as an incumbent with less name recognition might. If things get better for Republicans, Scott has a chance, but there's no way that this seat flips before seats like Missouri and West Virginia. Lean D for now.

I agree that IN and MO (although I’m less sure about the latter because of McCaskill's ability to mobilize the Democratic base and Hawley being overrated as a candidate) flip before FL, but I don’t think it’s far-fetched to assume that Nelson is (slightly?) more vulnerable than Manchin, Tester or Heitkamp, as they’re all more popular Senators from smaller states where personality/retail politics matter more than party affiliation. Scott is arguably a stronger opponent than any of the Republicans running in WV/MT/ND/MO and actually has the resources to win this race. I agree that he’ll most likely lose in the end due to the national environment, but I can buy Nelson being more vulnerable than Manchin or Heitkamp.

This will probably be one of the toughest races of his career. Doesn't mean he's likely to lose though. Think AZ-SEN 2016.

[TheSaint250]

He and Putnam have a funny alliance as they are the two campaigning with "Florida First"

[TheRocketRaccoon]

https://twitter.com/NelsonForSenate/status/1001460652609822720

[Politician]

Nelson would definitely be in for the fight of his life in a neutral environment or an R-leaning year, but I think that once Scott is portrayed as a rubber stamp on Trump, Nelson's numbers will rise. Races in Florida generally remain fairly close, so I doubt Nelson gets another double-digit victory, but Scott doesn't have nearly as much room to grow from here as an incumbent with less name recognition might. If things get better for Republicans, Scott has a chance, but there's no way that this seat flips before seats like Missouri and West Virginia. Lean D for now.

I agree that IN and MO (although I’m less sure about the latter because of McCaskill's ability to mobilize the Democratic base and Hawley being overrated as a candidate) flip before FL, but I don’t think it’s far-fetched to assume that Nelson is (slightly?) more vulnerable than Manchin, Tester or Heitkamp, as they’re all more popular Senators from smaller states where personality/retail politics matter more than party affiliation. Scott is arguably a stronger opponent than any of the Republicans running in WV/MT/ND/MO and actually has the resources to win this race. I agree that he’ll most likely lose in the end due to the national environment, but I can buy Nelson being more vulnerable than Manchin or Heitkamp.

This will probably be one of the toughest races of his career. Doesn't mean he's likely to lose though. Think AZ-SEN 2016.

Didn't McCain beat Kirkpatrick by 14 points? It wasn't really that close.

[Pericles]

Tbh Rick Scott is drastically overrated-it is highly unlikely that Nelson loses.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/NelsonForSenate/status/1001460652609822720

Freedom ad!

[mcmikk]

Nelson would definitely be in for the fight of his life in a neutral environment or an R-leaning year, but I think that once Scott is portrayed as a rubber stamp on Trump, Nelson's numbers will rise. Races in Florida generally remain fairly close, so I doubt Nelson gets another double-digit victory, but Scott doesn't have nearly as much room to grow from here as an incumbent with less name recognition might. If things get better for Republicans, Scott has a chance, but there's no way that this seat flips before seats like Missouri and West Virginia. Lean D for now.

I agree that IN and MO (although I’m less sure about the latter because of McCaskill's ability to mobilize the Democratic base and Hawley being overrated as a candidate) flip before FL, but I don’t think it’s far-fetched to assume that Nelson is (slightly?) more vulnerable than Manchin, Tester or Heitkamp, as they’re all more popular Senators from smaller states where personality/retail politics matter more than party affiliation. Scott is arguably a stronger opponent than any of the Republicans running in WV/MT/ND/MO and actually has the resources to win this race. I agree that he’ll most likely lose in the end due to the national environment, but I can buy Nelson being more vulnerable than Manchin or Heitkamp.

This will probably be one of the toughest races of his career. Doesn't mean he's likely to lose though. Think AZ-SEN 2016.

Didn't McCain beat Kirkpatrick by 14 points? It wasn't really that close.

Yes, but it was the toughest race of McCain's career in the sense that he won by 13 when in all his past races he won by 20-30 points each time.

[KingSweden]

https://twitter.com/NelsonForSenate/status/1001460652609822720

Freedom ad!

[Person Man]

He and Putnam have a funny alliance as they are the two campaigning with "Florida First"

Maybe they can RIP off John Morgan, "For The Pepe!"

[Person Man]

https://twitter.com/NelsonForSenate/status/1001460652609822720

Freedom ad!

[junior chįmp]

https://twitter.com/NelsonForSenate/status/1001460652609822720

No surprise here....Nelson reminding people he was an astronaut. People love astronauts and they rarely lose

[mcmikk]

https://twitter.com/NelsonForSenate/status/1001460652609822720

Freedom ad!

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

My prediction: Nelson + 17

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes,  okay.  It will be a close race

[ajc0918]

https://twitter.com/NelsonForSenate/status/1001460652609822720

Freedom ad!

This is actually a really good ad.

[Virginiá]

This is actually a really good ad.

I bet Rick Scott says boooo

https://twitter.com/TheMattFenton/status/1001551600798887936

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

This is actually a really good ad.

I bet Rick Scott says boooo

https://twitter.com/TheMattFenton/status/1001551600798887936

Rick Scott looks like a lizard in that gif.

[Young Conservative]

Making fun of someone’s looks is inappropriate.

[OneJ]

This is actually a really good ad.

I bet Rick Scott says boooo

https://twitter.com/TheMattFenton/status/1001551600798887936

He looked as if someone asked him why did he only win by one point in a GOP wave year (seriously, someone ask him).

[Pericles]

Making fun of someone’s looks is inappropriate.

Then why do you support Trump? Hypocrite.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Making fun of someone’s looks is inappropriate.

OK, ok. That might be partisan bias on my part - I have never liked Scott...

[here2view]

Making fun of someone’s looks is inappropriate.

*Insert Trump mocking disabled reporter here*

[ON Progressive]

Making fun of someone’s looks is inappropriate.

*Insert Trump mocking disabled reporter here*