FL-SEN: Scott Pursuit

[Pandaguineapig]

Lean D (closer to Tossup than Likely), but I wouldn’t be surprised if Nelson underperformed on election day even in a D wave. Gonna guess Nelson +3 for now.

funny joke. Nelson smacks his opponents, its just what he does

On the other hand, Scott was way behind in both his races for governor and was way less popular than he is now. Nelson has also not faced a real race in 18 years

Remind me, pandaguineapig. What was the political environment like in "both his races for governor"?

The "national environment" was the only factor that helped him overcome a 25 pt. deficit to Crist?

[GlobeSoc]

Lean D (closer to Tossup than Likely), but I wouldn’t be surprised if Nelson underperformed on election day even in a D wave. Gonna guess Nelson +3 for now.

funny joke. Nelson smacks his opponents, its just what he does

On the other hand, Scott was way behind in both his races for governor and was way less popular than he is now. Nelson has also not faced a real race in 18 years

Remind me, pandaguineapig. What was the political environment like in "both his races for governor"?

The "national environment" was the only factor that helped him overcome a 25 pt. deficit to Crist?

Half that, half Crist being a bad candidate.

[Bidenworth2020]

Only Republican hacks and concern trolls think Scott who looks like a penis has a shot.

Nelson will win by 5+ minimum. This race is over.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Only Republican hacks and concern trolls think Scott who looks like a penis has a shot.

Nelson will win by 5+ minimum. This race is over.

Have you looked at the shape of the state he wants to represent lately? They might not mind...

[Progressive Pessimist]

Did Scott think he could just waltz into the Senate seat?

https://twitter.com/dylbaier/status/983709702814142464

https://twitter.com/Ryan_Deitsch/status/983407262764011520

What the hell!? He really is Voldemort. Though he'd probably return his snake after he bought it.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The results of the special election in district 31 tonight should worry Scott.

[Strudelcutie4427]

Did Scott think he could just waltz into the Senate seat?

https://twitter.com/dylbaier/status/983709702814142464

https://twitter.com/Ryan_Deitsch/status/983407262764011520

What the hell!? He really is Voldemort. Though he'd probably return his snake after he bought it.

Maybe it had behavioral issues that Scott couldn’t handle. Not everyone is meant to have a dog, especially a high maintenance one. Learn the whole story before raging

[Progressive Pessimist]

Did Scott think he could just waltz into the Senate seat?

https://twitter.com/dylbaier/status/983709702814142464

https://twitter.com/Ryan_Deitsch/status/983407262764011520

What the hell!? He really is Voldemort. Though he'd probably return his snake after he bought it.

Maybe it had behavioral issues that Scott couldn’t handle. Not everyone is meant to have a dog, especially a high maintenance one. Learn the whole story before raging

At the same time though shouldn't you actively decide that you want to commit to owning a dog before you go out and buy or adopt one?

[TheSaint250]

Did Scott think he could just waltz into the Senate seat?

https://twitter.com/dylbaier/status/983709702814142464

https://twitter.com/Ryan_Deitsch/status/983407262764011520

What the hell!? He really is Voldemort. Though he'd probably return his snake after he bought it.

Maybe it had behavioral issues that Scott couldn’t handle. Not everyone is meant to have a dog, especially a high maintenance one. Learn the whole story before raging

And that was exactly it: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/bag-the-dog/

This part's great, too:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Nelson needs to step up his campaigning, his malaise is concerning. Meanwhile Scott is running a solid campaign, and going everywhere, very energizer bunny like.

[OneJ]

Scott seems overrated to me. Those who are arguing that Scott is popular may also be forgetting that Nelson is just as popular, if not more, than Scott. Trump is also underwater in Florida and very recently Dems seem to be more energized than usual not just nationally, but statewide as well (Hint: certain representatives retiring this year). Those factors combined aren't working in Scott's favor though I'm not saying he can't win. I'll say Lean D at worse for Nelson.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Did Scott think he could just waltz into the Senate seat?

https://twitter.com/dylbaier/status/983709702814142464

https://twitter.com/Ryan_Deitsch/status/983407262764011520

What the hell!? He really is Voldemort. Though he'd probably return his snake after he bought it.

Maybe it had behavioral issues that Scott couldn’t handle. Not everyone is meant to have a dog, especially a high maintenance one. Learn the whole story before raging

And that was exactly it: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/bag-the-dog/

This part's great, too:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Alright fair enough but I still feel bad for any pet that had a home and then had to go back to the pound, store, or whatever. Maybe that dog has been adopted again, I don't know. I guess I'm still too fresh off of seeing 'Isle of Dogs.'

[LimoLiberal]

Scott is in a great position right now to win -->

http://www.tampabay.com/florida-politics/buzz/2018/05/11/florida-insider-poll-doubts-about-bill-nelson-beating-rick-scott-grow/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Are those the same experts that got 2010, 2012, 2014, and 2016 completely wrong?

Starting to think these "experts" are just complete morons.

[Politician]

Are those the same experts that got 2010, 2012, 2014, and 2016 completely wrong?

Starting to think these "experts" are just complete morons.

[Politician]

Not seeing Nelson lose, Likely D. Sure, Scott's became more popular recently, but Nelson is a popular incumbent, and the national environment is clearly in his favor.

[LimoLiberal]

Nelson may need to be triaged soon -->

https://twitter.com/LPDonovan/status/994943054154010625

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Remember when Scott poured in $70 million to only win by 1%? Remember when Jeb Bush spent $150 million only to come 7th in Iowa?

Also remember when LL consistently gets his predictions wrong by 10+? He celebrated over a getting his predictions wrong by only 6 points.

LL do us all a favor and stop posting BS. You said you'd leave for a week yet you came back an hour later.

[Strudelcutie4427]

There are still too many variables for Scott in this race. Most notably hurricane season which starts in a few weeks

[KingSweden]

There are still too many variables for Scott in this race. Most notably hurricane season which starts in a few weeks

More like three months, but yes. This race will be quite fluid

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

There are still too many variables for Scott in this race. Most notably hurricane season which starts in a few weeks

More like three months, but yes. This race will be quite fluid

that's actually a good point. If a hurricane were to hit Florida and Scott absolutely fucked up the recovery, he'd have no chance. Of course, unlike some... other red avatars here, I don't want that happening just for the sake of better election results.

[Politician]

Nelson may need to be triaged soon -->

https://twitter.com/LPDonovan/status/994943054154010625

No

[tmthforu94]

There are still too many variables for Scott in this race. Most notably hurricane season which starts in a few weeks

More like three months, but yes. This race will be quite fluid

Hurricane season actually starts at the beginning of June, so we're getting pretty close. This year is expected to be worse than average, though most think it won't be as bad as last year. Based on forecasts, we'll probably see between 2-4 major hurricanes from Atlantic, as well as a handful of smaller ones. Florida had one of the stronger responses in 2017, so if that replicates this year, I'd expect that to work in Scott's favor.

IMO this race is a toss-up right now with Nelson slightly favored - still a lot that can happen and these are two strong candidates. Probably comes down to how bad the national environment gets for Republicans (like many other races).

[Pandaguineapig]

If Nelson wins this it will be because of the national environment or a mistake made by Scott. It's becoming clear that he is not the campaigner he once was ( and to be fair he hasn't had a real race in almost 20 years) and his age is really starting to catch up with him.

[Strudelcutie4427]

There are still too many variables for Scott in this race. Most notably hurricane season which starts in a few weeks

More like three months, but yes. This race will be quite fluid

Hurricane season actually starts at the beginning of June, so we're getting pretty close. This year is expected to be worse than average, though most think it won't be as bad as last year. Based on forecasts, we'll probably see between 2-4 major hurricanes from Atlantic, as well as a handful of smaller ones. Florida had one of the stronger responses in 2017, so if that replicates this year, I'd expect that to work in Scott's favor.

IMO this race is a toss-up right now with Nelson slightly favored - still a lot that can happen and these are two strong candidates. Probably comes down to how bad the national environment gets for Republicans (like many other races).

Scott seems like the kind of guy that can handle Hurricanes well like he did with Irma. Also it depends on the strength and location for any election impacts. Like a major hit on Ft. Myers would hurt republicans like a major hit on Miami/Fort Lauderdale would hurt the Dems